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PROPERTY ANALYTICS

Climate Risk Profile: Yorkeys Knob, QLD

Yorkeys Knob, Queensland· Cairns· 4878
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Yorkeys Knob is a coastal suburb in Queensland that faces several climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding and coastal hazards, with increasing risks from heatwaves. Residents should prepare for potential impacts from these events.

Overall Risk Score

5.8/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
7.0
Bushfire
3.0
Heat
6.0
Coastal
7.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

6.0/10

Yorkeys Knob experiences high temperatures and humidity during the summer months, increasing the risk of heat stress, particularly for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

7.0/10

Yorkeys Knob is susceptible to flooding due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to waterways. Heavy rainfall events can lead to stormwater and riverine flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

coastal Risk

7.0/10

Yorkeys Knob is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise and storm surges. The low-lying coastline is particularly at risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

3.0/10

Bushfire risk is relatively low in Yorkeys Knob due to the limited presence of dense vegetation in close proximity to residential areas. However, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

3.2

2050

3.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the increasing risk of flooding and coastal inundation.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value as climate risks become more apparent.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to coastal erosion.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Consider the potential impacts of sea level rise.
  • 5.Evaluate the property's energy efficiency and cooling options.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Barron River
Elevation Range
0-10m
Flood Zone
Coastal and Riverine

Historical flood events have impacted properties in Yorkeys Knob, particularly those close to the Barron River.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
1-2km
Planning Overlay
QFES Bushfire Prone Area Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

While not immediately surrounded by dense bushland, areas to the west of Yorkeys Knob are classified as bushfire prone.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

The high humidity levels in Yorkeys Knob exacerbate the effects of high temperatures, increasing the risk of heat stress.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
0.5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
High
Erosion Risk
Moderate

Historical Climate Events

2019
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flash flooding in Yorkeys Knob, inundating some properties and disrupting traffic.

Source
2018
stormMinor

A severe thunderstorm brought strong winds and heavy rain to Yorkeys Knob, causing minor damage to trees and powerlines.

Source
2011
floodMajor

Widespread flooding across Queensland impacted Yorkeys Knob, with many homes and businesses affected.

Source
2005
coastalModerate

A storm surge caused coastal erosion and inundation in Yorkeys Knob, damaging beachfront properties.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood7.07.5(+0.5)8.0(+1.0)
bushfire3.03.2(+0.2)3.5(+0.5)
heat6.06.3(+0.3)6.7(+0.7)
coastal7.07.5(+0.5)8.0(+1.0)

By 2030, Yorkeys Knob is projected to experience an increase in the frequency and intensity of flooding and coastal inundation events. Heatwaves will also become more common, posing a greater risk to public health.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Improve stormwater drainage systems to reduce the risk of flash flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Protect Coastal Ecosystems

Near-term

Restore and protect mangrove forests and dunes to provide natural buffers against coastal erosion and storm surges.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a Heatwave Management Plan

Immediate

Implement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Raise Awareness of Climate Risks

Long-term

Educate residents about the risks of climate change and provide guidance on how to prepare for and respond to extreme weather events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen Building Codes

Near-term

Update building codes to ensure that new construction is resilient to flooding, coastal inundation, and extreme heat.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Yorkeys Knob's Climate Risk Profile

Yorkeys Knob, located in Queensland, is a suburb that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's low-lying coastal location makes it particularly susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall and storm surges. Sea level rise is expected to exacerbate these risks, leading to more frequent and severe inundation events.

Bushfire risk is relatively lower compared to other regions, but dry conditions and strong winds can still pose a threat. Residents should maintain their properties to reduce potential fuel loads and stay informed about fire danger ratings.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing health risks to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with pre-existing medical conditions. It is important to stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and avoid strenuous activities during peak heat periods.

Coastal erosion is another significant concern, with the potential to damage infrastructure and property along the coastline. Protecting and restoring coastal ecosystems, such as mangroves and dunes, can help to mitigate these impacts. Planning for managed retreat may also be necessary in the long term.

Addressing these climate risks requires a coordinated effort from individuals, communities, and governments. By taking proactive measures to adapt to climate change, Yorkeys Knob can enhance its resilience and protect its residents and assets.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · QFES · Cairns Regional Council

Local Government Resources

Cairns Regional Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Yorkeys Knob?

The main climate change risks for Yorkeys Knob are flooding, coastal inundation, and heatwaves. Sea level rise is expected to exacerbate these risks.

How can I prepare my property for flooding?

You can prepare your property for flooding by elevating appliances, installing flood barriers, and ensuring that your property is properly drained.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, it is important to stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about local emergency services?

You can find information about local emergency services on the Queensland Fire and Emergency Services (QFES) website.

How is the Cairns Regional Council addressing climate change?

The Cairns Regional Council has a sustainability strategy that outlines its approach to addressing climate change, including reducing greenhouse gas emissions and adapting to the impacts of climate change.

Will sea levels affect my property in Yorkeys Knob?

Yes, sea level rise is projected to increase the risk of coastal inundation in Yorkeys Knob, potentially affecting properties close to the coastline. It's important to check long-term projections and council planning.

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