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PROPERTY ANALYTICS

Climate Risk in Collie, WA

Collie, Western Australia· Collie· 6225
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Collie faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to increase with climate change. While coastal risks are minimal, residents should prepare for more extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

5.8/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
7.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
1.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

5.0/10

Collie is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising temperatures
  • ·Heatwave frequency
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

6.5/10

Collie faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Collie River and other waterways. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·River overflow
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

1.0/10

Collie is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

7.0/10

Collie has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding forests and dry conditions during summer. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the rising risk of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Consider the long-term climate risks.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Collie River
Elevation Range
250-300m
Flood Zone
Areas near the Collie River are prone to flooding.

The Collie River has a history of flooding, and the town has implemented some flood mitigation measures.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to state forests
Planning Overlay
Bushfire Prone Area
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The Shire of Collie is actively working to reduce bushfire risk through fuel reduction and community education programs.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Collie experiences several days above 35°C each summer, increasing the risk of heat stress.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
170 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused the Collie River to flood, affecting some properties in low-lying areas.

Source
2016
bushfireModerate

A bushfire near Collie threatened some properties but was contained by firefighters.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Collie experienced a prolonged heatwave with temperatures exceeding 40°C for several days.

Source
2022
floodMinor

Minor flooding occurred in some parts of Collie due to heavy rainfall.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood6.56.7(+0.2)7.2(+0.7)
bushfire7.07.4(+0.4)8.0(+1.0)
heat5.05.3(+0.3)6.0(+1.0)
coastal1.01.01.0

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Collie is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, with bushfire risk increasing more significantly than other hazards.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in flood mitigation infrastructure, such as levees and drainage improvements, to protect properties from flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement fuel reduction programs, improve firebreaks, and educate residents about bushfire safety.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a Heatwave Management Plan

Near-term

Create a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage residents and businesses to conserve water to reduce the impact of droughts and water scarcity.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Collie's Climate Risk Profile

Collie, located in Western Australia, is susceptible to several climate-related hazards. The town's proximity to the Collie River increases its vulnerability to flooding, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change is projected to intensify rainfall events, potentially leading to more frequent and severe floods.

The surrounding forests also pose a significant bushfire risk to Collie. Hot, dry summers create ideal conditions for bushfires, and climate change is expected to exacerbate these conditions. Increased temperatures and prolonged droughts could lead to more frequent and intense bushfires, threatening lives and property.

Heatwaves are another growing concern for Collie. As temperatures rise, the town is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, which can have serious health impacts, especially for vulnerable populations. Infrastructure may also be affected by extreme heat.

While Collie is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and economic activity, could still affect the town. Residents and businesses should take steps to adapt to these changing conditions and build resilience to climate-related risks.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · DFES

Local Government Resources

Shire of Collie

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Collie?

Collie faces increasing risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves due to climate change. These risks are projected to worsen in the future.

How is the Shire of Collie addressing climate change?

The Shire of Collie is developing strategies to mitigate and adapt to climate change, including improving flood defenses and enhancing bushfire preparedness.

What can residents do to prepare for climate change?

Residents can prepare by taking steps to reduce their risk from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, such as maintaining their properties, having an emergency plan, and conserving water.

Will climate change affect property values in Collie?

Climate change could potentially affect property values in high-risk areas, particularly those prone to flooding or bushfires.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Collie?

You can find more information on the Shire of Collie website, the Department of Fire and Emergency Services website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.

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