Climate Risk Profile: Regents Park, NSW

Regents Park, New South Wales· Cumberland· 2143

Medium Risk

Updated Mar 2026

Regents Park is a suburb in Sydney's west, facing moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly increasing the intensity of rainfall and the frequency of extreme heat events. Residents should prepare for potential disruptions and take steps to mitigate the impacts of these hazards.

Overall Risk Score

5.2/10

Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood

6.5

Bushfire

3.0

Heat

6.0

Coastal

1.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

6.0/10

Regents Park experiences moderately high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwaves. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events, impacting vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
·Urban heat island effect
·Reduced vegetation cover

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

6.5/10

Regents Park faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Primary Drivers

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Urban development
·Inadequate drainage infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

1.0/10

Regents Park is located inland and does not face a direct threat from coastal hazards such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

·Distance from the coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

3.0/10

The bushfire risk in Regents Park is relatively low due to the urban nature of the suburb. However, proximity to surrounding bushland areas poses a potential threat during extreme weather conditions.

Primary Drivers

·Proximity to bushland
·Dry vegetation
·High winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

3.2

2050

3.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurers may increase premiums in response to increased flood risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
3.Inquire about council plans for climate adaptation.
4.Ensure adequate insurance coverage.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway: Duck River
Elevation Range: 15-25m
Flood Zone: Partially within a 1% AEP flood zone

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland: Within 2km of bushland reserves
Planning Overlay: Some areas may be subject to bushfire prone land overlays
Bushfire Prone Area: Yes

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp: 30.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year: 4 days

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast: 25 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure: Not applicable
Erosion Risk: Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2022

floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flash flooding in parts of Regents Park, leading to road closures and property damage.

Source

2020

heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions and strain on the electricity grid.

Source

2016

floodMinor

Localized flooding occurred following a period of intense rainfall.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

Hazard	Today	2030	2050
flood	6.5	7.0(+0.5)	7.5(+1.0)
bushfire	3.0	3.1(+0.1)	3.3(+0.3)
heat	6.0	6.7(+0.7)	7.2(+1.2)
coastal	1.0	1.0	1.0

By 2030, Regents Park is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, primarily driven by more frequent and intense heatwaves and increased flood risk due to heavier rainfall events.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flash flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Urban Greening Initiatives

Near-term

Increase tree canopy cover and create green spaces to mitigate the urban heat island effect and provide shade during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a Heatwave Management Plan

Immediate

Establish a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and community outreach programs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Raise Community Awareness

Near-term

Educate residents about climate risks and provide guidance on how to prepare for and respond to extreme weather events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Regents Park's Climate Risk Profile

Regents Park, located in the Cumberland local government area, is primarily threatened by flooding and heatwaves. The suburb's proximity to waterways makes it susceptible to inundation during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change projections indicate an increase in rainfall intensity, which could lead to more frequent and severe flood events.

Heatwaves are another significant concern for Regents Park. The urban environment contributes to the urban heat island effect, resulting in higher temperatures compared to surrounding areas. Vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions, are particularly at risk during extreme heat events.

While the risk of bushfire is relatively low, the suburb's proximity to bushland areas means that residents should remain vigilant, especially during dry and windy conditions. Coastal hazards are not a direct threat to Regents Park due to its inland location.

Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including investments in drainage infrastructure, urban greening initiatives, and community awareness programs. Residents can also take individual actions to reduce their vulnerability, such as preparing emergency kits and implementing water conservation measures.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · Cumberland City Council

Local Government Resources

Cumberland City Council

Climate Strategy Flood Maps Emergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Regents Park?

The main climate change risks for Regents Park are increased flooding due to more intense rainfall and more frequent and severe heatwaves.

How will climate change affect property values in Regents Park?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased flood risk. Properties that are well-adapted to heatwaves may be more resilient.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Regents Park?

Cumberland City Council is implementing various initiatives to address climate change, including upgrading drainage infrastructure, increasing urban greening, and developing a heatwave management plan.

How can I prepare my home for a flood?

You can prepare your home for a flood by raising electrical appliances, storing valuables above flood level, and having an emergency kit ready.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

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