Climate Risk Profile: The Entrance, NSW
The Entrance is a coastal suburb in NSW facing increasing climate risks. Key concerns include flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion, which are projected to worsen with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Overall Risk Score
Confidence: Medium
Hazard Breakdown
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
The Entrance experiences hot summers, and heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense. Vulnerable populations are at risk during extreme heat events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
7.8
2050
8.5
flood Risk
The Entrance is susceptible to flooding due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to Tuggerah Lake. Heavy rainfall events can lead to stormwater and riverine flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
7.0
2050
7.5
coastal Risk
As a coastal suburb, The Entrance is vulnerable to sea level rise, coastal erosion, and storm surges. These factors threaten infrastructure and property.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
6.8
2050
7.2
bushfire Risk
While not immediately surrounded by dense bushland, The Entrance faces a moderate bushfire risk due to nearby vegetation and potential ember attack during severe fire weather.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Strong winds
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
3.5
2050
4.0
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums are likely to increase due to rising climate risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price stagnation or decline.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to coastal erosion.
- 3.Inquire about council plans for climate adaptation.
- 4.Consider the cost of insurance and potential premium increases.
- 5.Evaluate the property's energy efficiency and potential for solar power.
Local Climate Evidence
Flood Evidence
- Nearest Waterway
- Tuggerah Lake
- Elevation Range
- 0-10 meters
- Flood Zone
- Coastal and Riverine Floodplain
The Entrance Channel is a key area of concern for tidal and storm surge flooding.
View council flood mapBushfire Evidence
- Distance to Bushland
- Within 1km of scattered bushland
- Planning Overlay
- RFS Bush Fire Prone Land Map
- Bushfire Prone Area
- Yes
Ember attack is a significant risk factor due to prevailing winds.
Heat Evidence
- Avg January Max Temp
- 28.5°C
- Heat Stress Days/Year
- 3 days
Heatwaves typically last for 3-4 days during the summer months.
Coastal Evidence
- Distance to Coast
- 0.1 km
- Sea Level Rise Exposure
- High
- Erosion Risk
- Moderate to High
Historical Climate Events
Major flooding occurred in the Central Coast region, impacting The Entrance and surrounding areas. Heavy rainfall caused widespread inundation of homes and businesses.
SourceA severe storm caused significant damage to coastal areas, including The Entrance. Strong winds and heavy rainfall led to erosion and property damage.
SourceHeavy rainfall resulted in flash flooding in The Entrance, causing road closures and property damage.
SourceThe Entrance experienced a prolonged heatwave with temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius for several days. This put strain on local resources and caused health concerns.
SourceClimate Outlook to 2050
Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5
| Hazard | Today | 2030 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| flood | 6.5 | 6.8(+0.3) | 7.2(+0.7) |
| bushfire | 3.2 | 3.3(+0.1) | 3.5(+0.3) |
| heat | 7.1 | 7.9(+0.8) | 8.6(+1.5) |
| coastal | 6.4 | 6.8(+0.4) | 7.3(+0.9) |
By 2030, The Entrance is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, increased coastal flooding, and a slightly elevated bushfire risk. Adaptation measures are needed to protect vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
CSIRO Climate ProjectionsAdaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade stormwater drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreProtect Coastal Ecosystems
Near-termRestore and protect mangroves, saltmarshes, and other coastal ecosystems to provide natural buffers against sea level rise and storm surges.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop Heat Action Plans
ImmediateImplement heat action plans to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreRaise Awareness of Climate Risks
Long-termEducate residents and businesses about the risks of climate change and how to prepare for extreme weather events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote Energy Efficiency
Long-termEncourage energy efficiency measures in homes and businesses to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and lower energy costs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout The Entrance's Climate Risk Profile
The Entrance, located on the Central Coast of New South Wales, is a popular tourist destination known for its beautiful beaches and waterways. However, the suburb is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change.
Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's low-lying topography and proximity to Tuggerah Lake. Heavy rainfall events can cause stormwater and riverine flooding, impacting homes, businesses, and infrastructure. Sea level rise is exacerbating the risk, increasing the frequency and severity of coastal inundation.
Heatwaves are also becoming more frequent and intense, posing a threat to public health, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses. The urban heat island effect can further amplify temperatures in built-up areas.
Coastal erosion is another major challenge, threatening beaches, foreshore areas, and coastal infrastructure. Sea level rise and increased storm intensity are contributing to erosion rates, requiring ongoing management and adaptation measures.
Addressing these climate risks requires a coordinated effort from local government, residents, and businesses. Implementing adaptation strategies, such as improving drainage infrastructure, promoting energy efficiency, and protecting coastal ecosystems, is crucial to building resilience and ensuring the long-term sustainability of The Entrance.
Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · NSW SES · Central Coast Council
Local Government Resources
Central Coast Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for The Entrance?
The main climate change risks for The Entrance include flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These risks are projected to worsen with climate change, potentially impacting homes, businesses, and infrastructure.
How will sea level rise affect The Entrance?
Sea level rise will exacerbate coastal flooding and erosion in The Entrance, threatening beaches, foreshore areas, and coastal infrastructure. It may also increase the frequency and severity of storm surges.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in The Entrance?
During heatwaves, it's important to stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Consider installing energy-efficient cooling systems and improving home insulation.
Where can I find information about flood risks in The Entrance?
You can find information about flood risks in The Entrance on the Central Coast Council website, including flood maps and historical flood data. The NSW State Emergency Service (SES) also provides valuable resources.
What is the council doing to address climate change in The Entrance?
The Central Coast Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies to address the risks of climate change in The Entrance. These strategies include improving drainage infrastructure, protecting coastal ecosystems, and raising awareness of climate risks.
Are there any government grants available for climate resilience measures?
Yes, both the NSW and Australian governments offer grants and incentives for homeowners and businesses to implement climate resilience measures, such as installing solar panels, improving energy efficiency, and upgrading flood protection.
Get a Property-Specific Report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in The Entrance, use our analysis tool.
Other Suburbs in New South Wales
Analyse Your Property Now
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment covering flood, bushfire, and sea level rise and more.
Free instant preview · Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only