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PROPERTY ANALYTICS

Climate Risk in Kingborough, Tasmania

Kingborough, Tasmania· UNKNOWN
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Kingborough faces increasing risks from climate change, particularly related to bushfires, flooding, and coastal erosion. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and consider long-term adaptation strategies. The area's proximity to bushland and the coast contributes to its vulnerability.

Overall Risk Score

5.5/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
7.0
Heat
4.0
Coastal
5.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

4.0/10

Kingborough experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected for the future.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

flood Risk

6.0/10

Kingborough faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall and river overflow. Areas near the Browns River and coastal regions are particularly vulnerable.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

5.0/10

Kingborough faces a moderate coastal risk due to sea level rise and potential erosion, particularly in low-lying coastal areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm surge

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

7.0/10

Kingborough has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and dry conditions during summer. Several areas are designated as bushfire-prone.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Drier summers
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Accumulation of dry vegetation

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in high-risk areas

Price Impact

Properties in vulnerable locations may experience price impacts

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area overlays
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to coastal hazards
  • 3.Consider potential impacts of climate change on property value
  • 4.Review insurance options and premiums

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Browns River
Elevation Range
0-400m
Flood Zone
Areas near Browns River and coastal regions

Kingborough Council provides flood maps and information on its website.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to Wellington Park and other bushland areas
Planning Overlay
Bushfire-prone area overlay
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Check the Tasmanian Fire Service website for bushfire-prone area maps.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
22°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
1 days

Data from Bureau of Meteorology indicates increasing average temperatures.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
0.5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying coastal areas are exposed to sea level rise
Erosion Risk
Moderate erosion risk in some coastal areas

Historical Climate Events

2013
bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted areas near Kingborough, causing property damage and evacuations.

Source
2018
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in low-lying areas of Kingborough, affecting roads and properties.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

A heatwave in Tasmania led to increased temperatures in Kingborough, impacting public health.

Source
2022
stormModerate

Severe storms caused damage to infrastructure and properties in Kingborough.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood6.06.3(+0.3)6.6(+0.6)
bushfire7.07.7(+0.7)8.2(+1.2)
heat4.04.2(+0.2)4.5(+0.5)
coastal5.05.4(+0.4)5.8(+0.8)

By 2030, Kingborough is projected to experience increased bushfire risk and more frequent flooding events due to climate change.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement vegetation management programs, improve building standards, and develop community evacuation plans.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Enhance Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in flood mitigation infrastructure, such as levees and drainage systems, and implement stricter building codes in flood-prone areas.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Protect Coastal Areas

Near-term

Implement coastal erosion management strategies, such as beach nourishment and seawalls, and restrict development in vulnerable areas.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Promote Heatwave Resilience

Long-term

Develop heatwave early warning systems, establish cooling centers, and educate the public on heat safety measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Kingborough's Climate Risk Profile

Kingborough, Tasmania, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The region's diverse landscape, including coastal areas, bushland, and river systems, makes it susceptible to a range of climate-related hazards.

Bushfire risk is a significant concern, with drier summers and more frequent heatwaves increasing the likelihood of severe fires. Areas near bushland are particularly at risk, and residents need to be prepared for potential evacuations and property damage.

Flooding is another major hazard, with heavy rainfall and river overflow posing a threat to low-lying areas. Sea level rise is exacerbating coastal flooding, and erosion is also a growing concern. Infrastructure and properties along the coast are particularly vulnerable.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to public health, especially for vulnerable populations. Rising temperatures can also impact agriculture and water resources.

Addressing these challenges requires a coordinated effort from local government, residents, and businesses. Implementing adaptation measures, such as improving building standards, managing vegetation, and investing in flood defenses, is crucial to protecting the community from the impacts of climate change.

Data sources: Bureau of Meteorology · CSIRO · Tasmanian Fire Service · Tasmanian State Emergency Service · Department of Primary Industries, Parks, Water and Environment (Tasmania)

Local Government Resources

Kingborough Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Kingborough?

Kingborough faces increasing risks from bushfires, flooding, coastal erosion, and heatwaves due to climate change.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires in Kingborough?

Clear vegetation around your home, install fire-resistant building materials, and develop a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a flood in Kingborough?

Move to higher ground, avoid driving through floodwaters, and follow instructions from emergency services.

How is Kingborough Council addressing climate change?

Kingborough Council is developing and implementing climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies.

Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Kingborough?

Visit the Kingborough Council website, the Tasmanian Department of Primary Industries, Parks, Water and Environment (DPIPWE) website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.

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