Climate Risk Profile: Yagoona, NSW

Yagoona, New South Wales· UNKNOWN· 2199
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Yagoona faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. The suburb's location makes it less vulnerable to bushfires and coastal hazards. Residents should prepare for increasing temperatures and potential flood events.

Overall Risk Score

5.5/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
3.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

7.0/10

Yagoona is susceptible to heatwaves, with increasing average temperatures posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Urban heat island effect can further amplify these impacts.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

6.0/10

Yagoona faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Inadequate drainage

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

1.0/10

Yagoona is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea-level rise or coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

3.0/10

Bushfire risk in Yagoona is relatively low due to the urbanized nature of the suburb. However, surrounding bushland areas pose a potential threat during extreme weather conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Extreme weather events

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

3.2

2050

3.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price fluctuations.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps
  • 2.Assess property's heat resilience
  • 3.Review insurance options

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Georges River
Elevation Range
5-15m
Flood Zone
Partial

Areas near the Georges River are more prone to flooding.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
1-2km
Planning Overlay
https://www.rfs.nsw.gov.au/plan-and-prepare/bush-fire-prone-land
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Some areas bordering bushland are designated as bushfire prone.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
30.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Urban heat island effect contributes to higher temperatures.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
25 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
None
Erosion Risk
None

Historical Climate Events

2022
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in low-lying areas of Yagoona.

Source
2020
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions impacted vulnerable residents.

Source
2016
floodMinor

Localized flooding occurred after heavy rainfall.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood6.06.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire3.03.2(+0.2)3.5(+0.5)
heat7.07.8(+0.8)8.5(+1.5)
coastal1.01.01.0

By 2030, Yagoona is projected to experience an increase in flood risk and more frequent heatwaves.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to mitigate flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Develop a plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Maintain properties and clear vegetation to reduce bushfire risk.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Yagoona's Climate Risk Profile

Yagoona, located in the southwestern suburbs of Sydney, is primarily at risk from flooding due to its proximity to the Georges River and other waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, which could lead to more frequent and severe flood events.

Heatwaves are another significant concern for Yagoona. As average temperatures rise, the urban heat island effect can exacerbate the impacts of heatwaves, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

While the risk of bushfires is relatively low compared to other areas in NSW, Yagoona is still susceptible to bushfires due to its proximity to surrounding bushland. Residents should be aware of the potential for bushfires and take steps to prepare their properties.

Coastal hazards are not a direct threat to Yagoona due to its inland location. However, the suburb may still be indirectly affected by climate change impacts on the broader Sydney region.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Yagoona?

The main climate change risks in Yagoona are flooding and heatwaves. Increased rainfall intensity and rising average temperatures are expected to exacerbate these risks.

How can I prepare my property for flooding in Yagoona?

You can prepare your property for flooding by elevating appliances, clearing gutters and downpipes, and having an emergency plan in place.

What resources are available to help me cope with heatwaves in Yagoona?

The NSW Health website provides information and resources on how to stay safe during heatwaves. Local community centers may also offer support during extreme heat events.

Is Yagoona in a bushfire-prone area?

Yes, some areas of Yagoona are designated as bushfire-prone. It is important to maintain your property and be aware of the bushfire risk.

Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Yagoona?

You can find more information about climate change impacts in Yagoona on the City of Canterbury Bankstown website and the NSW Government's climate change website.

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