ClimateNest
ClimateNest

Climate Risk in Albury, NSW

Albury, New South Wales· Albury City· 2640
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Albury faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to increase with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

5.8/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.2
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

7.0/100

Albury experiences hot summers, and heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Reduced rainfall

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

6.5/100

Albury faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Murray River and other waterways. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

1.0/100

Albury is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise or coastal erosion. The risk is negligible.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

4.2/100

Bushfire risk in Albury is moderate, with areas of bushland surrounding the city. Hot, dry conditions during summer increase the likelihood of bushfires. Climate change is projected to lengthen the fire season and increase fire intensity.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.7

2050

5.2

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in areas with higher flood or bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone land maps.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider the potential for increased insurance premiums.
  • 4.Review the council's climate change adaptation plan.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Murray River
Elevation Range
160-180m
Flood Zone
Areas along the Murray River are designated as flood zones.

Historical flood events have impacted Albury, highlighting the need for effective flood management strategies.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Bushland areas are located within 5km of the city center.
Planning Overlay
Refer to NSW RFS bushfire prone land maps.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents in bushfire-prone areas should have a bushfire survival plan and maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Heatwaves can place a strain on the city's infrastructure and emergency services.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
500 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2010
floodModerate

Significant flooding occurred along the Murray River, impacting low-lying areas of Albury.

Source
2019
bushfireModerate

Bushfires in the surrounding region caused smoky conditions and increased fire danger in Albury.

Source
2013
heatwaveModerate

Albury experienced a prolonged heatwave with temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius for several days.

Source
2023
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused minor flooding in some parts of Albury, particularly along waterways.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood6.56.8(+0.3)7.1(+0.6)
bushfire4.24.4(+0.2)4.7(+0.5)
heat7.07.8(+0.8)8.5(+1.5)
coastal1.01.01.0

By 2030, Albury is projected to experience an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, as well as a higher risk of flooding and bushfires. Adaptation measures will be crucial to protect the community and infrastructure.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade flood defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to protect against increased flood risk, such as levees and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement bushfire management strategies

Near-term

Reduce fuel loads in bushfire-prone areas and improve community preparedness for bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a heatwave management plan

Immediate

Implement measures to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, such as cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage residents and businesses to conserve water to reduce the strain on water resources during droughts.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Albury's Climate Risk Profile

Albury, located in southern New South Wales, is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. The city's proximity to the Murray River makes it vulnerable to flooding, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change is projected to increase the intensity and frequency of these rainfall events, leading to a higher risk of riverine flooding.

Bushfire risk is also a concern in Albury, with areas of bushland surrounding the city. Hot, dry conditions during summer create a favorable environment for bushfires to ignite and spread. Climate change is expected to lengthen the fire season and increase the intensity of bushfires, posing a threat to homes and infrastructure.

Heatwaves are another significant hazard in Albury, with temperatures often exceeding 40 degrees Celsius during summer. Climate change is driving an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, which can have serious health impacts, particularly for vulnerable populations.

While Albury is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the impacts of climate change on other regions can indirectly affect the city through supply chain disruptions and population displacement. It is important for Albury to adapt to these risks and build resilience to climate change.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS · Albury City Council

Local Government Resources

Albury City Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Albury?

Albury faces risks from increased heatwaves, flooding, and bushfires due to climate change.

How is the Albury City Council addressing climate change?

The council is developing and implementing climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Albury?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors during heatwaves.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Albury?

Check the Albury City Council website for flood maps and information.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires in Albury?

Clear vegetation around your home, have a bushfire survival plan, and stay informed about fire danger ratings.

Get a Property-Specific Report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Albury, use our analysis tool.

Analyse a Property in Albury →

Analyse Your Property Now

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment covering flood, bushfire, and sea level rise and more.

Free instant preview · Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only