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PROPERTY ANALYTICS

Climate Risk in Taree, NSW

Taree, New South Wales· UNKNOWN
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Taree faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, increasing the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. Residents should prepare for potential impacts and take steps to adapt to a changing climate.

Overall Risk Score

5.8/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
7.5
Bushfire
4.2
Heat
6.1
Coastal
5.4

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

6.1/10

Taree experiences hot summers, and climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.6

2050

7.1

Data source

flood Risk

7.5/10

Taree faces a significant risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Manning River and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating flood risks.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Riverine flooding

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

8.0

2050

8.5

Data source

coastal Risk

5.4/10

Located inland, Taree's coastal risk is moderate. Sea level rise and storm surges could impact the Manning River, potentially increasing flood risks in low-lying areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.9

2050

6.4

Data source

bushfire Risk

4.2/10

Bushfire risk in Taree is moderate, with surrounding bushland posing a threat during dry periods. Climate change is projected to increase the length and severity of bushfire seasons.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.7

2050

5.2

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase in areas prone to flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to climate change impacts.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider the potential impact of climate change on insurance premiums.
  • 4.Review council climate adaptation plans.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Manning River
Elevation Range
5-15 meters
Flood Zone
Yes

The Manning River regularly floods, impacting low-lying areas of Taree. Historical flood data and council flood maps provide detailed information on flood risks.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent
Planning Overlay
https://www.rfs.nsw.gov.au/map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Areas surrounding Taree are designated as bushfire-prone, requiring residents to take precautions during bushfire season.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Taree experiences several days above 35°C each summer, increasing the risk of heat stress for vulnerable populations.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
15 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying areas near the Manning River are potentially exposed to sea level rise impacts.
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2013
floodModerate

The Manning River experienced moderate flooding, impacting low-lying areas of Taree.

Source
2019
bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted areas surrounding Taree, causing smoke haze and potential property damage.

Source
2017
stormModerate

A severe storm caused flash flooding and property damage in Taree.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood7.58.0(+0.5)8.5(+1.0)
bushfire4.24.5(+0.3)4.9(+0.7)
heat6.16.7(+0.6)7.3(+1.2)
coastal5.45.8(+0.4)6.2(+0.8)

By 2030, Taree is projected to experience an increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, particularly flooding and heatwaves.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve flood defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to protect against flooding, such as levees and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop a heatwave management plan

Immediate

Implement strategies to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, such as cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Strengthen bushfire preparedness

Near-term

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, such as clearing vegetation around properties and developing evacuation plans.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce the impact of droughts and water scarcity.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Taree's Climate Risk Profile

Taree, located in the Mid North Coast region of New South Wales, is vulnerable to a range of climate-related hazards. The town's proximity to the Manning River makes it particularly susceptible to flooding, which is expected to worsen with climate change due to increased rainfall intensity and sea level rise.

Bushfire risk is also a concern, with surrounding bushland posing a threat during dry periods. Climate change is projected to increase the length and severity of bushfire seasons, potentially impacting the town and surrounding areas.

Heatwaves are another significant hazard, with Taree experiencing hot summers. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

While Taree is located inland, sea level rise and storm surges could impact the Manning River, potentially increasing flood risks in low-lying areas. It is important for residents to be aware of these risks and take steps to prepare for potential impacts.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS · MidCoast Council

Local Government Resources

MidCoast Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Taree?

The main climate change risks in Taree are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare for flooding in Taree?

You can prepare for flooding by checking flood maps, having an evacuation plan, and ensuring your property is adequately insured.

What should I do during a heatwave in Taree?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

How can I protect my property from bushfires in Taree?

You can protect your property from bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, having a bushfire survival plan, and ensuring your property is adequately insured.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Taree?

You can find more information about climate change in Taree on the MidCoast Council website, the NSW government website, and the CSIRO website.

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