Climate Risk in Henley Beach, SA

Henley Beach, South Australia· City of Charles Sturt· 5022
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Henley Beach faces a medium climate risk, primarily due to flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Sea level rise and increased rainfall intensity are key drivers of these risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and take steps to protect their property.

Overall Risk Score

5.2/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
2.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
5.5

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

7.0/10

Henley Beach is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This could pose a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

6.5/10

Henley Beach faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to the Patawalonga River. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

5.5/10

Henley Beach faces a moderate risk of coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise and storm surge. This could damage coastal infrastructure and property.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
  • ·Erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.0

2050

6.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

2.0/10

The risk of bushfire in Henley Beach is relatively low due to its coastal location and lack of significant vegetation. However, dry conditions and strong winds could increase the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry conditions
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Proximity to grasslands

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

2.2

2050

2.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase in the future due to climate change risks.

Price Impact

Climate change risks may have a moderate impact on property values in the long term.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider the potential impact of sea level rise on coastal properties.
  • 4.Inquire about council plans for climate change adaptation.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Patawalonga River
Elevation Range
0-10 meters
Flood Zone
Coastal Flood Zone

The Patawalonga River is prone to flooding during heavy rainfall events. The council has implemented some flood mitigation measures, but further investment is needed.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
5 km to nearest grassland
Planning Overlay
Not within a designated bushfire overlay area
Bushfire Prone Area
No

While not a high-risk area, residents should still be aware of bushfire safety during the fire danger season.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
29.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Adelaide. Residents should take precautions to stay cool during hot weather.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
0.1 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Moderate exposure to sea level rise
Erosion Risk
Moderate erosion risk

Historical Climate Events

2016
stormModerate

Severe storms caused flash flooding and power outages across Adelaide, including Henley Beach.

Source
2019
heatwaveMajor

Adelaide experienced a record-breaking heatwave in January 2019, with temperatures exceeding 46°C.

Source
2022
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in parts of Adelaide, including areas near the Patawalonga River.

Source
1948
floodMajor

Significant flooding occurred in the Patawalonga catchment, impacting Henley Beach and surrounding areas.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood6.56.7(+0.2)6.9(+0.4)
bushfire2.02.1(+0.1)2.2(+0.2)
heat7.07.5(+0.5)8.0(+1.0)
coastal5.55.7(+0.2)5.9(+0.4)

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Henley Beach is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk by 2030. Heatwaves are expected to become more frequent and intense, while the risk of flooding and coastal erosion will also increase.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to cope with increased rainfall and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement a heatwave early warning system

Immediate

Develop a system to alert residents to impending heatwaves and provide advice on how to stay safe.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Protect coastal ecosystems

Long-term

Restore and protect coastal dunes and vegetation to reduce erosion and provide natural buffers against storm surge.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Raise awareness of climate change risks

Near-term

Educate residents about the risks of climate change and how to prepare for extreme weather events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Near-term

Encourage residents to conserve water to reduce demand on water resources during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Henley Beach's Climate Risk Profile

Henley Beach, a coastal suburb of Adelaide, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from increased rainfall and storm surge, heatwaves with rising temperatures, and coastal erosion due to sea level rise.

The suburb's low-lying coastal location makes it particularly susceptible to flooding. The Patawalonga River, which flows near Henley Beach, can overflow during heavy rainfall events, inundating nearby properties. Sea level rise is also exacerbating the risk of coastal inundation, especially during storm surges.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in South Australia, posing a significant health risk to residents, especially the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. The urban heat island effect can further amplify temperatures in built-up areas.

Coastal erosion is another concern for Henley Beach. Sea level rise is causing increased erosion of the coastline, threatening beaches, dunes, and coastal infrastructure. Protecting the coastline will require ongoing management and adaptation measures.

Addressing these climate risks will require a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions is essential to slow the pace of climate change. Local adaptation measures, such as improving drainage infrastructure, implementing heatwave early warning systems, and protecting coastal ecosystems, can help to reduce the impacts of climate change on Henley Beach.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · SA SES · City of Charles Sturt

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Henley Beach?

The main climate change risks in Henley Beach are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These risks are driven by increased rainfall intensity, rising temperatures, and sea level rise.

How will sea level rise affect Henley Beach?

Sea level rise will increase the risk of coastal inundation and erosion in Henley Beach. This could damage coastal infrastructure and property, and threaten beaches and dunes.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Henley Beach?

During heatwaves, it is important to stay cool, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members. Consider installing air conditioning or visiting a cooling center.

Is my property at risk of flooding in Henley Beach?

Properties near the Patawalonga River and in low-lying coastal areas are at higher risk of flooding. Check the council's flood maps to assess your property's risk. Ensure you have adequate insurance coverage.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Henley Beach?

The City of Charles Sturt is implementing a range of measures to address climate change, including upgrading drainage infrastructure, promoting water conservation, and developing a climate change adaptation strategy.

Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Henley Beach?

You can find more information about climate change risks in Henley Beach on the City of Charles Sturt website, the South Australian Department for Environment and Water website, and the CSIRO website.

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