Climate Risk in Elizabeth South, SA

Elizabeth South, South Australia· City of Playford· 5112
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Elizabeth South faces moderate climate risks, primarily related to heatwaves and flooding. While bushfire and coastal risks are low, the increasing frequency and intensity of heat events pose a significant concern for residents. Proactive adaptation measures are recommended to mitigate these risks.

Overall Risk Score

5.2/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.5
Bushfire
3.0
Heat
6.5
Coastal
1.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

6.5/10

Elizabeth South is susceptible to heatwaves, with increasing average temperatures posing a significant risk to vulnerable populations. The frequency and intensity of heat events are projected to rise.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Reduced vegetation cover

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.2

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

4.5/10

Elizabeth South faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.0

2050

5.8

Data source

coastal Risk

1.0/10

Elizabeth South is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

3.0/10

The bushfire risk in Elizabeth South is relatively low compared to other regions in South Australia, but still present due to nearby grasslands and reserves. Climate change may exacerbate conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Wind patterns

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

3.2

2050

3.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and heatwave risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be slightly affected by increasing climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood risk maps
  • 2.Assess property's heat resilience
  • 3.Review insurance options
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency upgrades

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Dry Creek
Elevation Range
20-30m
Flood Zone
Low-lying areas near Dry Creek

Localized flooding can occur during heavy rainfall events, particularly in areas with poor drainage.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
1-2km to nearby reserves
Planning Overlay
CFS Bushfire Prone Area Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents should maintain their properties and be aware of bushfire safety guidelines.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
25 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2009
heatwaveModerate

A severe heatwave affected South Australia, including Elizabeth South, with temperatures exceeding 40°C for several consecutive days.

Source
2016
stormModerate

A significant storm caused flash flooding and property damage in parts of Elizabeth South.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Another heatwave impacted Elizabeth South, with high temperatures and increased demand on emergency services.

Source
2022
floodMinor

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in some areas of Elizabeth South, affecting roads and properties.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood4.54.8(+0.3)5.2(+0.7)
bushfire3.03.1(+0.1)3.2(+0.2)
heat6.57.3(+0.8)8.5(+2.0)
coastal1.01.01.0

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Elizabeth South is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, primarily driven by rising temperatures and increased flood risk.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve stormwater drainage

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater drainage infrastructure to reduce the risk of localized flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement heatwave early warning system

Immediate

Develop and implement a heatwave early warning system to alert vulnerable populations and provide guidance on how to stay safe during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Increase urban greening

Near-term

Plant more trees and vegetation to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade during hot weather.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage residents to conserve water through education and incentives, reducing demand on water resources during dry periods.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Elizabeth South's Climate Risk Profile

Elizabeth South, located in the northern suburbs of Adelaide, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns for the suburb are rising temperatures and the potential for more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Flooding is another concern, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. While the suburb is not directly adjacent to a major river, stormwater runoff and inadequate drainage infrastructure can lead to localized flooding. Climate change is expected to exacerbate this risk, with more intense rainfall events projected for the region.

Bushfire risk is relatively low compared to other parts of South Australia, but the presence of grasslands and reserves nearby means that the risk cannot be entirely discounted. It's important for residents to maintain their properties and be aware of bushfire safety guidelines.

Coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location. However, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and economic activity, could still affect Elizabeth South. Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of individual actions, community initiatives, and government policies. Investing in infrastructure improvements, promoting water conservation, and supporting vulnerable populations are all important steps.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · CFS · City of Playford

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Elizabeth South?

The main climate change risks for Elizabeth South are increasing heatwaves and potential flooding from heavy rainfall events.

How can I prepare for heatwaves in Elizabeth South?

You can prepare for heatwaves by staying hydrated, seeking air-conditioned environments, and checking on vulnerable neighbors.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Elizabeth South?

The City of Playford is implementing various initiatives to address climate change, including improving stormwater drainage and promoting water conservation.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Elizabeth South?

You can find information about flood risks on the City of Playford website and the South Australian Department for Environment and Water website.

Are there any community groups working on climate change in Elizabeth South?

Yes, there are several community groups in the City of Playford that are working on climate change and sustainability initiatives. Contact the council for more information.

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