Climate Risk in Exmouth, WA

Exmouth, Western Australia· Shire of Exmouth· 6707
High Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Exmouth is a coastal town in Western Australia facing increasing climate risks. The primary hazards are bushfires, heatwaves, coastal erosion, and flooding, all of which are projected to worsen with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

7.2/10
High

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
8.0
Heat
7.5
Coastal
7.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

7.5/10

Exmouth is subject to extreme heat events, with temperatures frequently exceeding 40°C during summer. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

8.0

2050

8.5

Data source

flood Risk

6.5/10

Exmouth faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and storm surges. The town's low-lying coastal location makes it susceptible to inundation.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Storm surge

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.8

Data source

coastal Risk

7.0/10

Exmouth is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise and storm surges. The town's proximity to the coast makes it particularly susceptible.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.2

Data source

bushfire Risk

8.0/10

Exmouth experiences a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding dry vegetation and hot, windy conditions during the summer months. The risk is exacerbated by climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Prolonged drought
  • ·Strong winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

8.5

2050

9.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to coastal erosion.
  • 3.Consider the cost of insurance and potential for increased premiums.
  • 4.Inquire about local adaptation plans and infrastructure upgrades.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Exmouth Gulf
Elevation Range
0-20m
Flood Zone
Coastal Floodplain

Low-lying areas near the coast are most vulnerable to flooding.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent
Planning Overlay
DFES Bushfire Prone Area Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Much of the area surrounding Exmouth is designated as bushfire prone.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
38°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
15 days

Exmouth experiences numerous days above 40°C during summer.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
0.5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
High
Erosion Risk
Moderate

Historical Climate Events

2014
stormModerate

Tropical Cyclone Christine caused heavy rainfall and flooding in the Exmouth region.

Source
2015
heatwaveModerate

Exmouth experienced a prolonged heatwave with temperatures exceeding 40°C for several consecutive days.

Source
2021
floodMinor

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in Exmouth, disrupting traffic and damaging property.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood6.56.8(+0.3)7.2(+0.7)
bushfire8.08.6(+0.6)9.0(+1.0)
heat7.57.9(+0.4)8.3(+0.8)
coastal7.07.2(+0.2)7.5(+0.5)

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Exmouth is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, with bushfire risk increasing most significantly.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement stricter building codes for fire resistance, clear vegetation around properties, and develop community evacuation plans.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Enhance Flood Defenses

Near-term

Construct seawalls and levees to protect coastal areas from erosion and inundation, and improve drainage infrastructure to manage floodwaters.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Heatwave Action Plan

Immediate

Develop a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations, including establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Implement water restrictions and promote water-efficient landscaping to conserve water resources during prolonged drought periods.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Exmouth's Climate Risk Profile

Exmouth, located in the Gascoyne region of Western Australia, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The town's coastal location and arid climate make it particularly susceptible to a range of hazards, including bushfires, heatwaves, coastal erosion, and flooding.

Bushfire risk is a significant concern, with the surrounding dry vegetation providing ample fuel for fires during the hot, dry summer months. Climate change is expected to exacerbate this risk by increasing temperatures and prolonging drought periods. Residents should be aware of bushfire safety measures and have evacuation plans in place.

Heatwaves are also becoming more frequent and intense, posing a threat to public health, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. It is important to stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and avoid strenuous activity during heatwaves.

Coastal erosion and inundation are also major concerns, as sea level rise and storm surges threaten to erode beaches, damage infrastructure, and inundate low-lying areas. The town's coastal location makes it particularly vulnerable to these impacts.

Flooding can occur from heavy rainfall events and storm surges, causing damage to property and infrastructure. It is important to be aware of flood warnings and take steps to protect your property.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · DFES

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Exmouth?

Exmouth faces increasing risks from bushfires, heatwaves, coastal erosion, and flooding due to climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Exmouth?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions due to increased climate risks.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Exmouth?

The Shire of Exmouth is developing climate adaptation plans and implementing measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

How can I prepare my home for bushfires in Exmouth?

Clear vegetation around your property, install fire-resistant building materials, and develop a bushfire survival plan.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Exmouth?

You can find flood maps and information on the Shire of Exmouth website and the Department of Fire and Emergency Services website.

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