Climate Risk in Beaumaris, Victoria

Beaumaris, Victoria· Bayside· 3193
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Beaumaris is a coastal suburb in Melbourne facing increasing climate risks, particularly from coastal hazards and heatwaves. While bushfire risk is relatively low, flooding is a moderate concern. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.5
Bushfire
3.0
Heat
6.5
Coastal
7.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Beaumaris

increasing

Flood

45/100

Beaumaris faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The area's proximity to Port Phillip Bay also contributes to the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
stable

Bushfire

30/100

Beaumaris has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its coastal location and urban development. However, nearby parks and reserves could pose a localized threat.

Key drivers:

  • ·Proximity to vegetation
  • ·Dry conditions
increasing

Heat

65/100

Beaumaris is experiencing increasing heatwave frequency and intensity. Rising temperatures pose a risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

70/100

Beaumaris faces a significant coastal risk due to sea level rise and potential erosion. Coastal inundation during storm surges is a growing concern.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — cold fronts and gusty winds

stable

Storm

32/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — heating and cooling needs

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Beaumaris

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

65/100

Beaumaris is experiencing increasing heatwave frequency and intensity. Rising temperatures pose a risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

flood Risk

45/100

Beaumaris faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The area's proximity to Port Phillip Bay also contributes to the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.0

2050

5.5

Data source

coastal Risk

70/100

Beaumaris faces a significant coastal risk due to sea level rise and potential erosion. Coastal inundation during storm surges is a growing concern.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
  • ·Erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

30/100

Beaumaris has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its coastal location and urban development. However, nearby parks and reserves could pose a localized threat.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Proximity to vegetation
  • ·Dry conditions

Projections (RCP4.5)

2030

3.2

2050

3.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to coastal and flood risks.

Price Impact

Properties closer to the coast may experience price fluctuations.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood history of the property.
  • 2.Assess coastal erosion risk.
  • 3.Evaluate energy efficiency for heatwave resilience.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related events.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Port Phillip Bay
Elevation Range
2-20 meters
Flood Zone
Overland Flow Path

Some areas are susceptible to flash flooding during intense rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
0.5-2 km to nearby reserves
Planning Overlay
No specific overlay, but proximity to reserves increases risk.
Bushfire Prone Area
No

Vegetation management in nearby reserves is important for mitigating bushfire risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
26.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Elderly residents are particularly vulnerable during heatwaves.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
0.1 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Moderate to High
Erosion Risk
Moderate

Historical Climate Events

1972
stormModerate

A severe storm caused coastal erosion and damage to beachfront properties in Beaumaris.

Source
2009
heatwaveMajor

The 2009 Victorian heatwave resulted in record-breaking temperatures and increased heat-related illnesses in Beaumaris.

Source
2011
floodMinor

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas of Beaumaris.

Source
2023
stormModerate

A significant storm event led to flash flooding and power outages across Beaumaris.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood454.8(+0.3)5.1(+0.6)
bushfire303.1(+0.1)3.2(+0.2)
heat657.2(+0.7)7.8(+1.3)
coastal707.9(+0.9)8.8(+1.8)

By 2030, Beaumaris is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with coastal hazards and heatwaves posing the greatest challenges. Increased rainfall intensity may also lead to more frequent flooding.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Coastal Protection Measures

Near-term

Invest in seawalls, beach nourishment, and other coastal protection measures to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and erosion.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Improved Stormwater Management

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater infrastructure to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Urban Greening Initiatives

Immediate

Increase tree canopy cover and green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Immediate

Develop and implement community education programs to raise awareness about climate risks and promote preparedness for extreme weather events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Building Code Updates

Long-term

Update building codes to incorporate climate resilience measures, such as improved insulation and flood-resistant design.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Beaumaris's Climate Risk Profile

Beaumaris, a bayside suburb of Melbourne, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Rising sea levels pose a significant threat to coastal areas, potentially leading to erosion and inundation during storm surges. The suburb is also experiencing more frequent and intense heatwaves, which can strain infrastructure and pose health risks to vulnerable populations.

Flooding is another concern for Beaumaris, with heavy rainfall events capable of overwhelming stormwater systems. While the bushfire risk is lower compared to inland areas, nearby parks and reserves could still present a localized threat, especially during dry periods. The changing climate is expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades.

Adapting to these changes will require a multi-faceted approach, including investments in coastal protection measures, improved stormwater management, and strategies to mitigate the urban heat island effect. Community awareness and preparedness are also crucial for minimizing the impacts of extreme weather events.

Homeowners should consider the long-term climate risks when making property decisions. Factors such as insurance costs, potential price impacts, and resale liquidity should be carefully evaluated. Staying informed about local climate projections and adaptation plans is essential for building resilience in Beaumaris.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · SES Victoria · Melbourne Water · Bayside City Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Beaumaris?

The main climate change risks in Beaumaris are sea level rise, coastal erosion, heatwaves, and increased rainfall intensity leading to flooding.

How is the Bayside City Council addressing climate change?

The Bayside City Council has implemented a climate strategy focused on reducing emissions, promoting sustainable practices, and building community resilience.

What can I do to protect my property from flooding in Beaumaris?

You can protect your property from flooding by installing flood barriers, improving drainage, and ensuring your property is adequately insured.

How can I prepare for heatwaves in Beaumaris?

You can prepare for heatwaves by staying hydrated, seeking air-conditioned environments, and checking on vulnerable neighbors.

Where can I find information about emergency services in Beaumaris?

Information about emergency services in Beaumaris can be found on the State Emergency Service (SES) website.

Is Beaumaris considered a high bushfire risk area?

Beaumaris is not considered a high bushfire risk area due to its coastal location and urban development, but nearby reserves could pose a localized threat.

Get your property's risk report

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections