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Climate Risk in Redan, VIC

Redan, Victoria· City of Ballarat· 3350
Medium Risk
Updated June 2026

Redan faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly flooding and heatwaves. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
6.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Redan

increasing

Flood

65/100

Redan faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
stable

Bushfire

40/100

The risk of bushfire in Redan is moderate, given its proximity to grasslands and bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

60/100

Redan is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Redan is not directly exposed to coastal hazards.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — cold fronts and gusty winds

stable

Storm

32/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — heating and cooling needs

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Redan

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

60/100

Redan is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Redan faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Redan is not directly exposed to coastal hazards.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

The risk of bushfire in Redan is moderate, given its proximity to grasslands and bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.2

2050

4.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price impacts.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and overlays.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and prepare property.
  • 3.Ensure adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency upgrades.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Yarrowee River
Elevation Range
420-440m
Flood Zone
Areas near the Yarrowee River are designated as flood zones.

Historical flood events have impacted properties along the Yarrowee River.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Within 1km of bushland areas.
Planning Overlay
Bushfire Management Overlay may apply to some properties.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents should maintain their properties to reduce fire risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
26°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
2.5 days

Elderly residents are particularly vulnerable during heatwaves.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
110 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable.
Erosion Risk
Not applicable.

Historical Climate Events

2010
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding along the Yarrowee River, impacting properties in Redan.

Source
2009
bushfireMajor

The Black Saturday bushfires impacted the region, with increased fire risk in Redan.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave affected Redan, with temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius.

Source
2023
floodModerate

Significant rainfall led to localized flooding in low-lying areas of Redan.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire404.2(+0.2)4.5(+0.5)
heat606.8(+0.8)7.5(+1.5)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Redan is projected to experience an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves and flooding events. Bushfire risk may also increase slightly.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Heatwave Early Warning System

Immediate

Develop a system to alert vulnerable residents to impending heatwaves and provide advice on staying safe.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness Programs

Near-term

Educate residents on how to prepare their properties for bushfire season and develop emergency plans.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage residents to conserve water to reduce strain on water resources during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Green Infrastructure Development

Long-term

Increase green spaces and tree cover to mitigate the urban heat island effect and improve stormwater management.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Redan's Climate Risk Profile

Redan, located in the City of Ballarat, is subject to a range of climate-related risks. The most significant of these is flooding, due to the suburb's proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can overwhelm drainage systems and lead to flash flooding, impacting homes and businesses.

The risk of bushfire is also present, particularly during hot, dry summers. Grasslands and bushland surrounding Redan can become highly flammable, posing a threat to properties.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Redan, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Rising temperatures can lead to heat stress and other health problems, particularly for the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

While Redan is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, climate change is expected to exacerbate inland flooding and heatwave risks. Residents should take steps to prepare for these events, such as developing emergency plans and ensuring their homes are adequately insured.

Adapting to climate change will require a coordinated effort from individuals, businesses, and local government. By working together, we can build a more resilient community and protect Redan from the impacts of climate change.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · EMV

Local Government Resources

City of Ballarat

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Redan?

The main climate risks in Redan are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase with climate change.

How can I prepare my property for flooding?

You can prepare your property for flooding by clearing gutters and drains, raising electrical appliances, and having an emergency plan in place.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

How can I reduce my bushfire risk?

You can reduce your bushfire risk by clearing vegetation around your home, maintaining your property, and having a bushfire survival plan.

What is the City of Ballarat doing to address climate change?

The City of Ballarat is implementing a range of measures to address climate change, including reducing greenhouse gas emissions, improving energy efficiency, and adapting to the impacts of climate change.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Redan?

You can find more information about climate change in Redan on the City of Ballarat website, the Bureau of Meteorology website, and the CSIRO website.

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