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PROPERTY ANALYTICS

Climate Risk Assessment for Bickley, Western Australia

Bickley, Western Australia· UNKNOWN
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Bickley faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, and a high risk of bushfires. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly in relation to flooding and heatwaves. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

5.8/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.2
Bushfire
7.5
Heat
6.1
Coastal
1.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

6.1/10

Bickley experiences a moderate risk from heatwaves, with increasing average temperatures during summer months. Vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions, are most at risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.8

2050

7.5

Data source

flood Risk

4.2/10

Bickley faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from nearby creeks and drainage systems. Properties in low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.7

2050

5.3

Data source

coastal Risk

1.0/10

Bickley has a low risk from coastal hazards due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats to this suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (Current)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

7.5/10

Bickley has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to dense bushland. Hot, dry summers and strong winds can create dangerous conditions, increasing the likelihood of bushfires impacting the area.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds

Projections (Current)

2030

7.5

2050

7.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to bushfire and flood risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check bushfire risk assessment
  • 2.Assess flood risk for the property
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency upgrades
  • 4.Review insurance options

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Numerous creeks and drainage systems
Elevation Range
Varies across the suburb
Flood Zone
Areas near creeks and low-lying areas

Local drainage infrastructure may be inadequate to handle increasingly intense rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to dense bushland
Planning Overlay
DFES Bushfire Prone Areas Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Many properties are located within designated bushfire prone areas.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3.2 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in the region.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
25 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2010
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas of Bickley.

Source
2011
bushfireModerate

A bushfire near Bickley threatened properties and required emergency response.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased heat stress and health concerns for residents.

Source
2022
floodMinor

Minor flooding occurred due to heavy rainfall, impacting some properties.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood4.24.5(+0.3)5.0(+0.8)
bushfire7.57.6(+0.1)7.7(+0.2)
heat6.16.7(+0.6)7.6(+1.5)
coastal1.01.01.0

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Bickley is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in flood and heatwave risks.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade local drainage systems to better manage increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement bushfire management strategies

Immediate

Undertake vegetation management and controlled burns to reduce bushfire fuel loads.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a heatwave response plan

Near-term

Establish a community heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce water stress during periods of drought.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Home Hardening

Immediate

Retrofit homes with ember resistant screens and seal gaps to reduce bushfire risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Bickley's Climate Risk Profile

Bickley, Western Australia, is a suburb that faces a range of climate-related risks. The most significant of these is bushfire risk, due to the suburb's proximity to dense bushland. Hot, dry summers and strong winds create conditions conducive to bushfires, posing a threat to properties and lives.

Flooding is another concern for Bickley, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. Creeks and drainage systems in the area can overflow, leading to localized flooding. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall events, potentially exacerbating this risk.

Heatwaves are also becoming more frequent and intense in Bickley, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations. Rising average temperatures during summer months can lead to heat stress and other heat-related illnesses.

While coastal hazards are not a major concern for Bickley due to its inland location, the suburb is still indirectly affected by climate change impacts on the broader region. Changes in rainfall patterns and increased temperatures can have cascading effects on the local environment and economy.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions is essential to slow the pace of climate change, while local adaptation measures can help to protect communities from the impacts that are already occurring.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · DFES

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Flood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Bickley?

Bickley faces significant risks from bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase with climate change.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires in Bickley?

You can prepare your property by clearing vegetation around your home, installing ember-resistant screens, and developing a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave in Bickley?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Is my property in Bickley at risk of flooding?

Properties in low-lying areas near creeks and drainage systems are at higher risk of flooding. Check local flood maps and consider flood insurance.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Bickley?

The local council is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies to reduce the impacts of climate change on the community. Check the council website for more information.

Where can I find more information about emergency services in Bickley?

You can find more information about emergency services on the Department of Fire and Emergency Services (DFES) website.

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