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Climate Risk Profile: Yarram, VIC

Yarram, Victoria· Wellington· 3971
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Yarram is a town in Victoria that faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding, heatwaves and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, potentially impacting infrastructure, ecosystems, and human health. Residents and businesses should take steps to adapt to these changing conditions.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
5.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Yarram

increasing

Flood

60/100

Yarram faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
increasing

Bushfire

40/100

The risk of bushfire in Yarram is moderate, with surrounding vegetation posing a potential threat. Drier conditions and higher temperatures associated with climate change could exacerbate bushfire risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

70/100

Yarram is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

50/100

Yarram faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to the coast. Sea level rise and storm surges could lead to inundation and erosion, impacting coastal infrastructure and ecosystems.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — cold fronts and gusty winds

stable

Storm

32/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — heating and cooling needs

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Yarram

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Yarram is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Yarram faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

50/100

Yarram faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to the coast. Sea level rise and storm surges could lead to inundation and erosion, impacting coastal infrastructure and ecosystems.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
  • ·Coastal erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

The risk of bushfire in Yarram is moderate, with surrounding vegetation posing a potential threat. Drier conditions and higher temperatures associated with climate change could exacerbate bushfire risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in areas at high risk of flooding or bushfire.

Price Impact

Properties in areas at high risk of climate-related hazards may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire overlays.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to climate-related hazards.
  • 3.Consider the potential impact of climate change on insurance premiums and property values.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Albert River
Elevation Range
5-15m
Flood Zone
Areas near the Albert River are prone to flooding.

Historical flood events have impacted Yarram, highlighting the need for improved flood management strategies.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland areas.
Planning Overlay
Bushfire Management Overlay may apply in some areas.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents should be aware of bushfire risks and have a bushfire survival plan in place.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
26.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
2 days

Heatwaves can pose a significant risk to vulnerable populations in Yarram.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
15 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying coastal areas are vulnerable to sea level rise.
Erosion Risk
Coastal erosion is a potential concern in some areas.

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Major flooding occurred in the region, impacting Yarram and surrounding areas.

Source
2009
bushfireMajor

The Black Saturday bushfires impacted the region, highlighting the vulnerability of communities to bushfire risk.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave affected Yarram, with temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius for several days.

Source
2023
floodModerate

Significant rainfall caused flooding in low-lying areas of Yarram.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.3(+0.3)6.7(+0.7)
bushfire404.1(+0.1)4.4(+0.4)
heat707.4(+0.4)7.9(+0.9)
coastal505.2(+0.2)5.6(+0.6)

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Yarram is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk by 2030, with the most significant increases in heatwave and flood risk.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve flood defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to protect against flooding, such as levees and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop a heatwave plan

Immediate

Implement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, such as providing cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Strengthen coastal defenses

Long-term

Implement measures to protect against coastal erosion and inundation, such as seawalls and beach nourishment.

Est. cost: Very High

Learn more

Enhance bushfire preparedness

Near-term

Implement measures to reduce bushfire risk, such as fuel reduction programs and community education campaigns.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Yarram's Climate Risk Profile

Yarram, located in Victoria, is vulnerable to a range of climate-related hazards. The town's proximity to waterways and low-lying areas makes it susceptible to flooding, which is expected to become more frequent and intense due to climate change.

Bushfire risk is also a concern, with surrounding vegetation posing a potential threat. Drier conditions and higher temperatures associated with climate change could increase the likelihood and severity of bushfires.

Heatwaves are another significant risk, particularly for vulnerable populations. Climate change is projected to lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves, which can have serious health impacts.

Coastal hazards, such as sea level rise and storm surges, also pose a threat to Yarram. These hazards could lead to inundation and erosion, impacting coastal infrastructure and ecosystems. Adaptation measures are needed to reduce the town's vulnerability to these risks.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · EMV

Local Government Resources

Wellington Shire Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks facing Yarram?

Yarram faces risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards, all of which are expected to be exacerbated by climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Yarram?

Properties in areas at high risk of climate-related hazards may experience a decrease in value.

What can I do to protect my home from flooding in Yarram?

Consider installing flood barriers, improving drainage around your property, and purchasing flood insurance.

How can I prepare for a heatwave in Yarram?

Stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Yarram?

Visit the Wellington Shire Council website or the Victorian government's climate change website for more information.

Get your property's risk report

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Analyse a Property in Yarram →

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