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PROPERTY ANALYTICS

Climate Risk in Kingston, Tasmania

Kingston, Tasmania· Kingborough Council· 7050
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Kingston is a suburb in Tasmania that faces moderate climate risks. The primary concerns are flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards, all of which are projected to increase in severity over the coming decades. Residents should prepare for these changes and take steps to mitigate their impact.

Overall Risk Score

5.2/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
6.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

5.0/10

Kingston is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This could impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

6.0/10

Kingston faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

6.0/10

Kingston faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to sea level rise. This could lead to increased erosion and inundation of low-lying areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

4.0/10

Kingston has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Vegetation dryness

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in high-risk areas.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone or bushfire-prone areas may experience price impacts.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area overlays.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to climate risks.
  • 3.Obtain adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Develop a bushfire survival plan.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Browns River
Elevation Range
0-50 meters
Flood Zone
Areas near Browns River are prone to flooding.

Historical flood events have impacted properties along Browns River.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland reserves.
Planning Overlay
Bushfire-prone area overlay applies to parts of Kingston.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents should maintain firebreaks and have a bushfire survival plan.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
22.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
1.2 days

Elderly residents are particularly vulnerable during heatwaves.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
1.5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying coastal areas are at risk from sea level rise.
Erosion Risk
Some coastal areas are experiencing erosion.

Historical Climate Events

2018
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in low-lying areas of Kingston, impacting several homes and businesses.

Source
2013
bushfireMinor

A bushfire near Kingston threatened properties, but was quickly contained by firefighters.

Source
2009
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave in Tasmania led to increased heat stress and health concerns in Kingston.

Source
2022
stormModerate

Severe storms caused damage to property and infrastructure in Kingston.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood6.06.4(+0.4)6.9(+0.9)
bushfire4.04.2(+0.2)4.6(+0.6)
heat5.05.3(+0.3)5.7(+0.7)
coastal6.06.3(+0.3)6.8(+0.8)

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Kingston is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk by 2030, with notable increases in flood and heat risks.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade flood defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to protect properties from flooding, such as levees and drainage improvements.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Improve bushfire preparedness

Near-term

Implement measures to reduce the risk of bushfires, such as fuel reduction and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a heatwave response plan

Immediate

Establish a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, such as cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Protect coastal areas

Long-term

Implement measures to protect coastal areas from sea level rise, such as seawalls and beach nourishment.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

About Kingston's Climate Risk Profile

Kingston, Tasmania, is a suburb that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The region is expected to experience more frequent and intense extreme weather events, including floods, bushfires, and heatwaves. Sea level rise also poses a significant threat to coastal areas.

Flooding is a major concern for Kingston due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could lead to more frequent and severe floods, damaging property and infrastructure. Bushfires are also a risk, particularly during dry periods. Higher temperatures and drier conditions could increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires, threatening homes and businesses.

Heatwaves are another growing concern for Kingston. As temperatures rise, the risk of heatstroke and other heat-related illnesses will increase, particularly among vulnerable populations. Sea level rise is also a significant threat to coastal areas of Kingston. Rising sea levels could lead to increased erosion and inundation of low-lying areas, damaging property and infrastructure.

Addressing these climate risks will require a coordinated effort from all levels of government, as well as individual residents and businesses. Mitigation measures, such as reducing greenhouse gas emissions, are essential to slow the pace of climate change. Adaptation measures, such as building flood defenses and improving bushfire preparedness, are also necessary to protect communities from the impacts of climate change.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Tasmanian State Emergency Service · Kingborough Council

Local Government Resources

Kingborough Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Kingston?

Kingston faces risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards, all of which are projected to increase in severity.

How is the council preparing for climate change?

Kingborough Council is developing and implementing strategies to mitigate and adapt to the impacts of climate change, including flood management and bushfire preparedness programs.

What can residents do to prepare for climate change?

Residents can take steps to protect their homes from flooding and bushfires, conserve water, and reduce their carbon footprint.

Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Kingston?

You can find more information on the Kingborough Council website, the Tasmanian Department of Primary Industries, Parks, Water and Environment website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.

Are there any community groups working on climate change in Kingston?

Yes, there are several community groups in Kingston that are working on climate change issues, such as sustainable living and environmental conservation.

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