Climate Risk in Caloundra, QLD

Caloundra, Queensland· Sunshine Coast Council· 4551
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Caloundra faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Sea level rise and increased rainfall intensity are key drivers of these risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

5.2/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
3.0
Heat
6.0
Coastal
5.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

6.0/10

Caloundra experiences increasing heatwave intensity and frequency, particularly during summer. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

6.5/10

Caloundra faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying coastal areas and proximity to waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater and riverine flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

5.0/10

Caloundra is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise and storm surges. Low-lying areas are at particular risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
  • ·Coastal development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

3.0/10

Bushfire risk in Caloundra is relatively low compared to other regions, but areas near bushland reserves are still susceptible, especially during dry periods.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Windy conditions
  • ·Human ignition

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

3.2

2050

3.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in high-risk areas.

Price Impact

Properties in vulnerable locations may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and coastal hazard overlays.
  • 2.Assess property's elevation and proximity to waterways.
  • 3.Inquire about past flood or erosion events.
  • 4.Consider the cost of insurance and potential climate risks.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Pumicestone Passage
Elevation Range
0-20m
Flood Zone
Areas near Pumicestone Passage and creeks are prone to flooding.

Historical flood events have impacted properties along the coastline and near creeks.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Some properties border bushland reserves.
Planning Overlay
Refer to the Queensland Bushfire Prone Area map.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Areas adjacent to bushland require appropriate fire management strategies.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
29.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in the region.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
0.5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying areas are exposed to sea level rise.
Erosion Risk
Coastal erosion is an ongoing concern.

Historical Climate Events

2007
stormModerate

Severe storms caused flash flooding and property damage in Caloundra.

Source
2009
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall led to widespread flooding in low-lying areas of Caloundra.

Source
2013
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions and heat stress.

Source
2022
floodMajor

Significant flooding event impacted many homes and businesses in Caloundra following days of heavy rainfall.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood6.57.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire3.03.2(+0.2)3.5(+0.5)
heat6.06.8(+0.8)7.5(+1.5)
coastal5.05.3(+0.3)5.8(+0.8)

By 2030, Caloundra is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with heatwaves and flooding posing the greatest challenges. Coastal erosion will also become more pronounced.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade stormwater drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Improve the capacity of stormwater drains to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flash flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement coastal protection measures

Near-term

Construct seawalls, restore dunes, and implement beach nourishment programs to protect coastal properties from erosion and inundation.

Est. cost: Very High

Learn more

Develop a heatwave management plan

Immediate

Establish cooling centers, provide public awareness campaigns, and implement measures to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage residents and businesses to reduce water consumption through water-efficient appliances, rainwater harvesting, and drought-resistant landscaping.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Raise awareness about climate risks

Immediate

Educate the community about the impacts of climate change and provide guidance on how to prepare for extreme weather events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Caloundra's Climate Risk Profile

Caloundra, located on the Sunshine Coast, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from intense rainfall and rising sea levels, heatwaves during the summer months, and coastal erosion affecting beachfront properties.

Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's low-lying topography and proximity to coastal waterways. Increased rainfall intensity, driven by climate change, exacerbates the risk of stormwater and riverine flooding. Sea level rise further compounds the problem, increasing the likelihood of coastal inundation during high tides and storm surges.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a threat to public health, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect can further amplify temperatures in built-up areas.

Coastal erosion is an ongoing issue, with rising sea levels and increased storm intensity contributing to the loss of beaches and damage to coastal infrastructure. This poses a threat to property values and the local tourism industry.

Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including investments in flood mitigation infrastructure, urban greening to reduce the urban heat island effect, and coastal protection measures. Community awareness and preparedness are also crucial for building resilience to climate change impacts.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Queensland Fire and Emergency Services · Sunshine Coast Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Caloundra?

The main climate change risks in Caloundra include flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These risks are driven by increased rainfall intensity, rising sea levels, and rising temperatures.

How will sea level rise affect Caloundra?

Sea level rise will increase the risk of coastal inundation during high tides and storm surges, potentially impacting beachfront properties and infrastructure.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Caloundra?

During heatwaves, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Caloundra?

You can find information about flood risks on the Sunshine Coast Council website, including flood maps and emergency preparedness guides.

Is my property in Caloundra at risk from bushfires?

Properties adjacent to bushland reserves are at higher risk from bushfires. Check the Queensland Bushfire Prone Area map and implement appropriate fire management strategies.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Caloundra?

The Sunshine Coast Council is implementing a range of measures to address climate change, including upgrading stormwater infrastructure, implementing coastal protection measures, and promoting water conservation.

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