Climate Risk in Ferny Hills, QLD
Ferny Hills is a suburb in Queensland with a medium overall climate risk. The primary risks are flooding and bushfires, with increasing trends due to climate change. Heat risk is moderate, while coastal risk is low.
Overall Risk Score
Confidence: Medium
Hazard Breakdown
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Ferny Hills experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves expected in the future.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
4.5
2050
5.0
flood Risk
Ferny Hills has a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Heavy rainfall events can lead to flash flooding and riverine flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
7.0
2050
7.5
coastal Risk
Ferny Hills has a very low risk from coastal hazards due to its inland location.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
1.0
2050
1.0
bushfire Risk
Ferny Hills faces a high risk of bushfires due to its location near bushland areas. Dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk during the bushfire season.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Strong winds
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
7.5
2050
8.0
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience slower price growth.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
- 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
- 4.Consider future climate projections when making long-term investment decisions.
Local Climate Evidence
Flood Evidence
- Nearest Waterway
- Cedar Creek
- Elevation Range
- 50-150m
- Flood Zone
- Medium
Several properties in Ferny Hills are located in areas susceptible to overland flow during heavy rainfall events.
View council flood mapBushfire Evidence
- Distance to Bushland
- Adjacent
- Planning Overlay
- Bushfire Prone Area
- Bushfire Prone Area
- Yes
The western and northern parts of Ferny Hills border significant bushland, increasing bushfire risk.
Heat Evidence
- Avg January Max Temp
- 30.5°C
- Heat Stress Days/Year
- 3 days
The number of days exceeding 35°C is projected to increase in the future.
Coastal Evidence
- Distance to Coast
- 25 km
- Sea Level Rise Exposure
- None
- Erosion Risk
- None
Historical Climate Events
Climate Outlook to 2050
Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5
| Hazard | Today | 2030 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| flood | 6.5 | 7.0(+0.5) | 7.5(+1.0) |
| bushfire | 7.0 | 7.3(+0.3) | 7.8(+0.8) |
| heat | 4.0 | 4.2(+0.2) | 4.5(+0.5) |
| coastal | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
By 2030, Ferny Hills is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, primarily driven by increased flood and bushfire risks. Heat risk is also expected to rise slightly.
CSIRO Climate ProjectionsAdaptation Recommendations
Improve stormwater drainage
Near-termUpgrade stormwater drainage infrastructure to reduce the risk of flash flooding.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire hazard reduction
ImmediateImplement bushfire hazard reduction measures, such as controlled burns and vegetation management, to reduce the risk of bushfires.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreCommunity education programs
Near-termDevelop and implement community education programs to raise awareness of climate risks and promote preparedness.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreHeatwave early warning system
Near-termEstablish a heatwave early warning system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreStrengthen building codes
Long-termUpdate building codes to ensure that new buildings are more resilient to climate hazards, such as flooding and bushfires.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreAbout Ferny Hills's Climate Risk Profile
Ferny Hills, located in Queensland, faces several climate-related risks that are projected to increase in the coming decades. The suburb's proximity to waterways and bushland makes it particularly vulnerable to flooding and bushfires.
Flooding is a significant concern, with heavy rainfall events capable of causing flash flooding and riverine flooding. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall events, exacerbating the risk. Urban development can also contribute to increased runoff and flooding.
Bushfire risk is also high, especially during dry periods with strong winds. The surrounding bushland provides ample fuel for fires, and climate change is expected to increase the frequency and severity of bushfire conditions.
Heat risk is moderate, with average temperatures expected to rise. More frequent and intense heatwaves could pose a health risk to vulnerable populations. Coastal risk is minimal due to the suburb's inland location.
Addressing these climate risks will require a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Mitigation efforts should focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions to slow the pace of climate change. Adaptation strategies should focus on reducing the suburb's vulnerability to specific climate hazards.
Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · QFES · Moreton Bay Regional Council
Local Government Resources
Moreton Bay Regional Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Ferny Hills?
The main climate risks in Ferny Hills are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. The suburb is vulnerable to flooding due to its proximity to waterways, and bushfires due to its location near bushland. Heatwaves are also a concern, with average temperatures expected to rise.
How is climate change expected to impact Ferny Hills?
Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events in Ferny Hills, such as floods, bushfires, and heatwaves. This could lead to property damage, health impacts, and disruption to daily life.
What can I do to prepare for climate risks in Ferny Hills?
There are several things you can do to prepare for climate risks in Ferny Hills, such as developing an emergency plan, assembling an emergency kit, and staying informed about weather forecasts and warnings. You can also take steps to reduce your property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
Where can I find more information about climate risks in Ferny Hills?
You can find more information about climate risks in Ferny Hills from the Moreton Bay Regional Council, the Queensland Fire and Emergency Services, and the Bureau of Meteorology.
Is my property in Ferny Hills at risk of flooding?
You can check the Moreton Bay Regional Council's flood maps to see if your property is located in a flood-prone area. You can also contact the council for more information about flood risks in your area.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Ferny Hills?
The Moreton Bay Regional Council is implementing a range of measures to address climate change, such as reducing greenhouse gas emissions, improving stormwater drainage, and promoting sustainable development.
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