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PROPERTY ANALYTICS

Climate Risk Profile: Burpengary, QLD

Burpengary, Queensland· UNKNOWN
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Burpengary faces a medium overall climate risk, primarily driven by increasing flood and heat risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and take steps to mitigate the impacts of climate change.

Overall Risk Score

5.5/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

7.0/10

Burpengary is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

6.0/10

Burpengary faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and nearby waterways. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Sea level rise affecting drainage

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

1.0/10

Burpengary has a low coastal risk due to its distance from the immediate coastline. Sea level rise and storm surges pose a minimal direct threat.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.5

2050

2.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

4.0/10

Burpengary has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·Stronger winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in areas with higher flood or bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency and cooling options.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage and potential premium increases.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Burpengary Creek
Elevation Range
5-20 meters
Flood Zone
Medium

Historical flood events have impacted properties along Burpengary Creek. Council flood maps indicate areas at risk.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to several bushland reserves
Planning Overlay
Qld Fire and Emergency Services Bushfire Prone Area Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Properties bordering bushland are at higher risk. Residents should maintain fire breaks and have a bushfire survival plan.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Average January maximum temperatures are expected to increase. Heat stress events are becoming more frequent.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
10 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2013
floodModerate

Widespread flooding occurred in the Moreton Bay region, including Burpengary, due to ex-Tropical Cyclone Oswald.

Source
2009
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave affected southeast Queensland, with record temperatures recorded in some areas.

Source
2020
stormModerate

Severe thunderstorms caused damage to property and infrastructure in Burpengary.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood6.06.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire4.04.3(+0.3)4.5(+0.5)
heat7.07.7(+0.7)8.2(+1.2)
coastal1.01.2(+0.2)1.4(+0.4)

By 2030, Burpengary is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in flood and heat risks. Adaptation measures will be crucial to mitigate these impacts.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Early Warning System

Immediate

Implement a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on staying safe.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Mitigation Measures

Near-term

Implement bushfire mitigation measures such as clearing vegetation around properties and creating fire breaks.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Long-term

Conduct community education programs to raise awareness of climate risks and promote adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Burpengary's Climate Risk Profile

Burpengary, located in Queensland, is projected to experience significant climate changes in the coming decades. The primary risks are associated with increased flooding due to more intense rainfall events and rising temperatures leading to more frequent and severe heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also a concern due to the proximity of bushland areas.

The increasing flood risk is driven by a combination of factors, including more intense rainfall events and potential sea level rise affecting drainage. This could lead to more frequent inundation of low-lying areas and damage to property and infrastructure.

Heatwaves are expected to become more frequent and intense, posing a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect could further exacerbate these risks.

While the coastal risk is relatively low due to Burpengary's distance from the immediate coastline, sea level rise and storm surges could still have indirect impacts on the region.

Addressing these climate risks will require a combination of adaptation and mitigation measures, including improved drainage infrastructure, heatwave early warning systems, and community education programs.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Qld Fire and Emergency Services · Moreton Bay Regional Council

Local Government Resources

Moreton Bay Regional Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Burpengary?

The main climate change risks for Burpengary are increased flooding due to more intense rainfall events, more frequent and severe heatwaves, and a moderate bushfire risk.

How will climate change affect property values in Burpengary?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline. Insurance premiums may also increase in areas with higher flood or bushfire risk.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Burpengary?

Moreton Bay Regional Council is implementing various measures to address climate change, including upgrading drainage infrastructure, developing heatwave early warning systems, and conducting community education programs.

What can residents do to prepare for climate change in Burpengary?

Residents can prepare for climate change by checking flood maps, assessing bushfire risk, considering energy efficiency, and reviewing insurance coverage.

Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Burpengary?

You can find more information about climate change risks in Burpengary on the Moreton Bay Regional Council website, the Queensland Government website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.

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