Climate Risk Profile for Kenmore, Queensland
Kenmore is a suburb of Brisbane with a moderate overall climate risk. The primary risks are flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk being lower. Coastal risks are negligible due to its inland location.
Overall Risk Score
Confidence: Medium
Hazard Breakdown
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Kenmore experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events expected in the future.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
6.8
2050
7.5
flood Risk
Kenmore has a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Brisbane River and local creeks. Heavy rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
6.5
2050
7.0
coastal Risk
Kenmore has a very low risk from coastal hazards due to its inland location.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
1.0
2050
1.0
bushfire Risk
Kenmore has a low to moderate risk of bushfire due to the presence of bushland areas nearby. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Wind patterns
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
4.2
2050
4.5
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood risk.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price impacts.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps
- 2.Assess bushfire risk
- 3.Consider energy efficiency
- 4.Review insurance options
Local Climate Evidence
Flood Evidence
- Nearest Waterway
- Brisbane River
- Elevation Range
- 20-80 meters
- Flood Zone
- Partial flood overlay zones
Some properties in Kenmore are located within designated flood zones.
View council flood mapBushfire Evidence
- Distance to Bushland
- Adjacent to bushland reserves
- Planning Overlay
- Bushfire prone area overlay
- Bushfire Prone Area
- Yes
Parts of Kenmore are designated as bushfire prone areas.
Heat Evidence
- Avg January Max Temp
- 30.5°C
- Heat Stress Days/Year
- 5 days
Average January maximum temperature is increasing.
Coastal Evidence
- Distance to Coast
- 15 km
- Sea Level Rise Exposure
- Not applicable
- Erosion Risk
- Not applicable
Historical Climate Events
The 2011 Brisbane floods inundated parts of Kenmore, causing significant damage to properties.
SourceA prolonged heatwave in January 2013 resulted in increased hospital admissions in the Brisbane region.
SourceSevere flooding impacted Kenmore and surrounding areas, causing widespread damage and disruption.
SourceClimate Outlook to 2050
Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5
| Hazard | Today | 2030 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| flood | 6.0 | 6.5(+0.5) | 7.0(+1.0) |
| bushfire | 4.0 | 4.2(+0.2) | 4.4(+0.4) |
| heat | 6.0 | 6.8(+0.8) | 7.5(+1.5) |
| coastal | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
By 2030, Kenmore is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave frequency and intensity, along with a heightened risk of flooding due to more intense rainfall events. Bushfire risk will also slightly increase. Coastal risks remain negligible.
CSIRO Climate ProjectionsAdaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
ImmediateInvest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as improved drainage systems and flood barriers.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreEnhance Bushfire Preparedness
Near-termImplement bushfire management strategies, including vegetation clearing and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop Heat Action Plan
ImmediateCreate a heat action plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwave events, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termEncourage water conservation measures to reduce strain on water resources during periods of drought and heat.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Kenmore's Climate Risk Profile
Kenmore, located in Brisbane, Queensland, faces increasing climate-related challenges. The suburb's proximity to the Brisbane River and local creeks makes it susceptible to flooding during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, with more intense rainfall events predicted.
Bushfire risk is present due to the surrounding bushland, although it is less severe than flooding. Hot and dry conditions, coupled with strong winds, can elevate the risk of bushfires impacting the community. Residents should stay informed and prepared during the bushfire season.
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Kenmore, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations. The urban environment can amplify the effects of heat, making it essential to take precautions during hot weather. Planning for increased heat is crucial for the future.
While coastal hazards are not a direct threat to Kenmore, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and infrastructure, can indirectly affect the suburb. Therefore, a comprehensive approach to climate resilience is necessary.
Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · QFES · Brisbane City Council
Local Government Resources
Brisbane City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Kenmore?
The main climate risks in Kenmore are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's proximity to the Brisbane River and local creeks. Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations. Bushfire risk is present due to the surrounding bushland.
How will climate change affect Kenmore in the future?
Climate change is expected to exacerbate the existing climate risks in Kenmore. Flooding events are projected to become more severe and frequent, and heatwaves will pose a greater threat to public health. Bushfire risk will also increase. These changes could impact property values, insurance premiums, and the overall quality of life in the suburb.
What can I do to prepare for climate change in Kenmore?
There are several steps you can take to prepare for climate change in Kenmore. These include checking flood maps to assess your property's flood risk, implementing bushfire safety measures, conserving water, and developing a heat action plan. Staying informed about local weather conditions and emergency alerts is also crucial.
Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Kenmore?
You can find more information about climate change risks in Kenmore from the Brisbane City Council, the Queensland Fire and Emergency Services (QFES), and the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM). These organizations provide valuable resources and data on flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and other climate-related hazards.
Are there any community initiatives to address climate change in Kenmore?
Yes, there are several community initiatives to address climate change in Kenmore. These include local environmental groups, community gardens, and sustainable living workshops. Participating in these initiatives can help you reduce your carbon footprint and contribute to a more resilient community.
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