Climate Risk in Caloola, ACT

caloola, Australian Capital Territory· UNKNOWN
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Caloola faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and take steps to mitigate their impact.

Overall Risk Score

5.5/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.0
Bushfire
6.0
Heat
6.0
Coastal
1.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

6.0/10

Caloola is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Climate change is a major driver of increasing temperatures.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

4.0/10

Caloola faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from intense rainfall events and potential overflow from nearby creeks and waterways. The risk is projected to increase with climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.0

2050

6.0

Data source

coastal Risk

1.0/10

Caloola is not exposed to coastal risks due to its inland location.

Projections (N/A)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

6.0/10

Caloola has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry summers and strong winds can exacerbate the risk. Climate change is expected to further increase bushfire frequency and intensity.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

8.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
  • 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making purchasing decisions.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Murrumbidgee River
Elevation Range
600-650m
Flood Zone
Low to Moderate

Some areas may be susceptible to flash flooding during intense rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to Namadgi National Park
Planning Overlay
ACTmapi Bushfire Prone Areas
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Properties bordering bushland are at higher risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
28.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
N/A
Erosion Risk
N/A

Historical Climate Events

2003
bushfireCatastrophic

The 2003 Canberra bushfires had a devastating impact on the region, including areas near Caloola. Many homes were destroyed, and lives were lost.

Source
2018
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave in January 2018 resulted in record-breaking temperatures and increased heat stress in Caloola and surrounding areas.

Source
2022
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall in 2022 caused localized flooding in some parts of the ACT, including areas near Caloola. Some roads were closed, and properties were affected.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood4.04.5(+0.5)5.0(+1.0)
bushfire6.06.7(+0.7)7.3(+1.3)
heat6.06.8(+0.8)7.5(+1.5)
coastal1.01.01.0

By 2030, Caloola is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in bushfire and heatwave risks. Flooding risk is also expected to rise due to more intense rainfall events.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Develop a Bushfire Survival Plan

Immediate

Create a detailed plan for evacuating your property in the event of a bushfire. Clear vegetation around your home and ensure you have adequate fire protection measures in place.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Improve Home Cooling and Insulation

Near-term

Install insulation, use energy-efficient air conditioning, and plant trees to shade your home and reduce heat stress during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Prepare for Flooding

Near-term

Understand your property's flood risk and take steps to protect it from flood damage. This may include installing flood barriers, elevating appliances, and storing valuables in waterproof containers.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Support Community Climate Action

Long-term

Participate in local initiatives to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to climate change. This could include supporting renewable energy projects, promoting sustainable transportation, and advocating for climate-friendly policies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About caloola's Climate Risk Profile

Caloola, located in the Australian Capital Territory, is subject to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, leading to more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Flooding can occur due to heavy rainfall and overflow from nearby waterways. Bushfires pose a significant threat during the dry summer months, particularly given the suburb's proximity to bushland areas. Heatwaves are also becoming more common, placing stress on vulnerable populations.

Residents should take proactive measures to prepare for these risks. This includes developing emergency plans, maintaining properties to reduce bushfire hazards, and staying informed about weather forecasts and warnings. Community-level initiatives, such as improved drainage systems and bushfire mitigation strategies, are also essential.

Addressing climate change through emissions reduction and adaptation measures is crucial to protecting Caloola from future climate risks. This requires a coordinated effort from individuals, businesses, and government agencies.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · ACT Emergency Services Agency · ACT Environment, Planning and Sustainable Development Directorate

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Caloola?

Caloola faces risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change.

How can I prepare my home for a bushfire?

Clear vegetation around your home, develop a bushfire survival plan, and ensure you have adequate fire protection measures in place.

What can I do to reduce my risk from heatwaves?

Improve home cooling and insulation, stay hydrated, and avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Caloola?

Check the ACT Government's flood maps and contact your local council for more information.

How is the ACT Government addressing climate change?

The ACT Government has a climate strategy that includes targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions and adapting to the impacts of climate change.

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