Climate Risk Profile: Granville, NSW
Granville is a suburb in Western Sydney that faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. While the bushfire risk is relatively low, it is expected to increase slightly. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Overall Risk Score
Confidence: Medium
Hazard Breakdown
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Granville is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
6.5
2050
7.0
flood Risk
Granville faces a notable risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Parramatta River and other waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Proximity to waterways
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
8.0
2050
8.5
coastal Risk
Granville is not directly exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise and coastal erosion due to its inland location.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from the coast
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
1.0
2050
1.0
bushfire Risk
The bushfire risk in Granville is relatively low due to its urban environment and distance from large bushland areas. However, increased temperatures and drier conditions could slightly elevate the risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Wind patterns
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
3.0
2050
3.5
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood risk.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Inquire about council plans for climate adaptation.
- 4.Consider the potential impact of climate change on insurance premiums.
Local Climate Evidence
Flood Evidence
- Nearest Waterway
- Parramatta River
- Elevation Range
- 10-20 meters
- Flood Zone
- Areas near the Parramatta River are designated as flood zones.
Historical flood events have impacted Granville, particularly areas close to the river. The council has implemented some flood mitigation measures, but further action is needed to address the increasing risk.
View council flood mapBushfire Evidence
- Distance to Bushland
- 5-10 km to nearest significant bushland.
- Planning Overlay
- Some areas may have bushfire buffer zones.
- Bushfire Prone Area
- No
While not a high-risk area, residents should still be aware of bushfire safety during the fire season.
Heat Evidence
- Avg January Max Temp
- 30.5°C
- Heat Stress Days/Year
- 3 days
The urban heat island effect can make Granville significantly hotter than surrounding areas during heatwaves.
Coastal Evidence
- Distance to Coast
- 25 km
- Sea Level Rise Exposure
- Not directly exposed to sea level rise.
- Erosion Risk
- No significant erosion risk.
Historical Climate Events
Significant flooding occurred in the Parramatta River, impacting low-lying areas of Granville.
SourceHeavy rainfall caused flash flooding in parts of Granville, disrupting traffic and damaging property.
SourceA prolonged heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions and strain on infrastructure.
SourceClimate Outlook to 2050
Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5
| Hazard | Today | 2030 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| flood | 7.5 | 8.0(+0.5) | 8.5(+1.0) |
| bushfire | 2.5 | 2.7(+0.2) | 3.0(+0.5) |
| heat | 6.0 | 6.8(+0.8) | 7.5(+1.5) |
| coastal | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
By 2030, Granville is projected to experience a noticeable increase in flood risk and heatwave intensity. Bushfire risk will also slightly increase. Coastal risks remain negligible.
CSIRO Climate ProjectionsAdaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure improvements to mitigate flood risk, such as levees, drainage upgrades, and flood-proofing of buildings.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop a Heat Action Plan
ImmediateImplement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreEnhance Bushfire Preparedness
Long-termPromote bushfire awareness and preparedness among residents, including clearing vegetation around homes and developing evacuation plans.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Near-termEncourage water conservation measures to reduce the strain on water resources during droughts and heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Granville's Climate Risk Profile
Granville, located in the western suburbs of Sydney, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns for this suburb are flooding and heatwaves, with a lesser but still present risk of bushfires.
Flooding is a significant threat due to Granville's proximity to the Parramatta River and other waterways. Climate change projections indicate an increase in rainfall intensity, which will likely lead to more frequent and severe flooding events. This poses a risk to homes, businesses, and infrastructure in the area.
Heatwaves are also a growing concern, with rising average temperatures and more frequent extreme heat events expected in the future. This can have serious health impacts, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly, children, and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban environment of Granville can exacerbate the effects of heatwaves due to the urban heat island effect.
While the risk of bushfires is relatively low compared to other areas of New South Wales, it is still important to be aware of the potential for bushfires, especially during dry periods. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires in many parts of Australia, and Granville could be affected by smoke and air quality issues even if it is not directly threatened by fire.
Residents and businesses in Granville should take steps to prepare for the impacts of climate change, including developing emergency plans, investing in flood mitigation measures, and taking steps to stay cool during heatwaves. Local authorities also have a role to play in implementing climate adaptation strategies to protect the community.
Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · City of Parramatta Council
Local Government Resources
City of Parramatta
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Granville?
The main climate change risks for Granville are flooding, heatwaves, and a slight increase in bushfire risk.
How will climate change affect property values in Granville?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased flood risk. Rising insurance premiums may also affect property values.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Granville?
The City of Parramatta has a climate strategy that includes measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change, such as flood mitigation and heatwave preparedness.
How can I prepare my home for flooding in Granville?
You can prepare your home for flooding by raising electrical outlets, installing flood barriers, and developing an emergency plan.
What should I do during a heatwave in Granville?
During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
Is Granville in a bushfire-prone area?
While not considered a high-risk area, Granville is located near bushland and residents should be aware of bushfire safety during the fire season.
Get a Property-Specific Report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Granville, use our analysis tool.
Other Suburbs in New South Wales
Analyse Your Property Now
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment covering flood, bushfire, and sea level rise and more.
Free instant preview · Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only