Climate Risk in Victoria Suburbs
Victorian suburbs face significant bushfire risk in outer-metro and Dandenong Ranges communities, with flood risk concentrated in low-lying Melbourne suburbs along the Yarra, Maribyrnong, and Werribee catchments. Extreme heat events are increasing in frequency across the state.
Belgrave
UNKNOWN
Belgrave faces significant climate risks, particularly from bushfires and flooding.
Buchan
East Gippsland Shire
Buchan is a rural town in East Gippsland, Victoria, facing increasing risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves due to climate change.
Corryong
UNKNOWN
Corryong faces significant risks from bushfires, floods, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase in severity due to climate change.
Eildon
UNKNOWN
Eildon faces significant risks from flooding and bushfires due to its location near the Eildon Dam and surrounding forests.
Kinglake
UNKNOWN
Kinglake faces significant climate risks, particularly from bushfires and flooding.
Launching Place
UNKNOWN
Launching Place faces significant climate risks, particularly from flooding and bushfires.
Mallacoota
East Gippsland
Mallacoota faces significant climate change risks, particularly from bushfires, flooding, heatwaves and coastal hazards.
Marysville
UNKNOWN
Marysville faces significant climate risks, particularly from bushfires and flooding.
Alexandra
Murrindindi
Alexandra, VIC, faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves.
Anglesea
Surf Coast
Anglesea faces a medium overall climate risk, with bushfire and flood risks being the most significant concerns.
Apollo Bay
UNKNOWN
Apollo Bay faces increasing climate risks, particularly from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards.
Bacchus Marsh
Moorabool
Bacchus Marsh faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change.
Bairnsdale
East Gippsland Shire
Bairnsdale faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves.
Echuca
UNKNOWN
Echuca faces a moderate climate risk, primarily driven by increased flooding and heatwave events.
Emerald
Cardinia
Emerald is a suburb in Victoria that faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding and bushfires.
Frankston
Frankston City Council
Frankston faces increasing risks from heatwaves, coastal erosion, and flooding due to climate change.
Healesville
Yarra Ranges
Healesville faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to increase with climate change.
Lakes Entrance
UNKNOWN
Lakes Entrance faces increasing climate risks, particularly from flooding, heatwaves and coastal hazards.
Lakeside
Cardinia
Lakeside faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change.
Lilydale
UNKNOWN
Lilydale faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change.
Loch Sport
UNKNOWN
Loch Sport faces increasing climate risks, particularly from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion.
Lorne
Surf Coast
Lorne faces a medium overall climate risk, with bushfire and flood risks being the most prominent.
Melton South
Melton
Melton South faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change.
Mildura
Mildura Rural City
Mildura faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change.
Moe
Latrobe City
Moe faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change.
Mornington
Mornington Peninsula Shire
Mornington faces a moderate climate risk, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion.
Paynesville
East Gippsland
Paynesville faces a medium overall climate risk, primarily driven by flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards.
Port Melbourne
City of Port Phillip
Port Melbourne faces increasing risks from climate change, particularly related to coastal inundation, heatwaves, and flooding.
Queenscliff
UNKNOWN
Queenscliff is a coastal town in Victoria that faces several climate-related risks, including flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion.
Rosebud
Mornington Peninsula
Rosebud faces increasing risks from climate change, particularly from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards.
Sale
Wellington
Sale faces increasing risks from flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires due to climate change.
Shepparton
UNKNOWN
Shepparton faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change.
Stratford
Wellington
Stratford is a town in Victoria that faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves.
Traralgon
Latrobe
Traralgon faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also a concern.
Warrandyte
UNKNOWN
Warrandyte faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and bushfires.
Warrnambool
UNKNOWN
Warrnambool faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards.
Yarra Glen
Yarra Ranges
Yarra Glen faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and bushfires.
Ballan
UNKNOWN
Ballan, Victoria, faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with increasing bushfire risk.
Ballarat
City of Ballarat
Ballarat faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with increasing trends due to climate change.
Bemm River
UNKNOWN
Bemm River faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards.
Bendigo
City of Greater Bendigo
Bendigo faces increasing risks from heatwaves and flooding due to climate change.
Craigieburn
Hume
Craigieburn faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk being relatively lower.
Echuca Village
UNKNOWN
Echuca Village faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, with heat being the most significant concern.
Moe South
UNKNOWN
Moe South faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to increase with climate change.
Morwell
Latrobe City
Morwell faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also a concern.
Seymour
Mitchell
Seymour faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change.
Venus Bay
UNKNOWN
Venus Bay faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion.
Yarram
Wellington
Yarram is a town in Victoria that faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding, heatwaves and coastal hazards.
Ararat
Ararat Rural City
Ararat faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to increase with climate change.
Bannockburn
Golden Plains
Bannockburn faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change.
Bright
Alpine
Bright, VIC, faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and bushfires.
Cann River
UNKNOWN
Cann River faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase in the future.
Cape Paterson
UNKNOWN
Cape Paterson is a coastal town in Victoria facing increasing climate risks, particularly from coastal hazards and heatwaves.
Churchill
Latrobe
Churchill faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase in severity.
Clifton Springs
City of Greater Geelong
Clifton Springs faces increasing risks from climate change, particularly related to heatwaves and coastal hazards.
Cowes
Bass Coast
Cowes faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards.
Dandenong
Greater Dandenong City Council
Dandenong faces a medium overall climate risk, primarily driven by increasing flood and heat risks.
Drouin
Baw Baw
Drouin faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change.
Geelong
City of Greater Geelong
Geelong faces increasing risks from climate change, particularly related to flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards.
Gembrook
UNKNOWN
Gembrook faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, and a high risk of bushfires.
Heyfield
Wellington
Heyfield faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change.
Horsham
Horsham Rural City
Horsham is a regional city in Victoria that faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with increasing trends due to climate change.
Inverloch
Bass Coast
Inverloch is a coastal town in Victoria that faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding, heatwaves and coastal erosion.
Kilcunda
Bass Coast
Kilcunda is a coastal town in Victoria facing increasing climate risks.
Kilmore
Mitchell
Kilmore faces increasing risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves due to climate change.
Korumburra
South Gippsland
Korumburra faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change.
Lismore
UNKNOWN
Lismore, VIC, faces a moderate overall climate risk.
Loch
South Gippsland
Loch, Victoria, faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and bushfires.
Maffra
Wellington
Maffra faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also a concern.
Maribyrnong
UNKNOWN
Maribyrnong faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change.
Melton
Melton City Council
Melton faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present.
Melton West
Melton
Melton West faces moderate climate risks, primarily related to heatwaves and flooding.
Murchison
Greater Shepparton
Murchison faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with a lower risk from bushfires.
Orbost
East Gippsland Shire
Orbost is a town in East Gippsland, Victoria, that faces moderate risks from flooding and bushfires, which are expected to increase with climate change.
Port Fairy
Moyne
Port Fairy faces increasing climate risks, particularly from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards.
Portarlington
City of Greater Geelong
Portarlington faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards.
Richmond
City of Yarra
Richmond faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change.
St Kilda
City of Port Phillip
St Kilda faces increasing risks from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards due to climate change.
Stawell
Northern Grampians Shire
Stawell faces moderate risks from climate change, primarily related to bushfires, heatwaves and flooding.
Sunbury
Hume
Sunbury faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present.
Wallan
Mitchell
Wallan faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to increase with climate change.
Wangaratta
Rural City of Wangaratta
Wangaratta faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with increasing bushfire risk.
Warragul
Baw Baw
Warragul faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also a concern.
Werribee
Wyndham
Werribee faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards.
Wodonga
Wodonga
Wodonga faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to increase with climate change.
Wonthaggi
Bass Coast
Wonthaggi faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and coastal hazards.
About Climate Risk in Victoria
Victorian suburbs face significant bushfire risk in outer-metro and Dandenong Ranges communities, with flood risk concentrated in low-lying Melbourne suburbs along the Yarra, Maribyrnong, and Werribee catchments. Extreme heat events are increasing in frequency across the state.
ClimateNest suburb assessments are built using Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) historical hazard data, CSIRO future climate projections under SSP2-4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, state-specific hazard overlays from emergency services and planning authorities, and actuarial data. Every assessment includes current hazard scores (0–10), projected scores for 2030 and 2050, local geographic evidence, insurance outlook, and property owner recommendations.
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