Climate Risk Profile: Homebush, NSW

Homebush, New South Wales· UNKNOWN· 2140
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Homebush faces moderate climate risks, primarily related to flooding and heatwaves. The suburb's urban environment and proximity to waterways contribute to these vulnerabilities. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

5.5/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
3.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

7.0/10

Homebush is susceptible to heatwaves, particularly during summer. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing health risks to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Reduced vegetation cover

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

6.0/10

Homebush faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Sea level rise

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

1.0/10

Homebush is not directly exposed to coastal hazards. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast
  • ·Elevation

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

3.0/10

The bushfire risk in Homebush is relatively low due to the urban environment and limited vegetation. However, increased temperatures and drier conditions could elevate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Wind patterns

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

3.5

2050

4.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about council plans for climate adaptation.
  • 4.Review insurance options and premiums.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Parramatta River
Elevation Range
5-15 meters
Flood Zone
Partially within a 100-year flood zone

Some areas of Homebush are susceptible to flash flooding during heavy rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
2-5 km to nearest bushland
Planning Overlay
Not significantly affected by bushfire overlay
Bushfire Prone Area
No

The risk is higher on the outskirts of the suburb closer to larger green spaces.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
29.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

The urban heat island effect contributes to higher temperatures in Homebush compared to surrounding areas.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
15 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not exposed to sea level rise
Erosion Risk
No significant erosion risk

Historical Climate Events

1990
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in low-lying areas of Homebush.

Source
2011
floodModerate

Significant flooding occurred in Homebush due to intense rainfall.

Source
2013
heatwaveModerate

Homebush experienced a prolonged heatwave with temperatures exceeding 40°C.

Source
2020
stormMinor

A severe storm caused localized flooding and power outages in Homebush.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood6.06.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire3.03.2(+0.2)3.5(+0.5)
heat7.07.8(+0.8)8.5(+1.5)
coastal1.01.01.0

By 2030, Homebush is projected to experience an increase in flood risk and more frequent heatwaves. Bushfire risk may also increase slightly. Coastal risks remain low.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Heatwave Management Plan

Immediate

Develop and implement a heatwave management plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Increase Urban Green Space

Long-term

Increase the amount of green space in Homebush to reduce the urban heat island effect and improve stormwater management.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Near-term

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures through community awareness programs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Homebush's Climate Risk Profile

Homebush, located in the inner-west of Sydney, is exposed to several climate-related risks. The most significant threats are flooding and heatwaves, which are projected to worsen with climate change.

Flooding is a concern due to the suburb's proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity, driven by climate change, could lead to more frequent and severe flooding events. Urban development and inadequate drainage infrastructure exacerbate this risk.

Heatwaves pose a significant health risk, particularly to vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect, caused by the concentration of buildings and paved surfaces, amplifies the impact of heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency, intensity, and duration of heatwaves.

Bushfire risk is relatively low in Homebush due to the urban environment and limited vegetation. However, increased temperatures and drier conditions could elevate the risk, especially in areas bordering bushland.

Coastal hazards are not a significant concern for Homebush due to its distance from the coast.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW State Emergency Service · City of Canada Bay Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Homebush?

The main climate change risks in Homebush are flooding and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare for flooding in Homebush?

You can prepare for flooding by checking flood maps, understanding your property's flood risk, and having an emergency plan in place.

What is the urban heat island effect?

The urban heat island effect is the phenomenon where urban areas experience higher temperatures than surrounding rural areas due to the concentration of buildings and paved surfaces.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Homebush?

The City of Canada Bay Council is implementing various measures to address climate change, including upgrading drainage infrastructure, increasing green space, and developing a heatwave management plan.

Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Homebush?

You can find more information about climate change risks in Homebush on the City of Canada Bay Council website, the NSW State Emergency Service website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.

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