Climate Risk in Noosa, Queensland

Noosa, Queensland· Noosa Shire Council· 4566
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Noosa faces a medium level of climate risk, primarily driven by increasing flood, heat, bushfire and coastal hazards. Sea level rise and more intense rainfall events are key concerns. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

5.5/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
5.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

7.0/10

Noosa experiences high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwaves. Vulnerable populations are at increased risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.5

Data source

flood Risk

6.0/10

Noosa is susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall and riverine overflow, particularly in low-lying areas near the Noosa River and its tributaries.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

5.0/10

Coastal erosion and inundation are potential risks due to sea level rise, particularly affecting beachfront properties and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm surge
  • ·Erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

4.0/10

Bushfire risk is present due to the proximity of bushland areas surrounding Noosa. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·Stronger winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in high-risk areas.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone or coastal areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's elevation and proximity to waterways.
  • 3.Inquire about past flood or bushfire events.
  • 4.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise on coastal properties.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Noosa River
Elevation Range
0-100m
Flood Zone
Areas near the Noosa River are designated as flood zones.

Historical flood events have impacted properties along the Noosa River.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to Noosa National Park
Planning Overlay
Refer to the Queensland Bushfire Prone Area map.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area has experienced bushfires in the past, particularly during dry seasons.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
29.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heatwaves can pose a risk to vulnerable residents during summer months.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
0.5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying coastal areas are vulnerable to sea level rise.
Erosion Risk
Some beaches are experiencing erosion.

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Major flooding impacted the Noosa River and surrounding areas, causing property damage and disruptions.

Source
2019
bushfireModerate

Bushfires threatened areas near Noosa National Park, requiring evacuations and property protection efforts.

Source
2020
stormModerate

Severe storms caused flash flooding and property damage in Noosa.

Source
2023
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas of Noosa.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood6.06.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire4.04.3(+0.3)4.5(+0.5)
heat7.07.7(+0.7)8.2(+1.2)
coastal5.05.4(+0.4)5.8(+0.8)

By 2030, Noosa is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, increased rainfall intensity, and rising sea levels, leading to a moderate increase in overall climate risk.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement stricter building codes

Near-term

Enforce stricter building codes in flood-prone and bushfire-prone areas to improve resilience.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop community education programs

Immediate

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Protect and restore coastal ecosystems

Long-term

Protect and restore mangroves and other coastal ecosystems to buffer against sea level rise and erosion.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Establish heatwave early warning system

Immediate

Implement a heatwave early warning system to protect vulnerable populations.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Noosa's Climate Risk Profile

Noosa, located on the Sunshine Coast of Queensland, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The region is exposed to a range of hazards, including flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These risks are projected to intensify in the coming decades due to rising temperatures, changing rainfall patterns, and sea level rise.

Flooding is a significant concern for Noosa, particularly in low-lying areas along the Noosa River and its tributaries. Increased rainfall intensity and rising sea levels are expected to exacerbate flood risk, potentially impacting homes, businesses, and infrastructure. Bushfire risk is also present due to the proximity of bushland areas surrounding the suburb. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood and severity of bushfires.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Noosa, posing a threat to public health, especially for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses. Coastal erosion and inundation are also potential risks due to sea level rise, particularly affecting beachfront properties and infrastructure.

Addressing these climate risks requires a coordinated effort from all levels of government, as well as the community. Adaptation measures such as improving drainage infrastructure, implementing stricter building codes, and developing community education programs are essential to protect Noosa from the impacts of climate change. Mitigation efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions are also crucial to slow the pace of climate change and reduce the severity of future impacts.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Queensland Fire and Emergency Services · Noosa Shire Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Noosa?

The main climate change risks in Noosa include flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion, all of which are expected to worsen in the coming decades.

How is Noosa Shire Council addressing climate change?

Noosa Shire Council is implementing a range of adaptation and mitigation measures, including upgrading drainage infrastructure, enforcing stricter building codes, and developing community education programs.

What can residents do to prepare for climate change impacts?

Residents can prepare for climate change impacts by checking flood maps and bushfire prone area designations, assessing their property's elevation and proximity to waterways, and inquiring about past flood or bushfire events.

Where can I find more information about flood risks in Noosa?

You can find more information about flood risks in Noosa on the Noosa Shire Council website, including flood maps and hazard study reports.

Are there any financial assistance programs available for climate change adaptation?

Check the Noosa Shire Council and Queensland Government websites for information on available financial assistance programs for climate change adaptation measures.

How will sea level rise affect Noosa?

Sea level rise is expected to increase coastal erosion and inundation in Noosa, particularly affecting beachfront properties and infrastructure. The council is working on strategies to manage these impacts.

Get a Property-Specific Report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Noosa, use our analysis tool.

Analyse Your Property Now

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment covering flood, bushfire, and sea level rise and more.

Free instant preview · Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only