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PROPERTY ANALYTICS

Climate Risk Profile for Elliott, NT

Elliott, Northern Territory· UNKNOWN· 0862
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Elliott faces moderate climate risks, primarily related to heat and flooding. While bushfire and coastal risks are low, the increasing frequency and intensity of heatwaves pose a significant challenge. Proactive adaptation measures are recommended to mitigate these risks.

Overall Risk Score

5.2/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.0
Bushfire
3.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

7.0/10

Elliott experiences high temperatures, particularly during the summer months. Climate change is expected to exacerbate heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

4.0/10

Elliott faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events. The risk is projected to increase slightly due to climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in river flow patterns

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

coastal Risk

1.0/10

Elliott is located inland, so the risk of coastal hazards is very low.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

3.0/10

The bushfire risk in Elliott is relatively low due to the surrounding landscape. However, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the risk during the fire season.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Wind patterns

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

3.0

2050

3.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the rising risk of extreme weather events.

Price Impact

Property values may be affected by concerns about heat and flooding.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood history of the property.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heat.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency measures.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Newcastle Creek
Elevation Range
250-270m
Flood Zone
Areas near Newcastle Creek are susceptible to flooding.

Historical flood data indicates that areas near the creek have experienced inundation during periods of heavy rainfall.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
5km
Planning Overlay
https://pfes.nt.gov.au/bushfires
Bushfire Prone Area
No

While not immediately surrounded by dense bushland, areas to the west and south have some bushfire risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
37.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
15 days

January is typically the hottest month, with average maximum temperatures frequently exceeding 37°C. Heat stress events are becoming more common.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
700 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2012
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas of Elliott.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in record high temperatures in Elliott, placing stress on infrastructure and residents.

Source
2023
floodMinor

Minor flooding occurred after a period of intense rainfall, affecting some roads and properties.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood4.04.3(+0.3)4.5(+0.5)
bushfire3.03.1(+0.1)3.2(+0.2)
heat7.07.6(+0.6)8.5(+1.5)
coastal1.01.01.0

By 2030, Elliott is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, primarily driven by rising temperatures and increased flood risk. Heatwaves are expected to become more frequent and intense, while rainfall patterns may become more erratic.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve building design for heat resilience

Near-term

Implement passive cooling techniques and energy-efficient building materials to reduce heat exposure.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a heatwave early warning system

Immediate

Establish a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on protective measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Upgrade drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Improve drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Promote water conservation practices

Long-term

Encourage residents and businesses to adopt water-saving measures to reduce water stress during dry periods.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Elliott's Climate Risk Profile

Elliott, located in the Northern Territory, is projected to experience increasing temperatures and changes in rainfall patterns due to climate change. This will likely lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a risk to human health, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions.

Flooding is another concern for Elliott, with potential for increased rainfall intensity leading to more frequent and severe flood events. This could impact infrastructure, property, and agricultural activities in the region. While the risk of bushfires is relatively low, it is important to maintain vigilance and implement appropriate fire management strategies.

The local community and authorities should work together to develop and implement adaptation strategies to address these climate risks. This includes measures to reduce heat exposure, improve flood resilience, and enhance fire preparedness. By taking proactive steps, Elliott can minimize the impacts of climate change and ensure a sustainable future.

Specific adaptation measures could include improving building design to enhance cooling, implementing early warning systems for heatwaves and floods, and promoting water conservation practices. Community engagement and education are also crucial to raise awareness of climate risks and encourage individual actions to reduce vulnerability.

Furthermore, investment in infrastructure upgrades, such as improved drainage systems and flood defenses, can help to protect the community from the impacts of extreme weather events. Collaboration with regional and national agencies is essential to access resources and expertise for climate adaptation planning and implementation.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NT Emergency Services · NT Government

Local Government Resources

Elliott Local Authority

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Elliott?

The main climate change risks for Elliott are increasing temperatures, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and increased flood risk due to changes in rainfall patterns.

How will climate change affect property values in Elliott?

Property values in Elliott may be affected by concerns about heat and flooding. Properties that are more vulnerable to these risks may experience a decline in value.

What can I do to protect my home from heatwaves?

You can improve your home's insulation, install energy-efficient air conditioning, and use passive cooling techniques such as shading and ventilation.

What should I do during a flood?

During a flood, you should move to higher ground, avoid driving through floodwaters, and follow the instructions of emergency services.

Where can I find more information about climate change in the Northern Territory?

You can find more information about climate change in the Northern Territory on the Northern Territory Government's website and the CSIRO website.

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