Climate Risk Profile: Goodna, QLD
Goodna faces a high risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Brisbane River. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of flooding and heatwaves, posing challenges for the community. Bushfire risk is moderate, while coastal risk is low.
Overall Risk Score
Confidence: Medium
Hazard Breakdown
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Goodna experiences a moderate risk from heatwaves. The suburb is subject to high temperatures during summer, and climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
6.5
2050
7.0
flood Risk
Goodna faces a high risk of flooding due to its location near the Brisbane River and low-lying areas. Historical flood events have caused significant damage, and future climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
8.8
2050
9.2
coastal Risk
Coastal risk in Goodna is low. The suburb is located inland and is not directly exposed to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surge.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
2.0
2050
2.0
bushfire Risk
Bushfire risk in Goodna is moderate. While not immediately adjacent to dense bushland, the surrounding areas are susceptible to bushfires, particularly during dry periods. Climate change may exacerbate bushfire conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Vegetation dryness
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
4.8
2050
5.2
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the high flood risk.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess the property's elevation and drainage.
- 3.Obtain flood insurance.
- 4.Develop a flood emergency plan.
- 5.Consider the potential impact of climate change on property value.
Local Climate Evidence
Flood Evidence
- Nearest Waterway
- Brisbane River
- Elevation Range
- 5-20 meters
- Flood Zone
- High
Goodna has a history of significant flooding events, particularly along the Brisbane River. The Ipswich City Council maintains flood maps and provides information on flood preparedness.
View council flood mapBushfire Evidence
- Distance to Bushland
- 2-5 km
- Planning Overlay
- https://www.qfes.qld.gov.au/bushfires
- Bushfire Prone Area
- Yes
While not directly adjacent to dense bushland, areas surrounding Goodna are designated as bushfire prone. Residents should be aware of bushfire risks and have a bushfire survival plan.
Heat Evidence
- Avg January Max Temp
- 31.5°C
- Heat Stress Days/Year
- 5 days
Goodna experiences high temperatures during summer, with an average maximum temperature of 31.5 degrees Celsius in January. Heatwaves can pose a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Coastal Evidence
- Distance to Coast
- 30 km
- Sea Level Rise Exposure
- Low
- Erosion Risk
- Low
Historical Climate Events
The 2011 Brisbane River floods inundated large parts of Goodna, causing widespread damage to homes and businesses.
SourceMinor flooding occurred in Goodna due to heavy rainfall in the Brisbane River catchment.
SourceMajor flooding occurred in Goodna due to heavy rainfall in the Brisbane River catchment.
SourceClimate Outlook to 2050
Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5
| Hazard | Today | 2030 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| flood | 8.5 | 8.8(+0.3) | 9.2(+0.7) |
| bushfire | 4.5 | 4.6(+0.1) | 4.8(+0.3) |
| heat | 6.0 | 6.1(+0.1) | 6.2(+0.2) |
| coastal | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
By 2030, Goodna is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, primarily driven by increased flood risk due to more intense rainfall events. Heat risk will also increase slightly.
CSIRO Climate ProjectionsAdaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
ImmediateInvest in flood levees, drainage improvements, and stormwater management systems to reduce the impact of flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreStrengthen Building Codes
Near-termUpdate building codes to require flood-resistant construction in flood-prone areas.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop Heatwave Preparedness Plans
Near-termImplement heatwave early warning systems and establish cooling centers to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreEnhance Bushfire Management
Long-termImplement bushfire mitigation strategies, such as controlled burns and vegetation management, to reduce the risk of bushfires.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Goodna's Climate Risk Profile
Goodna, located in the Ipswich region of Queensland, is particularly vulnerable to flooding due to its low-lying topography and location near the Brisbane River. Historical flood events have caused significant damage to properties and infrastructure, highlighting the need for effective flood mitigation strategies.
Climate change is projected to exacerbate the risk of flooding in Goodna. Increased rainfall intensity and rising sea levels are expected to increase the frequency and severity of flood events. This poses a significant threat to residents, businesses, and critical infrastructure.
In addition to flooding, Goodna also faces a moderate risk from bushfires. While the suburb is not immediately adjacent to dense bushland, surrounding areas are susceptible to bushfires, particularly during dry periods. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
The local council and state government are working to address these climate risks through various adaptation measures, including improved flood management infrastructure, bushfire mitigation strategies, and heatwave preparedness plans. However, further action is needed to protect the community from the impacts of climate change.
Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Queensland Emergency Services · Ipswich City Council
Local Government Resources
Ipswich City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Goodna?
Goodna faces a high risk of flooding due to its location near the Brisbane River. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of flooding and heatwaves. Bushfire risk is moderate, while coastal risk is low.
How will climate change affect property values in Goodna?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value due to the increased risk of flooding. Insurance premiums are also likely to increase.
What is the local council doing to address climate change?
The Ipswich City Council is implementing various adaptation measures, including improved flood management infrastructure, bushfire mitigation strategies, and heatwave preparedness plans.
What can residents do to prepare for climate change?
Residents can take steps to protect their homes from flooding, such as raising the elevation of their property and installing flood barriers. They can also develop a flood emergency plan and obtain flood insurance.
Where can I find more information about climate risks in Goodna?
You can find more information about climate risks in Goodna on the Ipswich City Council website, the Queensland Government website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.
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