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PROPERTY ANALYTICS

Climate Risk in Dundee Beach, NT

Dundee Beach, Northern Territory· West Arnhem· 0840
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Dundee Beach faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

5.5/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
5.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

7.0/10

Dundee Beach experiences high temperatures and humidity, leading to a significant heat risk. This is expected to worsen with climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Increased humidity
  • ·Urban heat island effect (minimal)

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.5

Data source

flood Risk

6.0/10

Dundee Beach faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall and storm surges. The flat coastal terrain increases vulnerability.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Storm surges

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

5.0/10

Dundee Beach is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation due to its low-lying coastal location and exposure to storm surges.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
  • ·Coastal erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

4.0/10

The risk of bushfire in Dundee Beach is relatively low compared to other regions, but still present due to surrounding vegetation and dry conditions during certain times of the year.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry season conditions
  • ·Vegetation density
  • ·Wind patterns

Projections (A1B)

2030

4.2

2050

4.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood history of the property.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to coastal erosion.
  • 3.Inquire about bushfire risk mitigation measures.
  • 4.Consider the impact of heatwaves on energy costs.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Finniss River
Elevation Range
0-10 meters
Flood Zone
Coastal inundation zone

Dundee Beach is susceptible to flooding during the monsoon season and king tides.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to savanna woodlands
Planning Overlay
Bushfire prone area overlay
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The risk is higher during the dry season (May-October).

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
15 days

High humidity levels exacerbate the impact of high temperatures.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
0.1 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
High
Erosion Risk
Moderate

Historical Climate Events

2012
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in Dundee Beach, impacting several properties.

Source
2014
stormMinor

A tropical storm brought strong winds and heavy rain to Dundee Beach, causing minor damage.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Dundee Beach experienced a prolonged heatwave with temperatures exceeding 35°C for several days.

Source
2023
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall associated with a tropical low caused flash flooding in low-lying areas of Dundee Beach.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood6.06.2(+0.2)6.8(+0.8)
bushfire4.04.1(+0.1)4.3(+0.3)
heat7.07.5(+0.5)8.5(+1.5)
coastal5.05.4(+0.4)6.2(+1.2)

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Dundee Beach is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in heatwave intensity and coastal inundation.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Construct Seawalls

Long-term

Build seawalls to protect coastal properties from erosion and inundation.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Early Warning Systems

Immediate

Develop and implement early warning systems for heatwaves, floods, and cyclones to allow residents to prepare and evacuate if necessary.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Near-term

Encourage residents to conserve water to reduce strain on water resources during periods of drought.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Dundee Beach's Climate Risk Profile

Dundee Beach, located in the Northern Territory, is a coastal community that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from heavy rainfall and storm surges, heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to sea level rise.

The risk of flooding is exacerbated by the flat terrain and proximity to the coast. Intense rainfall events can quickly overwhelm drainage systems, leading to widespread inundation. Storm surges, driven by cyclones, pose a significant threat to coastal properties.

Heatwaves are already a common occurrence in Dundee Beach, and climate change is expected to increase their frequency and intensity. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Coastal erosion is another major concern, as sea level rise threatens to inundate low-lying areas and erode beaches. This can damage infrastructure, displace residents, and impact the local economy.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of adaptation and mitigation measures. Adaptation strategies include improving drainage infrastructure, constructing seawalls, and implementing early warning systems. Mitigation efforts focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions to slow the pace of climate change.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NT Emergency Services · West Arnhem Regional Council

Local Government Resources

West Arnhem Regional Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Dundee Beach?

The main climate change risks in Dundee Beach are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion.

How will climate change affect property values in Dundee Beach?

Climate change may lead to decreased property values in high-risk areas due to increased flooding and coastal erosion.

What can I do to protect my property from flooding?

You can protect your property from flooding by elevating it, installing flood barriers, and improving drainage around your home.

How can I prepare for a heatwave?

You can prepare for a heatwave by staying hydrated, staying indoors during the hottest part of the day, and checking on vulnerable neighbors.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The West Arnhem Regional Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies to reduce the risks associated with climate change.

Where can I find information about emergency services in Dundee Beach?

Information about emergency services in Dundee Beach can be found on the NT government's emergency services website.

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