Climate Risk Profile: Goondiwindi, QLD

Goondiwindi, Queensland· Goondiwindi Regional· 4390
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Goondiwindi faces significant climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. The town's location on the Macintyre River floodplain makes it vulnerable to increased rainfall and riverine flooding. Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves will also pose challenges for residents.

Overall Risk Score

5.8/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
7.5
Bushfire
3.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

7.0/10

Goondiwindi experiences hot summers, and climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This will put a strain on the local population, particularly the elderly and vulnerable.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

7.5/10

Goondiwindi is located on the Macintyre River floodplain, making it highly susceptible to flooding. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

8.0

2050

8.5

Data source

coastal Risk

1.0/10

Goondiwindi is located inland and is not directly exposed to coastal hazards.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

3.0/10

While Goondiwindi is surrounded by agricultural land, there are areas of bushland that pose a bushfire risk. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves and droughts, which can increase the risk of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drought conditions
  • ·Vegetation dryness

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

3.5

2050

4.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to flood risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price decreases.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess the property's elevation and drainage.
  • 3.Obtain flood insurance.
  • 4.Consider the property's proximity to bushland.
  • 5.Evaluate the property's energy efficiency.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Macintyre River
Elevation Range
200-220m
Flood Zone
High Risk

The Macintyre River has a history of flooding in Goondiwindi, with major events occurring in 2011 and 2012.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Within 5km
Planning Overlay
https://www.ruralfire.qld.gov.au/
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Areas to the west and south of Goondiwindi are designated as bushfire prone areas.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
34°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Goondiwindi experiences several days above 40°C each summer.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
500 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not Applicable
Erosion Risk
Not Applicable

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodMajor

The Macintyre River experienced a major flood, inundating parts of Goondiwindi.

Source
2012
floodModerate

Another significant flood event occurred in Goondiwindi, causing further damage.

Source
2019
droughtMajor

Severe drought conditions impacted the Goondiwindi region, affecting agricultural production.

Source
2023
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused moderate flooding in low-lying areas of Goondiwindi.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood7.58.0(+0.5)8.5(+1.0)
bushfire3.03.3(+0.3)3.5(+0.5)
heat7.07.7(+0.7)8.2(+1.2)
coastal1.01.01.0

By 2030, Goondiwindi is projected to experience an increase in flood risk due to more intense rainfall events. Heatwaves will also become more frequent and severe.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade Flood Protection Infrastructure

Immediate

Invest in levees, drainage systems, and other infrastructure to protect Goondiwindi from flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Heatwave Early Warning System

Near-term

Develop a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage residents and businesses to conserve water to reduce the strain on water resources during droughts.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Support Sustainable Agriculture

Long-term

Promote agricultural practices that are resilient to climate change, such as drought-resistant crops and water-efficient irrigation.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Goondiwindi's Climate Risk Profile

Goondiwindi is a rural town located in southern Queensland, known for its agricultural industry and proximity to the Macintyre River. The town's climate is characterized by hot summers and mild winters, with rainfall occurring throughout the year.

However, Goondiwindi is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The most significant risk is flooding, as the town is situated on the Macintyre River floodplain. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, leading to more frequent and severe flooding.

Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves also pose a significant threat to Goondiwindi. These conditions can put a strain on the local population, particularly the elderly and vulnerable, and can also impact agricultural productivity.

While Goondiwindi is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the town may experience indirect impacts from climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased migration from coastal areas.

Addressing these climate risks will require a combination of adaptation and mitigation measures. This includes investing in flood protection infrastructure, implementing heatwave early warning systems, and reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Queensland Government · Goondiwindi Regional Council · Queensland Fire and Emergency Services

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks facing Goondiwindi?

The main climate change risks facing Goondiwindi are flooding, heatwaves, and drought. The town is located on the Macintyre River floodplain, making it vulnerable to increased rainfall and riverine flooding. Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves will also pose challenges for residents, and drought conditions can impact agricultural production.

How is the Goondiwindi Regional Council addressing climate change?

The Goondiwindi Regional Council is developing strategies to address climate change, including investing in flood protection infrastructure, implementing heatwave early warning systems, and promoting water conservation.

What can residents do to prepare for climate change?

Residents can prepare for climate change by taking steps to reduce their risk of flooding, such as elevating their homes and purchasing flood insurance. They can also take steps to stay safe during heatwaves, such as staying hydrated and avoiding strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day. Conserving water is also important to reduce the strain on water resources during droughts.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Goondiwindi?

You can find more information about climate change in Goondiwindi on the Goondiwindi Regional Council website, the Queensland Government website, and the CSIRO website.

Is it safe to buy property in Goondiwindi given the flood risk?

Buying property in Goondiwindi is a personal decision. It is important to be aware of the flood risk and to take steps to mitigate that risk, such as purchasing flood insurance and choosing a property that is not located in a flood-prone area. Consult the council's flood maps before purchasing.

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