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PROPERTY ANALYTICS

Climate Risk in Greenfields, Western Australia

Greenfields, Western Australia· UNKNOWN
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Greenfields faces a moderate climate risk, with increasing threats from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and take steps to mitigate their impact.

Overall Risk Score

5.8/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.2
Heat
7.0
Coastal
5.5

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

7.0/10

Greenfields experiences a high risk of heatwaves, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent extreme heat events. This poses a significant threat to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

6.5/10

Greenfields faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine overflow. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

5.5/10

Greenfields faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to the coast. Sea level rise and storm surges could impact low-lying areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Coastal erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.0

2050

6.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

4.2/10

The bushfire risk in Greenfields is moderate due to the proximity of bushland areas. Hot, dry summers increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Wind

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

4.8

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider the potential impact of sea level rise.
  • 4.Review bushfire risk management plans.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Serpentine River
Elevation Range
5-15m
Flood Zone
Areas near the Serpentine River are prone to flooding.

Historical flood data indicates that areas near the Serpentine River have experienced flooding in the past.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
1-2km
Planning Overlay
DFES Bushfire Prone Areas Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The western edge of Greenfields borders bushland, increasing bushfire risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

The number of days exceeding 35°C is projected to increase in the coming years.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying areas may be exposed to sea level rise.
Erosion Risk
Minimal erosion risk currently.

Historical Climate Events

2017
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in Greenfields, affecting several homes and businesses.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions and strain on the electricity grid.

Source
2021
bushfireMinor

A bushfire near Greenfields prompted evacuations and damaged some properties.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood6.56.8(+0.3)7.1(+0.6)
bushfire4.24.3(+0.1)4.5(+0.3)
heat7.07.8(+0.8)8.5(+1.5)
coastal5.55.8(+0.3)6.1(+0.6)

By 2030, Greenfields is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave frequency and intensity, along with a moderate rise in flood risk due to more intense rainfall events. Coastal risks will also slightly increase due to sea level rise.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Heat Action Plans

Immediate

Develop and implement heat action plans to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen Coastal Defenses

Long-term

Invest in coastal defenses to protect against sea level rise and storm surges.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Risk Mitigation

Near-term

Implement bushfire risk mitigation strategies, including vegetation management and community education.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Greenfields's Climate Risk Profile

Greenfields is a suburb in Western Australia that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The region is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, increased rainfall leading to flooding, and rising sea levels that threaten coastal areas.

The risk of flooding is a significant concern for Greenfields. Heavy rainfall events can overwhelm drainage systems, leading to property damage and disruption to daily life. Climate change is projected to increase the intensity of rainfall, exacerbating the risk of flooding in the future.

Heatwaves are another major threat to Greenfields. As average temperatures rise, the risk of heatstroke and other heat-related illnesses increases, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and young children. The urban heat island effect can further amplify the impact of heatwaves in densely populated areas.

Coastal hazards, including sea level rise and storm surges, also pose a risk to Greenfields. Low-lying coastal areas are particularly vulnerable to inundation and erosion, which can damage infrastructure and displace residents. The long-term impacts of climate change on coastal areas are uncertain, but it is clear that proactive measures are needed to protect coastal communities.

Addressing these climate risks requires a coordinated effort from government, businesses, and individuals. Investing in infrastructure improvements, implementing adaptation strategies, and reducing greenhouse gas emissions are all essential steps to protect Greenfields from the impacts of climate change.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · DFES

Local Government Resources

City of Mandurah

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Greenfields?

Greenfields faces increasing risks from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards due to climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Greenfields?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value, while those in less vulnerable areas may be less affected.

What can I do to protect my home from flooding?

Consider installing flood barriers, improving drainage around your property, and purchasing flood insurance.

How can I prepare for a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

What is the local council doing to address climate change?

The City of Mandurah is implementing various strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

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