ClimateNest
ClimateNest

Aarons Pass vs Abbotsbury — Which is Safer?

Compare climate risk between Aarons Pass, New South Wales and Abbotsbury, New South Wales. Our analysis uses data from BOM, CSIRO, and state hazard authorities to score each suburb across 6 climate hazards.

34/100
Moderate
40/100
Moderate
Hazard
Flood28/10044/100
Bushfire63/10039/100
Heat51/10061/100
Storm22/10023/100
Coastal26/10059/100
Cyclone13/10015/100

How to Interpret These Scores

Each hazard is scored from 0 (minimal risk) to 100 (severe risk). Scores are derived from BOM historical data, CSIRO climate projections, and state hazard authority mapping. A score of 50 means the property is in the moderate range — above average risk but not extreme. Scores above 67 indicate high risk requiring due diligence.

Minimal
0-16
Low
17-33
Moderate
34-50
Elevated
51-66
High
67-83
Severe
84-100

Insurance Cost Trajectory

Based on the hazard scores for these suburbs, current annual insurance premiums are estimated around A$5,484. With projected climate changes under RCP 8.5, premiums could rise to approximately A$7,678 by 2030 and A$14,258 by 2050. These projections align with Insurance Council of Australia data showing 28% average premium increases nationally between 2022-2025, with higher-risk areas seeing 80-120% increases.

Current
A$5,484
2030 (RCP 4.5)
A$7,678
2050 (RCP 8.5)
A$14,258

Property Value Climate Impact

Rising insurance premiums directly impact property values. Research from the Insurance Council of Australia and climate risk analysts shows that properties in areas with higher climate risk can experience a climate value drag. For a median-priced home, this could mean a potential impact of around A$43,870 or more over time.

Verdict

Aarons Pass has a lower overall climate risk score (34/100) compared to Abbotsbury (40/100). We recommend getting an address-level report for properties in both suburbs before making a purchase decision.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Aarons Pass or Abbotsbury safer from flooding?
Aarons Pass has a flood risk score of 28/100, while Abbotsbury scores 44/100. A lower score indicates lower flood risk. Get an address-level flood risk report for a specific property.
Which suburb has lower bushfire risk?
Aarons Pass scores 63/100 for bushfire risk. Abbotsbury scores 39/100. Fire risk depends on proximity to vegetation and local fire history.
Should I buy in Aarons Pass or Abbotsbury?
Both suburbs have climate considerations. Aarons Pass has a lower overall climate risk score. We recommend getting a full ClimateNest report for any specific property you're considering, which includes 8 hazard scores, insurance projections, and actionable recommendations.

Explore Detailed Reports

Aarons Pass Flood RiskAbbotsbury Flood RiskAarons Pass Should I Buy?Abbotsbury Should I Buy?

Check Your Flood Risk Now

Check Aarons Pass's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data
Get Your Flood Risk Report — A$69

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections