Climate Risk in Edithvale, VIC

Edithvale, Victoria· Kingston· 3196
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Edithvale faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal inundation. Sea level rise and increased rainfall intensity are key drivers of these risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
3.0
Heat
6.0
Coastal
5.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Edithvale

increasing

Flood

65/100

Edithvale faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater and flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
stable

Bushfire

30/100

The risk of bushfire in Edithvale is relatively low due to its coastal location and lack of significant surrounding bushland. However, grassfires can still pose a threat during dry periods.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased temperatures
increasing

Heat

60/100

Edithvale is experiencing an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

50/100

Edithvale is vulnerable to coastal inundation and erosion due to sea level rise. Low-lying areas are at particular risk during storm surges and high tides.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — cold fronts and gusty winds

stable

Storm

32/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — heating and cooling needs

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Edithvale

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

60/100

Edithvale is experiencing an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Edithvale faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater and flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

50/100

Edithvale is vulnerable to coastal inundation and erosion due to sea level rise. Low-lying areas are at particular risk during storm surges and high tides.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

30/100

The risk of bushfire in Edithvale is relatively low due to its coastal location and lack of significant surrounding bushland. However, grassfires can still pose a threat during dry periods.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Wind

Projections (RCP4.5)

2030

3.2

2050

3.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase in the future due to the rising risk of flooding and coastal inundation.

Price Impact

Properties in low-lying areas may experience a decrease in value due to the increased risk of flooding.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess the property's elevation and drainage.
  • 3.Consider the potential impact of sea level rise.
  • 4.Inquire about council plans for climate adaptation.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Port Phillip Bay
Elevation Range
0-5 meters
Flood Zone
Coastal Inundation Zone

Significant portions of Edithvale are within the designated flood zone, particularly closer to the beach.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
5km to Braeside Park
Planning Overlay
No Bushfire Management Overlay
Bushfire Prone Area
No

Due to its location, Edithvale is not considered a high bushfire risk area.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
26.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
2.5 days

Edithvale experiences several days above 30 degrees Celsius each summer, increasing heat stress risk.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
0.1 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
High
Erosion Risk
Moderate

Historical Climate Events

1934
floodModerate

Major flooding event impacted Edithvale and surrounding areas after heavy rainfall.

Source
1972
stormModerate

Severe storm caused damage to coastal properties and infrastructure in Edithvale.

Source
2005
floodMinor

Localized flooding occurred in Edithvale after a period of heavy rainfall.

Source
2009
heatwaveMajor

The 2009 Victorian heatwave resulted in record high temperatures and increased heat stress in Edithvale.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire303.1(+0.1)3.3(+0.3)
heat606.7(+0.7)7.5(+1.5)
coastal505.4(+0.4)5.8(+0.8)

By 2030, Edithvale is projected to experience a moderate increase in climate risks, particularly from heatwaves and flooding. Sea level rise will continue to pose a threat to coastal areas.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Invest in upgrading drainage infrastructure to improve stormwater management and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Coastal Protection Measures

Near-term

Implement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment, to protect against sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Response Plan

Immediate

Develop and implement a heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Promote water conservation measures to reduce water demand and mitigate the impacts of drought.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Edithvale's Climate Risk Profile

Edithvale, a coastal suburb in Melbourne, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from intense rainfall and sea level rise, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These risks are projected to worsen in the coming decades due to rising global temperatures and changing weather patterns.

Flooding is a significant concern for Edithvale due to its low-lying topography and proximity to Port Phillip Bay. Increased rainfall intensity can overwhelm drainage systems, leading to stormwater flooding. Sea level rise exacerbates this risk by increasing the frequency and extent of coastal inundation.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Edithvale, posing a threat to public health, particularly for vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect can further amplify temperatures in built-up areas.

Coastal erosion is also a concern for Edithvale, as sea level rise and increased storm intensity can lead to the loss of beaches and damage to coastal infrastructure. Protecting the coastline is essential to preserving the suburb's character and amenity.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of adaptation and mitigation measures. Adaptation strategies include improving drainage infrastructure, implementing coastal protection measures, and developing heatwave response plans. Mitigation efforts focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions to slow the pace of climate change.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Victorian State Emergency Service · Kingston City Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Edithvale?

The main climate change risks for Edithvale are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal inundation due to sea level rise.

How will sea level rise affect Edithvale?

Sea level rise will increase the frequency and extent of coastal flooding, potentially impacting properties and infrastructure near the beach.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Edithvale?

Kingston City Council has a climate change strategy that includes measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

How can I prepare for heatwaves in Edithvale?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors during heatwaves.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Edithvale?

You can find information about flood risks on the Kingston City Council website and the Victorian State Emergency Service website.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections