Climate Risk Profile: Homebush, NSW
Homebush faces moderate climate risks, primarily related to flooding and heatwaves. The suburb's urban environment and proximity to waterways contribute to these vulnerabilities. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Overall Risk Score
Confidence: Medium
Hazard Breakdown
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Homebush is susceptible to heatwaves, particularly during summer. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing health risks to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Reduced vegetation cover
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
7.5
2050
8.0
flood Risk
Homebush faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Sea level rise
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
6.5
2050
7.0
coastal Risk
Homebush is not directly exposed to coastal hazards. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
- ·Elevation
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
1.0
2050
1.0
bushfire Risk
The bushfire risk in Homebush is relatively low due to the urban environment and limited vegetation. However, increased temperatures and drier conditions could elevate the risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Wind patterns
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
3.5
2050
4.0
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood risk.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Inquire about council plans for climate adaptation.
- 4.Review insurance options and premiums.
Local Climate Evidence
Flood Evidence
- Nearest Waterway
- Parramatta River
- Elevation Range
- 5-15 meters
- Flood Zone
- Partially within a 100-year flood zone
Some areas of Homebush are susceptible to flash flooding during heavy rainfall events.
View council flood mapBushfire Evidence
- Distance to Bushland
- 2-5 km to nearest bushland
- Planning Overlay
- Not significantly affected by bushfire overlay
- Bushfire Prone Area
- No
The risk is higher on the outskirts of the suburb closer to larger green spaces.
Heat Evidence
- Avg January Max Temp
- 29.5°C
- Heat Stress Days/Year
- 5 days
The urban heat island effect contributes to higher temperatures in Homebush compared to surrounding areas.
Coastal Evidence
- Distance to Coast
- 15 km
- Sea Level Rise Exposure
- Not exposed to sea level rise
- Erosion Risk
- No significant erosion risk
Historical Climate Events
Climate Outlook to 2050
Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5
| Hazard | Today | 2030 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| flood | 6.0 | 6.5(+0.5) | 7.0(+1.0) |
| bushfire | 3.0 | 3.2(+0.2) | 3.5(+0.5) |
| heat | 7.0 | 7.8(+0.8) | 8.5(+1.5) |
| coastal | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
By 2030, Homebush is projected to experience an increase in flood risk and more frequent heatwaves. Bushfire risk may also increase slightly. Coastal risks remain low.
CSIRO Climate ProjectionsAdaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement Heatwave Management Plan
ImmediateDevelop and implement a heatwave management plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreIncrease Urban Green Space
Long-termIncrease the amount of green space in Homebush to reduce the urban heat island effect and improve stormwater management.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreCommunity Awareness Programs
Near-termEducate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures through community awareness programs.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Homebush's Climate Risk Profile
Homebush, located in the inner-west of Sydney, is exposed to several climate-related risks. The most significant threats are flooding and heatwaves, which are projected to worsen with climate change.
Flooding is a concern due to the suburb's proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity, driven by climate change, could lead to more frequent and severe flooding events. Urban development and inadequate drainage infrastructure exacerbate this risk.
Heatwaves pose a significant health risk, particularly to vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect, caused by the concentration of buildings and paved surfaces, amplifies the impact of heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency, intensity, and duration of heatwaves.
Bushfire risk is relatively low in Homebush due to the urban environment and limited vegetation. However, increased temperatures and drier conditions could elevate the risk, especially in areas bordering bushland.
Coastal hazards are not a significant concern for Homebush due to its distance from the coast.
Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW State Emergency Service · City of Canada Bay Council
Local Government Resources
City of Canada Bay Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Homebush?
The main climate change risks in Homebush are flooding and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change.
How can I prepare for flooding in Homebush?
You can prepare for flooding by checking flood maps, understanding your property's flood risk, and having an emergency plan in place.
What is the urban heat island effect?
The urban heat island effect is the phenomenon where urban areas experience higher temperatures than surrounding rural areas due to the concentration of buildings and paved surfaces.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Homebush?
The City of Canada Bay Council is implementing various measures to address climate change, including upgrading drainage infrastructure, increasing green space, and developing a heatwave management plan.
Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Homebush?
You can find more information about climate change risks in Homebush on the City of Canada Bay Council website, the NSW State Emergency Service website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.
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