Climate Risk Profile: Edmonton, QLD

Edmonton, Queensland
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Edmonton, Queensland, faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. The suburb's proximity to waterways and bushland contributes to these vulnerabilities. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
7.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
6.0
Coastal
2.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Edmonton

increasing

Flood

70/100

Edmonton is prone to flooding due to its proximity to the Mulgrave River and other waterways. Heavy rainfall events can cause riverine and flash flooding, impacting residential and commercial areas.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
stable

Bushfire

40/100

Edmonton faces a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions during the bushfire season can increase the likelihood of fire ignition and spread.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

60/100

Edmonton experiences high temperatures and humidity during the summer months. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

20/100

Edmonton is located inland and has a low coastal risk. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats to the suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast
increasing

Wind

35/100

Notable wind risk — tropical cyclone wind fields

increasing

Storm

39/100

Notable storm risk — cyclones and thunderstorms

stable

Social

24/100

Moderate social stability — growth regions

increasing

Energy

42/100

Elevated energy costs — high cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Edmonton

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

60/100

Edmonton experiences high temperatures and humidity during the summer months. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

70/100

Edmonton is prone to flooding due to its proximity to the Mulgrave River and other waterways. Heavy rainfall events can cause riverine and flash flooding, impacting residential and commercial areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

coastal Risk

20/100

Edmonton is located inland and has a low coastal risk. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats to the suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP2.6)

2030

2.0

2050

2.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

Edmonton faces a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions during the bushfire season can increase the likelihood of fire ignition and spread.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Wind

Projections (RCP4.5)

2030

4.2

2050

4.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurers may increase premiums in flood-prone areas.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience reduced property values.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on property comfort and energy costs.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related risks.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Mulgrave River
Elevation Range
5-20 meters
Flood Zone
Medium to High Risk

Historical flood events have impacted properties along the Mulgrave River.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland reserves
Planning Overlay
QFES Bushfire Prone Area Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents should maintain fire breaks and clear vegetation around their homes.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Heatwaves typically occur during the months of December to February.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
15 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2019
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused the Mulgrave River to flood, impacting low-lying areas of Edmonton.

Source
2018
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions and strain on the electricity grid.

Source
2011
floodMajor

Widespread flooding across Queensland, including Edmonton, caused significant damage to property and infrastructure.

Source
2005
bushfireMinor

A bushfire near Edmonton caused property damage and required residents to evacuate.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood707.5(+0.5)8.0(+1.0)
bushfire404.1(+0.1)4.3(+0.3)
heat606.4(+0.4)6.9(+0.9)
coastal202.02.0

By 2030, Edmonton is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, primarily driven by increased flooding and heatwave intensity. Bushfire risk is expected to remain relatively stable, while coastal risks will remain low.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as levees, drainage improvements, and flood-proofing of buildings.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, such as clearing vegetation around properties, creating fire breaks, and developing community evacuation plans.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Response Plan

Immediate

Implement a heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable populations, including establishing cooling centers, providing public education, and ensuring access to healthcare.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce water demand during periods of drought and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen Community Resilience

Long-term

Foster community resilience through education, awareness campaigns, and community-based adaptation initiatives.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Edmonton's Climate Risk Profile

Edmonton is a suburb of Cairns, Queensland, located south of the city center. The area is characterized by a mix of residential, commercial, and agricultural land uses. The Mulgrave River and other waterways traverse the suburb, making it susceptible to flooding during periods of heavy rainfall.

Bushfire risk is also a concern in Edmonton, particularly in areas adjacent to bushland. Hot, dry conditions can increase the likelihood of fire ignition and spread, posing a threat to properties and infrastructure. Residents should be aware of bushfire safety guidelines and maintain their properties to reduce fire hazards.

Heatwaves are another significant climate risk in Edmonton. High temperatures and humidity during the summer months can cause heat stress and other health problems, especially for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves in the region.

While coastal risks are relatively low in Edmonton due to its inland location, the suburb may still be indirectly affected by sea level rise and coastal erosion in other parts of the Cairns region. Changes in coastal ecosystems and infrastructure could have broader economic and social impacts.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · QFES · Cairns Regional Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Edmonton?

The main climate change risks in Edmonton are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I protect my property from flooding in Edmonton?

You can protect your property from flooding by flood-proofing your home, maintaining drainage systems, and being aware of flood warnings.

What should I do during a heatwave in Edmonton?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

How can I prepare for a bushfire in Edmonton?

Prepare for a bushfire by clearing vegetation around your property, creating a fire break, and having a bushfire survival plan.

Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Edmonton?

You can find more information about climate change risks in Edmonton from the Cairns Regional Council, the Queensland Government, and the Bureau of Meteorology.

Is Edmonton a good place to invest in property considering climate change?

Edmonton presents both opportunities and risks for property investment. While the area offers affordability and growth potential, it's crucial to consider the increasing risks of flooding and heatwaves. Conducting thorough due diligence, including assessing flood maps and understanding potential insurance costs, is essential before investing.

Get your property's risk report

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections