Climate Risk in Ingleburn, NSW
Ingleburn faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, which are expected to increase with climate change. Bushfire risk is also present. Coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location.
Overall Risk Score
Confidence: Medium
Hazard Breakdown
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Ingleburn is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
7.5
2050
8.0
flood Risk
Ingleburn faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Georges River and other waterways. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·River proximity
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
7.0
2050
7.5
coastal Risk
Ingleburn is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
1.0
2050
1.0
bushfire Risk
Ingleburn has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires. Climate change is projected to worsen these conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Proximity to bushland
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
4.5
2050
5.0
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and building compliance.
- 3.Consider energy efficiency and cooling options.
- 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related risks.
Local Climate Evidence
Flood Evidence
- Nearest Waterway
- Georges River
- Elevation Range
- 20-50 meters
- Flood Zone
- Areas near the Georges River are designated as flood zones.
Historical flood events have impacted properties near the river. Council maintains flood maps and provides guidance on flood preparedness.
View council flood mapBushfire Evidence
- Distance to Bushland
- Within 1km of significant bushland areas.
- Planning Overlay
- Bushfire Prone Land Overlay
- Bushfire Prone Area
- Yes
Properties in bushfire prone areas are subject to specific building codes and regulations to mitigate bushfire risk.
Heat Evidence
- Avg January Max Temp
- 31.5°C
- Heat Stress Days/Year
- 5 days
The number of days exceeding 35°C is projected to increase in the future, leading to more frequent heat stress events.
Coastal Evidence
- Distance to Coast
- 40 km
- Sea Level Rise Exposure
- Not applicable
- Erosion Risk
- Not applicable
Historical Climate Events
Heavy rainfall caused flooding in low-lying areas near the Georges River, impacting some residential properties.
SourceBushfires in surrounding areas caused smoke haze and elevated fire danger in Ingleburn.
SourceA prolonged heatwave resulted in high temperatures and increased demand for cooling, placing strain on the electricity grid.
SourceSignificant flooding occurred along the Georges River, impacting homes and businesses in Ingleburn. Evacuations were required.
SourceClimate Outlook to 2050
Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5
| Hazard | Today | 2030 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| flood | 6.5 | 7.0(+0.5) | 7.5(+1.0) |
| bushfire | 4.0 | 4.3(+0.3) | 4.5(+0.5) |
| heat | 7.0 | 7.7(+0.7) | 8.5(+1.5) |
| coastal | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
By 2030, Ingleburn is projected to experience an increase in flood and heatwave risks under a high emissions scenario. Bushfire risk is also expected to rise slightly.
CSIRO Climate ProjectionsAdaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in flood levees and drainage improvements to protect properties near the Georges River.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreEnhance Bushfire Preparedness
Near-termImplement stricter building codes for properties in bushfire prone areas and conduct regular hazard reduction burns.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop Heat Action Plan
ImmediateEstablish cooling centers and provide support for vulnerable populations during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termEncourage water-efficient landscaping and rainwater harvesting to reduce water demand during droughts.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity Education Programs
Near-termRun workshops and distribute information on how residents can prepare for and respond to climate-related hazards.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Ingleburn's Climate Risk Profile
Ingleburn, located in the Campbelltown region of New South Wales, is subject to several climate-related risks. The primary concern is flooding, due to its proximity to the Georges River and other waterways. Increased rainfall intensity, driven by climate change, is expected to exacerbate this risk.
Bushfire risk is also a factor, with surrounding bushland posing a threat during hot, dry conditions. Rising temperatures and drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires in the region.
Heatwaves are another significant concern for Ingleburn. As temperatures rise, the suburb is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect may further amplify these impacts.
While coastal risks are minimal due to Ingleburn's inland location, the suburb should still consider the broader impacts of climate change on the region, such as disruptions to supply chains and infrastructure.
Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS · Campbelltown City Council
Local Government Resources
Campbelltown City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Ingleburn?
The main climate risks in Ingleburn are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Flooding is a concern due to the proximity of the Georges River, while bushfires are a risk due to surrounding bushland. Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change.
How is the council addressing flood risk in Ingleburn?
Campbelltown City Council maintains flood maps, provides guidance on flood preparedness, and invests in drainage improvements to mitigate flood risk.
What can I do to prepare for bushfires in Ingleburn?
You can prepare for bushfires by maintaining your property, clearing vegetation around your home, and having a bushfire survival plan. Check the NSW Rural Fire Service website for more information.
Where can I find information about emergency services in Ingleburn?
You can find information about emergency services on the NSW State Emergency Service (SES) website.
How will climate change affect property values in Ingleburn?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions due to increased flood risk. Insurance premiums may also increase due to climate-related risks.
What is the urban heat island effect and how does it affect Ingleburn?
The urban heat island effect is when urban areas experience higher temperatures than surrounding rural areas due to the absorption of heat by buildings and pavement. This can exacerbate the impacts of heatwaves in Ingleburn.
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