Climate Risk in Campbelltown, NSW

Campbelltown, New South Wales· UNKNOWN
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Campbelltown faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly in relation to flooding and heat. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

5.8/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.2
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

7.0/10

Campbelltown experiences high heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

6.5/10

Campbelltown faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Georges River and other waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development reducing natural drainage
  • ·Climate change impacts

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

1.0/10

Coastal risk is low in Campbelltown due to its distance from the coast. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

4.2/10

Bushfire risk in Campbelltown is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Windy conditions

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

4.8

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in areas with higher flood or bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about past flood or bushfire events.
  • 4.Review insurance options and premiums.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Georges River
Elevation Range
Varies across the suburb, generally low-lying near the river.
Flood Zone
Areas near the Georges River are designated as flood zones.

Campbelltown City Council maintains flood maps and provides information on flood preparedness.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Some areas border bushland reserves.
Planning Overlay
Check NSW RFS website for bushfire prone area maps.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents in bushfire prone areas should have a bushfire survival plan.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
30.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in the Sydney region.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
40 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable.
Erosion Risk
Not applicable.

Historical Climate Events

1990
floodModerate

Major flooding along the Georges River impacted low-lying areas of Campbelltown.

Source
2001
bushfireModerate

Bushfires in the surrounding region threatened properties in Campbelltown.

Source
2011
floodModerate

Significant rainfall caused flash flooding in parts of Campbelltown.

Source
2013
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions placed stress on infrastructure and vulnerable residents.

Source
2020
floodMinor

Localized flooding occurred due to heavy rainfall.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday2030205020302050
flood6.56.8(+0.3)7.1(+0.6)7.0(+0.5)7.6(+1.1)
bushfire4.24.3(+0.1)4.4(+0.2)4.4(+0.2)4.6(+0.4)
heat7.07.4(+0.4)7.7(+0.7)7.6(+0.6)8.2(+1.2)
coastal1.01.01.01.01.0

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Campbelltown is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, primarily driven by increased flooding and heatwave intensity.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risks, such as improved drainage systems and flood barriers.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Promote bushfire preparedness among residents in bushfire prone areas, including clearing vegetation and developing evacuation plans.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Enhance Green Spaces

Long-term

Increase green spaces and tree canopy cover to reduce the urban heat island effect and improve stormwater management.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Near-term

Implement community education programs to raise awareness about climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Campbelltown's Climate Risk Profile

Campbelltown, located in the Macarthur region of New South Wales, is subject to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding due to its proximity to the Georges River and heatwaves, which are projected to become more frequent and intense. Bushfire risk is also a consideration, especially for properties bordering bushland.

The increasing intensity of rainfall events, driven by climate change, elevates the risk of both riverine and flash flooding. Urban development further compounds this issue by reducing natural drainage and increasing runoff. Residents and businesses should be aware of flood risks and take appropriate precautions.

Heatwaves pose a significant threat to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect can further amplify temperatures in built-up areas. Strategies to mitigate heat exposure, such as increasing green spaces and improving building insulation, are essential.

While coastal risks are minimal due to Campbelltown's inland location, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased demand for resources, should not be overlooked. A proactive approach to climate adaptation is crucial to ensure the long-term resilience and sustainability of Campbelltown.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS · Campbelltown City Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Campbelltown?

The main climate risks in Campbelltown are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Flooding is a concern due to the Georges River, while heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense. Bushfire risk is present in areas bordering bushland.

How is Campbelltown City Council addressing climate change?

Campbelltown City Council is developing and implementing strategies to mitigate and adapt to climate change, including improving drainage infrastructure, promoting energy efficiency, and increasing green spaces.

What can residents do to prepare for floods in Campbelltown?

Residents can prepare for floods by checking flood maps, having an emergency plan, and ensuring their property is adequately insured. It's also important to stay informed about weather forecasts and warnings.

How can I protect myself during a heatwave in Campbelltown?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, avoid strenuous activity, and check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

What should I do if I live in a bushfire prone area in Campbelltown?

If you live in a bushfire prone area, have a bushfire survival plan, clear vegetation around your property, and stay informed about fire danger ratings and warnings. Be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

Where can I find information about emergency services in Campbelltown?

Information about emergency services in Campbelltown can be found on the NSW State Emergency Service (SES) website and the NSW Rural Fire Service (RFS) website.

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