ClimateNest
ClimateNest
PROPERTY ANALYTICS

Climate Risk in Baldivis, WA

Baldivis, Western Australia· City of Rockingham· 6171
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Baldivis is a suburb in Western Australia that faces moderate to high risks from climate change. The primary concerns are bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Residents should take steps to prepare for these risks.

Overall Risk Score

5.5/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.0
Bushfire
6.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
5.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

7.0/10

Baldivis is experiencing increasingly frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

4.0/10

Baldivis faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and localized drainage issues. Low-lying areas are more susceptible.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development reducing permeable surfaces

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

coastal Risk

5.0/10

Baldivis faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to the coast. Sea level rise and storm surges are potential threats.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

6.0/10

Baldivis has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry summers and strong winds exacerbate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.0

2050

6.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate-related risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price impacts.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider the potential impacts of sea level rise.
  • 4.Review insurance options and costs.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Unnamed Creek
Elevation Range
5-30m
Flood Zone
Low-lying areas near creeks

Localized flooding can occur during periods of heavy rainfall.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland reserves
Planning Overlay
Bushfire Prone Area
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area is designated as a bushfire prone area due to the surrounding vegetation.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in the region.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying coastal areas may be exposed to sea level rise.
Erosion Risk
Moderate erosion risk along the coastline

Historical Climate Events

2010
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in Baldivis, affecting some residential areas.

Source
2011
bushfireMinor

A bushfire near Baldivis threatened properties but was contained by firefighters.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave affected Baldivis, with temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius for several days.

Source
2021
bushfireModerate

Bushfire in nearby area caused smoke haze and concern for residents.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood4.04.3(+0.3)4.5(+0.5)
bushfire6.06.2(+0.2)6.2(+0.2)
heat7.07.7(+0.7)8.2(+1.2)
coastal5.05.3(+0.3)5.5(+0.5)

By 2030, Baldivis is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with heatwaves posing the most significant threat. Bushfire risk will remain high, and coastal hazards will become more pronounced.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Develop a Bushfire Survival Plan

Immediate

Create a plan for evacuating your home in the event of a bushfire. Clear vegetation around your property and ensure you have adequate insurance coverage.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Improve Home Cooling

Near-term

Install air conditioning or fans to help keep your home cool during heatwaves. Insulate your home to reduce heat gain and consider planting shade trees.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure

Long-term

The local council should invest in upgrading drainage infrastructure to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Protect Coastal Areas

Long-term

Implement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and dune restoration, to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and storm surges.

Est. cost: Very High

Learn more

About Baldivis's Climate Risk Profile

Baldivis, Western Australia, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Rising temperatures, changing rainfall patterns, and sea level rise are all contributing to increased risks for the community.

Bushfire risk is a significant concern due to the suburb's proximity to bushland. Hot, dry summers create ideal conditions for bushfires, and strong winds can quickly spread flames. Residents should maintain their properties and have a bushfire survival plan in place.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. It is important to stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on neighbors during heatwaves.

Coastal hazards, such as sea level rise and storm surges, also pose a threat to Baldivis. Low-lying coastal areas are particularly vulnerable to inundation and erosion. Planning for future coastal changes is essential to protect infrastructure and property.

Flooding from heavy rainfall events can also impact Baldivis. Localized drainage issues can exacerbate flooding in some areas. Residents should be aware of flood risks and take steps to protect their homes and businesses.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · DFES · City of Rockingham

Local Government Resources

City of Rockingham

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Baldivis?

The main climate change risks in Baldivis are bushfires, heatwaves, coastal hazards, and flooding.

How can I prepare my home for a bushfire?

Clear vegetation around your property, develop a bushfire survival plan, and ensure you have adequate insurance coverage.

What can I do to stay cool during a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on neighbors.

Is my property at risk from sea level rise?

If your property is located in a low-lying coastal area, it may be at risk from sea level rise. Check with the local council for more information.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Baldivis?

You can find more information about climate change in Baldivis on the City of Rockingham website and the websites of relevant state government agencies.

Get a Property-Specific Report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Baldivis, use our analysis tool.

Analyse a Property in Baldivis →

Analyse Your Property Now

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment covering flood, bushfire, and sea level rise and more.

Free instant preview · Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only