Climate Risk in Bundaberg, Queensland

Bundaberg, Queensland· Bundaberg Regional Council· 4670
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Bundaberg faces a range of climate-related risks, including flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events, posing challenges for the community and infrastructure. Adaptation measures are needed to mitigate these risks.

Overall Risk Score

5.8/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
7.5
Bushfire
4.2
Heat
6.1
Coastal
5.4

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

6.1/10

Bundaberg experiences hot summers, and climate change is expected to lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.6

2050

7.1

Data source

flood Risk

7.5/10

Bundaberg is located on the Burnett River and has a history of significant flooding. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Riverine flooding

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

8.0

2050

8.5

Data source

coastal Risk

5.4/10

Bundaberg is located near the coast and is vulnerable to sea level rise and coastal erosion. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, potentially impacting coastal infrastructure and communities.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm surge
  • ·Coastal erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.9

2050

6.4

Data source

bushfire Risk

4.2/10

Bushfire risk in Bundaberg is moderate due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions associated with climate change are projected to increase the likelihood and severity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Vegetation dryness

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.7

2050

5.2

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in areas at high risk of flooding or bushfire.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area maps.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to climate change impacts.
  • 3.Obtain insurance quotes.
  • 4.Consider adaptation measures.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Burnett River
Elevation Range
5-20 meters
Flood Zone
Areas along the Burnett River are designated as flood zones.

Historical flood data indicates significant inundation in low-lying areas.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Within 1km of residential areas in some parts of the suburb.
Planning Overlay
Refer to the Queensland Bushfire Prone Area Map.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Areas with dense vegetation are at higher risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Elderly and vulnerable populations are at increased risk during heatwaves.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
15 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying coastal areas are vulnerable to sea level rise.
Erosion Risk
Some coastal areas are experiencing erosion.

Historical Climate Events

2013
floodCatastrophic

The 2013 floods caused widespread damage in Bundaberg, inundating thousands of homes and businesses.

Source
2019
bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted areas surrounding Bundaberg, causing property damage and evacuations.

Source
2023
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in parts of Bundaberg, disrupting transport and impacting businesses.

Source
2018
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave affected Bundaberg, with temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius for several days.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood7.58.0(+0.5)8.5(+1.0)
bushfire4.24.5(+0.3)4.9(+0.7)
heat6.16.5(+0.4)7.0(+0.9)
coastal5.45.6(+0.2)5.9(+0.5)

By 2030, Bundaberg is projected to experience an increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, particularly flooding and heatwaves.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade flood defenses

Immediate

Invest in infrastructure to protect against flooding, such as levees and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement bushfire management strategies

Near-term

Reduce fuel loads in surrounding bushland and improve community preparedness for bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a heatwave response plan

Immediate

Implement measures to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, such as cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Protect coastal areas

Long-term

Implement measures to protect against sea level rise and coastal erosion, such as seawalls and beach nourishment.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Improve building codes

Near-term

Update building codes to ensure new buildings are resilient to climate change impacts.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Bundaberg's Climate Risk Profile

Bundaberg is a regional city located in Queensland, Australia. The city is situated on the Burnett River and is surrounded by agricultural land and coastal areas. This location makes it vulnerable to a variety of climate-related hazards.

Flooding is a significant concern for Bundaberg, as the city has experienced several major flood events in the past. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, which could lead to more frequent and severe flooding. The Burnett River is prone to overflowing its banks, inundating residential and commercial areas.

Bushfire risk is also a concern, particularly during the dry season. The surrounding bushland provides fuel for fires, and hotter, drier conditions associated with climate change are projected to increase the likelihood and severity of bushfires. These fires can threaten homes, businesses, and infrastructure.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Bundaberg, posing a risk to vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Climate change is driving up average temperatures, leading to more extreme heat events. These heatwaves can strain the healthcare system and impact productivity.

Coastal hazards, such as sea level rise and coastal erosion, also pose a threat to Bundaberg. The city's proximity to the coast makes it vulnerable to these impacts, which could damage coastal infrastructure and ecosystems. Sea level rise can also exacerbate flooding during storm events.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Queensland Fire and Emergency Services · Bundaberg Regional Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Bundaberg?

Bundaberg faces risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards, all of which are expected to worsen with climate change.

How is the Bundaberg Regional Council addressing climate change?

The Bundaberg Regional Council is developing and implementing strategies to mitigate and adapt to the impacts of climate change, including flood mitigation and bushfire management.

What can I do to protect my property from flooding in Bundaberg?

You can take steps to protect your property from flooding, such as raising the foundation, installing flood barriers, and improving drainage.

How can I prepare for a bushfire in Bundaberg?

You can prepare for a bushfire by clearing vegetation around your home, having a bushfire survival plan, and knowing your evacuation route.

Where can I find information about emergency services in Bundaberg?

You can find information about emergency services in Bundaberg on the Queensland Police Service website.

What is the average rainfall in Bundaberg?

The average annual rainfall in Bundaberg is approximately 1100mm, but this can vary significantly from year to year.

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