Climate Risk Profile: Franklin, ACT
Franklin, ACT, faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Bushfire risk is lower but still present. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events in the future.
Overall Risk Score
Confidence: Medium
Hazard Breakdown
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Franklin is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer months.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
6.8
2050
7.5
flood Risk
Franklin faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from Ginninderra Creek and localized stormwater events. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Creek overflow
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
6.5
2050
7.2
coastal Risk
Franklin is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
1.0
2050
1.0
bushfire Risk
The risk of bushfire in Franklin is relatively low compared to other areas in the ACT, but still present due to proximity to grasslands and reserves. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Grassland proximity
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
4.5
2050
5.1
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and heatwave risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Consider bushfire risk mitigation measures.
Local Climate Evidence
Flood Evidence
- Nearest Waterway
- Ginninderra Creek
- Elevation Range
- 580-600m
- Flood Zone
- Areas adjacent to Ginninderra Creek are prone to flooding.
Localized stormwater flooding can also occur during heavy rainfall events.
View council flood mapBushfire Evidence
- Distance to Bushland
- Adjacent to Mulligans Flat Nature Reserve
- Planning Overlay
- ACT Emergency Services Agency Bushfire Overlay
- Bushfire Prone Area
- Yes
Grassland areas pose a moderate bushfire risk.
Heat Evidence
- Avg January Max Temp
- 28.5°C
- Heat Stress Days/Year
- 3 days
Urban areas experience higher temperatures due to the urban heat island effect.
Coastal Evidence
- Distance to Coast
- 150 km
- Sea Level Rise Exposure
- Not applicable
- Erosion Risk
- Not applicable
Historical Climate Events
Severe thunderstorms caused flash flooding and property damage in the Canberra region.
SourceCanberra experienced a prolonged heatwave with temperatures exceeding 40°C for several days.
SourceHeavy rainfall caused localized flooding in parts of Franklin, affecting some residential areas.
SourceClimate Outlook to 2050
Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5
| Hazard | Today | 2030 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| flood | 6.0 | 6.5(+0.5) | 7.0(+1.0) |
| bushfire | 4.0 | 4.3(+0.3) | 4.6(+0.6) |
| heat | 6.0 | 6.7(+0.7) | 7.5(+1.5) |
| coastal | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
By 2030, Franklin is projected to experience a moderate increase in flood and heatwave risks. Bushfire risk will also increase slightly. Adaptation measures are needed to mitigate these impacts.
CSIRO Climate ProjectionsAdaptation Recommendations
Improve stormwater drainage
Near-termUpgrade stormwater infrastructure to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of localized flooding.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement heatwave action plan
ImmediateDevelop and implement a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreIncrease tree canopy cover
Long-termPlant more trees to provide shade and reduce the urban heat island effect.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreCommunity awareness programs
Near-termEducate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures through community workshops and online resources.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Franklin's Climate Risk Profile
Franklin, located in the northern part of Canberra, is projected to experience increased climate-related challenges in the coming decades. The primary risks include flooding from Ginninderra Creek and more frequent and intense heatwaves. While the suburb is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change will still be felt.
Flooding is a significant concern, with potential for increased rainfall intensity leading to more frequent and severe events. The local topography and drainage systems need to be carefully managed to mitigate these risks. Residents should be aware of flood warnings and have evacuation plans in place.
Heatwaves are another growing threat, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect can exacerbate these risks, making it essential to implement strategies to reduce temperatures in built-up areas.
Bushfire risk is lower compared to other parts of the ACT, but the proximity to grasslands and reserves means that residents should remain vigilant, especially during dry periods. Maintaining defensible space around properties and following fire safety guidelines are crucial.
Overall, Franklin needs to adapt to a changing climate by investing in infrastructure improvements, implementing heat mitigation strategies, and raising community awareness about climate risks. By taking proactive measures, the suburb can enhance its resilience and protect its residents from the impacts of climate change.
Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · ACT Emergency Services Agency · ACT City Services
Local Government Resources
ACT Government
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Franklin?
The main climate risks in Franklin are flooding from Ginninderra Creek and more frequent and intense heatwaves. There is also a moderate risk of bushfire due to proximity to grasslands.
How will climate change affect property values in Franklin?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value. Increased insurance premiums due to flood and heatwave risks may also affect property values.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Franklin?
Stay indoors during the hottest part of the day, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Consider installing air conditioning or using fans to stay cool.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Franklin?
You can find flood maps and information on the ACT City Services website. The ACT Emergency Services Agency also provides information about flood preparedness.
Is Franklin in a bushfire-prone area?
Yes, Franklin is considered a bushfire-prone area due to its proximity to grasslands and reserves. Residents should maintain defensible space around their properties and follow fire safety guidelines.
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