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PROPERTY ANALYTICS

Climate Risk Assessment for Lindisfarne, Tasmania

Lindisfarne, Tasmania· Clarence· 7015
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Lindisfarne faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and coastal hazards. Sea level rise and increased rainfall intensity are key drivers of these risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

5.2/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
3.0
Heat
4.0
Coastal
7.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

4.0/10

Lindisfarne is experiencing an increase in average temperatures and heatwave events, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

flood Risk

6.5/10

Lindisfarne faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Derwent River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

7.0/10

Coastal erosion and inundation are significant concerns for Lindisfarne due to its location on the Derwent River estuary. Sea level rise is expected to worsen these issues.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

3.0/10

Bushfire risk in Lindisfarne is relatively low compared to other areas in Tasmania, but dry conditions and nearby vegetation still pose a threat.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Wind patterns

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

3.5

2050

4.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in high-risk areas.

Price Impact

Properties in vulnerable locations may experience price stagnation or decline.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and coastal erosion risk assessments.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to bushfire.
  • 3.Inquire about council's climate adaptation plans.
  • 4.Consider future insurance costs.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Derwent River
Elevation Range
0-30 meters
Flood Zone
Coastal and riverine flood zones

Low-lying areas near the river are most vulnerable to flooding.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to some areas of bushland
Planning Overlay
Bushfire-prone area overlay may apply to some properties
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Check with the local council for specific property risks.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
22°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
1.5 days

Heat stress events are projected to increase in frequency and intensity.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
0.5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Moderate exposure to sea level rise
Erosion Risk
Some areas at risk of coastal erosion

Historical Climate Events

1972
floodModerate

Major flooding event impacted the Derwent River region, including Lindisfarne, causing property damage and disruptions.

Source
2018
stormModerate

Severe storms caused damage to coastal properties and infrastructure in Lindisfarne.

Source
2013
bushfireMinor

Bushfires in the surrounding areas caused smoke haze and increased fire risk in Lindisfarne.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood6.57.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire3.03.2(+0.2)3.5(+0.5)
heat4.04.3(+0.3)4.7(+0.7)
coastal7.07.7(+0.7)8.2(+1.2)

By 2030, Lindisfarne is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with coastal hazards and flooding posing the greatest threats. Heatwaves are also expected to become more frequent and intense.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade flood defenses

Near-term

Invest in seawalls and drainage systems to protect coastal properties from flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Improve building codes

Immediate

Implement stricter building codes for new developments in flood-prone areas.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop community awareness programs

Near-term

Educate residents about climate risks and preparedness measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Implement heatwave action plan

Near-term

Develop a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwave events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Lindisfarne's Climate Risk Profile

Lindisfarne, a suburb of Hobart, Tasmania, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's location on the Derwent River estuary makes it particularly susceptible to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. Increased rainfall intensity is also contributing to a higher risk of flooding in low-lying areas.

Bushfire risk is relatively lower compared to other regions in Tasmania, but dry conditions and nearby vegetation can still pose a threat, especially during the summer months. Rising average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events are also becoming a concern, particularly for elderly residents and those with pre-existing health conditions.

The combined effects of these climate hazards could lead to property damage, infrastructure disruptions, and potential health impacts on the community. It is crucial for residents and local authorities to take proactive measures to adapt to these changing conditions and mitigate the risks.

Understanding the specific vulnerabilities of Lindisfarne and implementing appropriate adaptation strategies is essential for ensuring the long-term resilience and sustainability of the suburb. This includes investing in flood defenses, improving building codes, and promoting community awareness about climate risks.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Tasmania SES · Tasmania Fire Service · Clarence City Council

Local Government Resources

Clarence City Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Lindisfarne?

The main risks are flooding, coastal erosion, and heatwaves.

How is the council addressing climate change?

The Clarence City Council is developing climate adaptation plans and investing in flood defenses.

What can I do to protect my property from flooding?

Consider installing flood barriers, elevating your home, and improving drainage.

Where can I find information about bushfire risk in Lindisfarne?

Check the Tasmania Fire Service website and contact the local council.

How can I prepare for a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, stay cool, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

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