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PROPERTY ANALYTICS

Climate Risk in Elizabeth East, SA

Elizabeth East, South Australia· City of Playford· 5112
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Elizabeth East faces moderate climate risks, primarily related to heatwaves and flooding. While bushfire and coastal risks are low, the increasing frequency and intensity of heatwaves pose a significant concern for residents. Proactive adaptation measures are recommended to mitigate these risks.

Overall Risk Score

5.2/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.5
Bushfire
3.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

7.0/10

Elizabeth East experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. The urban heat island effect exacerbates the risk, leading to higher temperatures compared to surrounding rural areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Reduced vegetation cover

Projections (RCP4.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

4.5/10

Elizabeth East faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The risk is influenced by local topography and drainage infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Heavy rainfall
  • ·Stormwater runoff
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP4.5)

2030

4.7

2050

5.0

Data source

coastal Risk

1.0/10

Elizabeth East is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea-level rise or coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP4.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

3.0/10

The bushfire risk in Elizabeth East is relatively low due to its urban setting and distance from large areas of dense vegetation. However, grassfires can still pose a threat during dry periods.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Wind
  • ·Arson

Projections (RCP4.5)

2030

3.2

2050

3.4

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to heatwave and flood risks.

Price Impact

Properties may experience moderate price fluctuations due to climate-related risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood history of the property.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Ensure adequate home insurance coverage.
  • 4.Review local council's climate adaptation plans.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Dry Creek
Elevation Range
20-30m
Flood Zone
Low to Moderate

Local drainage infrastructure is maintained by the City of Playford.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
2km
Planning Overlay
Limited bushfire overlay
Bushfire Prone Area
No

Grassfires are the primary concern in this area.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Urban heat island effect is noticeable in Elizabeth East.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
25 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2009
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave affected South Australia, including Elizabeth East, leading to increased hospital admissions.

Source
2016
stormModerate

A severe storm caused flash flooding and power outages in parts of Elizabeth East.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Another heatwave event impacted Elizabeth East, with temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius for several consecutive days.

Source
2022
floodMinor

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas of Elizabeth East.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood4.54.7(+0.2)4.9(+0.4)
bushfire3.03.1(+0.1)3.2(+0.2)
heat7.07.8(+0.8)8.5(+1.5)
coastal1.01.01.0

By 2030, Elizabeth East is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, primarily driven by more frequent and intense heatwaves. Flood risk may also increase slightly due to changes in rainfall patterns.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Implement urban greening initiatives

Near-term

Increase tree canopy cover and green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Upgrade stormwater drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Improve drainage systems to reduce the risk of localized flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop a community heatwave plan

Immediate

Establish a plan to support vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers and outreach programs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote water-sensitive urban design

Long-term

Incorporate water-sensitive design principles in new developments to reduce stormwater runoff and improve water quality.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Elizabeth East's Climate Risk Profile

Elizabeth East, located in the northern suburbs of Adelaide, is subject to a range of climate-related risks. The most pressing concern is the increasing frequency and intensity of heatwaves, which can pose a significant threat to vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect further exacerbates this risk, leading to higher temperatures compared to surrounding areas.

Flooding is another potential hazard, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. While the area is not directly adjacent to a major river, stormwater runoff and inadequate drainage infrastructure can contribute to localized flooding. It is important to maintain and upgrade drainage systems to mitigate this risk.

Bushfire risk is relatively low due to the suburb's urban setting and distance from large areas of dense vegetation. However, grassfires can still occur during dry periods, posing a threat to properties and residents. Maintaining clear firebreaks and practicing fire safety precautions are essential.

Coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location. Sea-level rise and coastal erosion are not direct threats to Elizabeth East. However, the broader impacts of climate change on the region, such as changes in rainfall patterns and increased temperatures, can still affect the suburb.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · SA SES · City of Playford

Local Government Resources

City of Playford

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Elizabeth East?

The main climate change risks in Elizabeth East are heatwaves and flooding. Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, while flooding can occur during periods of heavy rainfall.

How is the City of Playford addressing climate change?

The City of Playford is implementing various initiatives to address climate change, including urban greening projects, stormwater management upgrades, and community education programs.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Elizabeth East?

To prepare for heatwaves, stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, check on vulnerable neighbors, and follow advice from SA Health.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Elizabeth East?

Information about flood risks in Elizabeth East can be found on the City of Playford website and the SA SES website.

Are there any community groups working on climate change in Elizabeth East?

Yes, there are several community groups in the City of Playford that are working on climate change and sustainability initiatives. Contact the City of Playford for more information.

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