Climate Risk in Cooloongup, WA

Cooloongup, Western Australia· City of Rockingham· 6168
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Cooloongup faces moderate risks from various climate hazards, including flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change. Residents should take steps to prepare for these hazards and mitigate their impact.

Overall Risk Score

5.2/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.0
Bushfire
6.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
6.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

5.0/10

Cooloongup experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.5

Data source

flood Risk

4.0/10

Cooloongup faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The risk is expected to increase with climate change due to more intense rainfall.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Stormwater runoff
  • ·Sea level rise impacting drainage

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.5

Data source

coastal Risk

6.0/10

Cooloongup faces a moderate to high coastal risk due to its proximity to the coast. Sea level rise and storm surges pose a threat to coastal infrastructure and properties. Erosion is also a concern.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Coastal erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

6.0/10

Cooloongup has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry summers and strong winds exacerbate the risk. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Hot temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Increased frequency of extreme weather events

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to coastal erosion.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance coverage and potential premium increases.
  • 4.Consider the property's energy efficiency and cooling needs.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Cockburn Sound
Elevation Range
5-20 meters
Flood Zone
Areas near the coast and low-lying areas are susceptible to flooding.

The City of Rockingham has implemented stormwater management plans to mitigate flood risks.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland reserves
Planning Overlay
DFES Bushfire Prone Areas Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents are advised to maintain firebreaks and clear vegetation around their properties.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Elderly residents and those with chronic health conditions are particularly vulnerable to heat stress.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
1.5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying coastal areas are at risk from sea level rise.
Erosion Risk
Moderate erosion risk along the coastline.

Historical Climate Events

2010
stormModerate

A severe storm caused localized flooding and power outages in Cooloongup.

Source
2011
floodMinor

Heavy rainfall resulted in minor flooding in low-lying areas of Cooloongup.

Source
2015
bushfireModerate

A bushfire near Cooloongup threatened properties and required evacuations.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave caused heat stress and health concerns in Cooloongup.

Source
2021
coastalMinor

High tides and storm surges caused minor coastal erosion in Cooloongup.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday2030205020302050
flood4.04.2(+0.2)4.5(+0.5)4.3(+0.3)4.8(+0.8)
bushfire6.06.4(+0.4)6.8(+0.8)6.6(+0.6)7.3(+1.3)
heat5.05.3(+0.3)5.6(+0.6)5.5(+0.5)6.0(+1.0)
coastal6.06.3(+0.3)6.7(+0.7)6.4(+0.4)7.1(+1.1)

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Cooloongup is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk by 2030, with notable increases in bushfire and heat risks.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve stormwater drainage

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire risk mitigation

Immediate

Implement bushfire risk mitigation measures, such as clearing vegetation and creating firebreaks around properties.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Heatwave preparedness

Near-term

Develop a heatwave preparedness plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Coastal protection measures

Long-term

Invest in coastal protection measures to mitigate erosion and protect coastal properties from sea level rise.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Community education

Near-term

Raise community awareness about climate risks and adaptation strategies through educational programs and outreach initiatives.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Cooloongup's Climate Risk Profile

Cooloongup, located in Western Australia, is susceptible to a range of climate-related risks. The suburb's proximity to bushland increases its vulnerability to bushfires, particularly during the hot, dry summer months. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these conditions, leading to more frequent and intense bushfire events.

Flooding is another concern for Cooloongup, with heavy rainfall events and stormwater runoff posing a threat to properties and infrastructure. Sea level rise could also impact drainage systems, increasing the risk of flooding in low-lying areas. The suburb also experiences heatwaves, which are projected to become more frequent and severe due to climate change.

Coastal erosion is a significant issue for Cooloongup, with sea level rise and storm surges threatening coastal properties and infrastructure. The suburb's location near the coast makes it particularly vulnerable to these impacts. It is important for residents to take steps to protect their properties and prepare for these hazards.

Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including mitigation measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adaptation strategies to prepare for the impacts of climate change. This includes investing in infrastructure improvements, implementing stricter building codes, and raising community awareness about climate risks.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · DFES · City of Rockingham

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Cooloongup?

Cooloongup faces risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion, all of which are projected to increase with climate change.

How can I protect my property from bushfires?

You can protect your property by clearing vegetation, creating firebreaks, and maintaining your property regularly.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay indoors, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on elderly neighbors and vulnerable individuals.

How is the City of Rockingham addressing climate change?

The City of Rockingham is implementing various strategies to mitigate and adapt to climate change, including stormwater management, coastal protection, and community education programs.

Where can I find more information about climate risks in Cooloongup?

You can find more information on the City of Rockingham website, the Department of Fire and Emergency Services website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.

Will climate change affect my insurance premiums in Cooloongup?

Yes, it is possible that insurance premiums may increase in the future due to the increasing risks associated with climate change, particularly related to flooding and bushfires.

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