Climate Risk Profile: Shire of Exmouth, Western Australia

Shire of Exmouth, Western Australia· UNKNOWN
High Risk
Updated Mar 2026

The Shire of Exmouth faces significant climate-related risks, including flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change. Adaptation measures are crucial to protect the community and environment.

Overall Risk Score

7.2/10
High

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
8.0
Heat
7.5
Coastal
7.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

7.5/10

The Shire of Exmouth experiences high temperatures, particularly during the summer months, leading to heat stress and potential health impacts.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

8.0

2050

8.5

Data source

flood Risk

6.5/10

The Shire of Exmouth faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and storm surges. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

7.0/10

The Shire of Exmouth is vulnerable to coastal hazards such as sea level rise, coastal erosion, and storm surges, impacting coastal infrastructure and ecosystems.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
  • ·Coastal erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

8.0/10

The Shire of Exmouth has a high risk of bushfires due to the dry climate and surrounding vegetation. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds exacerbate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Prolonged drought
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

8.5

2050

9.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price depreciation.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to coastal hazards.
  • 3.Consider the cost of insurance and potential climate impacts on property value.
  • 4.Inquire about local adaptation plans and initiatives.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Exmouth Gulf
Elevation Range
0-100m
Flood Zone
Coastal and riverine floodplains

Low-lying coastal areas are particularly vulnerable to storm surges.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to Cape Range National Park
Planning Overlay
DFES Bushfire Prone Areas Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area is surrounded by flammable vegetation, increasing bushfire risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
38°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

High temperatures during summer months can lead to heat stress.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
0.5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
High
Erosion Risk
Moderate

Historical Climate Events

2010
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in low-lying areas of Exmouth.

Source
2015
bushfireMajor

A large bushfire threatened the town of Exmouth, requiring evacuations.

Source
2018
heatwaveModerate

Record-breaking temperatures led to heat stress and health concerns.

Source
2021
coastalMinor

Storm surge caused minor coastal erosion and damage to infrastructure.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood6.56.8(+0.3)7.1(+0.6)
bushfire8.08.4(+0.4)8.8(+0.8)
heat7.58.1(+0.6)8.7(+1.2)
coastal7.07.2(+0.2)7.4(+0.4)

By 2030, the Shire of Exmouth is projected to experience increased frequency and intensity of heatwaves, bushfires, and coastal flooding due to climate change.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to manage increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement bushfire management strategies

Immediate

Reduce fuel loads and create firebreaks to protect communities from bushfires.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop a heatwave response plan

Near-term

Establish cooling centers and provide public awareness campaigns to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Protect coastal areas from erosion

Long-term

Implement coastal protection measures such as seawalls and beach nourishment to reduce erosion and protect infrastructure.

Est. cost: Very High

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage water-wise practices to reduce water demand and ensure water security.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Shire of Exmouth's Climate Risk Profile

The Shire of Exmouth is located in a region highly susceptible to the impacts of climate change. Rising temperatures, changing rainfall patterns, and sea level rise pose significant challenges to the local community and environment.

Flooding is a major concern, with low-lying areas at risk from heavy rainfall events and storm surges. The increasing intensity of rainfall and rising sea levels are expected to exacerbate flooding in the future. Bushfires are also a significant threat, particularly during the dry season. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds create ideal conditions for bushfires to spread rapidly.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing risks to human health and infrastructure. The elderly, children, and those with chronic health conditions are particularly vulnerable to heat stress. Coastal erosion and sea level rise threaten coastal infrastructure, ecosystems, and communities. The Shire of Exmouth needs to implement adaptation measures to mitigate these risks and protect its residents and environment.

Addressing these climate risks requires a coordinated effort involving local government, community organizations, and individuals. Implementing adaptation strategies, such as improving drainage infrastructure, managing vegetation, and raising awareness about climate risks, is essential to building resilience and ensuring a sustainable future for the Shire of Exmouth.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · DFES · DPAW

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks facing the Shire of Exmouth?

The Shire of Exmouth faces significant climate change risks, including increased flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These risks are projected to worsen in the future due to rising temperatures, changing rainfall patterns, and sea level rise.

How is the Shire of Exmouth preparing for climate change?

The Shire of Exmouth is developing and implementing adaptation strategies to mitigate the impacts of climate change. These strategies include improving drainage infrastructure, managing vegetation to reduce bushfire risk, developing a heatwave response plan, and protecting coastal areas from erosion.

What can residents do to prepare for climate change impacts?

Residents can take several steps to prepare for climate change impacts, such as checking flood maps and bushfire prone areas, assessing their property's vulnerability to coastal hazards, considering the cost of insurance, and inquiring about local adaptation plans.

Where can I find more information about climate change in the Shire of Exmouth?

You can find more information about climate change in the Shire of Exmouth on the Shire's website, the Department of Fire and Emergency Services website, the Bureau of Meteorology website, and the CSIRO website.

What is the council doing to reduce carbon emissions?

The council is exploring opportunities to reduce carbon emissions through energy efficiency measures, renewable energy projects, and sustainable transportation initiatives. More information can be found on the council's website.

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