Climate Risk Profile: Cambridge Park, NSW

Cambridge Park, New South Wales· Penrith· 2747
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Cambridge Park faces increasing risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves due to climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and take steps to mitigate their impact.

Overall Risk Score

5.5/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

7.0/10

Cambridge Park is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

6.0/10

Cambridge Park faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Nepean River and local creeks. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

1.0/10

Cambridge Park is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

4.0/10

The suburb has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Proximity to bushland

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risks of flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves.

Price Impact

Properties in areas more vulnerable to flooding or bushfires may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Obtain adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Consider the long-term impacts of climate change on property value.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Nepean River
Elevation Range
20-40m
Flood Zone
Yes

Some areas of Cambridge Park are located within designated flood zones.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent
Planning Overlay
Yes
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Parts of Cambridge Park are designated as bushfire prone areas.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Cambridge Park experiences several days above 35°C each summer.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
50 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
None
Erosion Risk
None

Historical Climate Events

1990
floodModerate

The Nepean River flooded, impacting low-lying areas of Cambridge Park.

Source
2001
bushfireModerate

Bushfires in the surrounding area threatened Cambridge Park, requiring residents to be on alert.

Source
2013
heatwaveMajor

A prolonged heatwave resulted in record high temperatures and increased demand for emergency services.

Source
2020
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flash flooding in some parts of Cambridge Park.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood6.06.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire4.04.5(+0.5)5.0(+1.0)
heat7.08.0(+1.0)8.5(+1.5)
coastal1.01.01.0

By 2030, Cambridge Park is projected to experience a noticeable increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, as well as a slightly elevated risk of flooding and bushfires.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as improved drainage systems and levees.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement bushfire management strategies, including hazard reduction burns and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Action Plan

Immediate

Develop and implement a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Sustainable Urban Planning

Long-term

Promote sustainable urban planning practices to reduce the urban heat island effect and improve resilience to climate change.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Cambridge Park's Climate Risk Profile

Cambridge Park, located in Western Sydney, is projected to experience significant impacts from climate change. The primary risks include increased flooding due to more intense rainfall events, a higher bushfire risk due to hotter and drier conditions, and more frequent and severe heatwaves.

The suburb's proximity to the Nepean River and local creeks makes it vulnerable to flooding. Climate change is expected to exacerbate this risk, with projections indicating an increase in rainfall intensity. This could lead to more frequent and severe flood events, potentially impacting homes, businesses, and infrastructure.

The surrounding bushland also poses a bushfire risk to Cambridge Park. As temperatures rise and conditions become drier, the likelihood of bushfires increases. Residents should be aware of the risks and take steps to prepare their properties.

Heatwaves are also a growing concern for Cambridge Park. The suburb is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, which can have serious health impacts, particularly for vulnerable populations. It is important for residents to stay informed about heatwave warnings and take precautions to stay cool.

While Cambridge Park is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased insurance costs, could still affect the suburb.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS · Penrith City Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Cambridge Park?

The main risks are increased flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves.

How will climate change affect property values in Cambridge Park?

Properties in areas more vulnerable to flooding or bushfires may experience a decrease in value.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves?

Stay informed about heatwave warnings, stay hydrated, and seek out cool places.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Cambridge Park?

You can find flood maps and information on the Penrith City Council website.

How can I protect my home from bushfires?

Clear vegetation around your home, install fire-resistant materials, and have a bushfire survival plan.

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