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PROPERTY ANALYTICS

Climate Risk Profile: Triabunna, Tasmania

Triabunna, Tasmania· UNKNOWN
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Triabunna faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding and coastal hazards. These risks are projected to increase due to climate change, requiring proactive adaptation measures. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

5.2/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
6.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

5.0/10

Triabunna is experiencing an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This trend is projected to worsen with climate change, impacting vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

6.0/10

Triabunna faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall and storm surges. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

6.0/10

Triabunna is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise and storm surges. The risk is expected to increase significantly in the coming decades.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
  • ·Coastal erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

4.0/10

Triabunna has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire overlays.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to sea level rise.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Develop a bushfire survival plan.
  • 5.Consider the long-term climate risks.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Prosser River
Elevation Range
0-50 meters
Flood Zone
Areas near the Prosser River are prone to flooding.

Historical flood events have impacted properties near the Prosser River. Council is working on flood mitigation strategies.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to forested areas.
Planning Overlay
Check with Tasmania Fire Service for current bushfire overlays.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area is designated as a bushfire-prone area. Residents should maintain their properties and have a bushfire survival plan.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
23.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
2 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent, with temperatures occasionally exceeding 35°C. Vulnerable populations are at increased risk.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
0.5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying areas are exposed to sea level rise.
Erosion Risk
Coastal erosion is evident in some areas.

Historical Climate Events

2013
bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted areas near Triabunna, causing property damage and evacuations.

Source
2016
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in Triabunna, affecting homes and businesses near the Prosser River.

Source
2018
stormMinor

A severe storm caused damage to coastal infrastructure and properties in Triabunna.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave impacted Triabunna, with temperatures exceeding 35°C for several days.

Source
2022
floodModerate

Significant flooding event impacted Triabunna after heavy rainfall, causing road closures and property damage.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood6.06.4(+0.4)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire4.04.2(+0.2)4.7(+0.7)
heat5.05.3(+0.3)5.8(+0.8)
coastal6.06.5(+0.5)7.5(+1.5)

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Triabunna is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk by 2030, with notable increases in flood and coastal hazards.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to protect against flooding, such as levees, drainage improvements, and flood-proofing of buildings.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Coastal Protection Measures

Near-term

Protect coastal areas from erosion and inundation through measures such as seawalls, beach nourishment, and dune restoration.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Improve Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Reduce bushfire risk through vegetation management, fire breaks, and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Response Plans

Immediate

Implement measures to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, such as cooling centers, public awareness campaigns, and early warning systems.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Enhance Emergency Management

Near-term

Strengthen emergency response capabilities to deal with climate-related disasters, including improved communication, evacuation plans, and resource allocation.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Triabunna's Climate Risk Profile

Triabunna, located on the east coast of Tasmania, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from heavy rainfall and storm surges, as well as coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. Bushfire risk is also a concern, particularly during dry periods. Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a threat to vulnerable populations.

The town's proximity to the coast makes it particularly susceptible to sea level rise and storm surges. Low-lying areas are at risk of permanent inundation, while coastal erosion threatens infrastructure and property. Changes in rainfall patterns are leading to more frequent and intense flooding events, impacting homes, businesses, and transportation networks.

Rising temperatures are exacerbating the risk of bushfires, particularly in areas with dense vegetation. Heatwaves are becoming more common, placing stress on the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. These climate-related risks require a coordinated response from local government, emergency services, and the community.

Adaptation measures are essential to protect Triabunna from the worst impacts of climate change. These include upgrading flood defenses, implementing coastal protection measures, improving bushfire preparedness, and developing heatwave response plans. Community engagement and education are also crucial to ensure that residents are aware of the risks and prepared to take action.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Tasmania Fire Service · State Emergency Service

Local Government Resources

Glamorgan Spring Bay Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Triabunna?

The main climate change risks in Triabunna are flooding, coastal erosion, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase in the coming decades due to climate change.

How will sea level rise affect Triabunna?

Sea level rise will increase the risk of coastal inundation and erosion in Triabunna, particularly in low-lying areas. This could damage properties, infrastructure, and natural ecosystems.

What can I do to prepare for bushfires in Triabunna?

To prepare for bushfires, you should maintain your property, clear vegetation around your home, develop a bushfire survival plan, and stay informed about fire danger ratings.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Triabunna?

You can find information about flood risks in Triabunna from the Glamorgan Spring Bay Council, the State Emergency Service, and online flood maps.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Triabunna?

The Glamorgan Spring Bay Council is developing and implementing climate change adaptation strategies, including upgrading flood defenses, protecting coastal areas, and improving bushfire preparedness.

Are insurance premiums likely to increase in Triabunna due to climate change?

Yes, insurance premiums are likely to increase in Triabunna due to the increasing risks of flooding, coastal erosion, and bushfires.

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