Climate Risk Profile: Dinner Plain, VIC

Dinner Plain, Victoria· Alpine· 3898
High Risk
Updated May 2026

Dinner Plain is an alpine village in Victoria that faces significant risks from bushfires and increasing heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, making adaptation measures crucial for the community.

Overall Risk Score

72/100
High

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
8.0
Heat
6.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Dinner Plain

increasing

Flood

65/100

Dinner Plain faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and overflowing of local creeks. The risk is exacerbated by the steep terrain and potential for rapid runoff.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Climate change
increasing

Bushfire

80/100

Dinner Plain is at high risk of bushfires due to its location surrounded by dense forests and alpine vegetation. Hot, dry summers and strong winds contribute to the potential for severe bushfire events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load
increasing

Heat

60/100

Dinner Plain experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves during summer. The alpine environment can still provide some relief, but vulnerable populations are at risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
stable

Coastal

10/100

Dinner Plain is located far inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

stable

Wind

40/100

Moderate wind risk — cold fronts and gusty winds

stable

Storm

45/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms

stable

Social

30/100

Moderate social stability

increasing

Energy

50/100

Moderate energy costs — heating and cooling needs

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Dinner Plain

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

60/100

Dinner Plain experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves during summer. The alpine environment can still provide some relief, but vulnerable populations are at risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Dinner Plain faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and overflowing of local creeks. The risk is exacerbated by the steep terrain and potential for rapid runoff.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Dinner Plain is located far inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

80/100

Dinner Plain is at high risk of bushfires due to its location surrounded by dense forests and alpine vegetation. Hot, dry summers and strong winds contribute to the potential for severe bushfire events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load
  • ·Extreme weather events

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

8.5

2050

9.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the high bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in Dinner Plain may experience some price impact due to climate risks, particularly bushfire risk.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check bushfire risk assessment reports
  • 2.Review insurance options and costs
  • 3.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves
  • 4.Understand local emergency management plans

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Cobungra River
Elevation Range
1500-1800m
Flood Zone
Areas near Cobungra River and drainage lines

Steep slopes contribute to rapid runoff during heavy rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Surrounded by Alpine National Park
Planning Overlay
Bushfire Prone Area
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Dinner Plain is located within a designated bushfire-prone area, requiring specific building standards and fire management practices.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
24°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
2 days

While cooler than many parts of Victoria, heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Dinner Plain.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
250 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2003
bushfireMajor

The 2003 Eastern Victorian alpine bushfires impacted Dinner Plain, causing significant damage to the surrounding forests and threatening the village.

Source
2006
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in Dinner Plain, with some properties experiencing water damage.

Source
2009
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave in 2009 put stress on the community and increased the risk of bushfires in the region.

Source
2013
bushfireMinor

A bushfire near Dinner Plain required firefighting efforts to prevent it from reaching the village.

Source
2019
bushfireMajor

The 2019-2020 bushfires had a significant impact on the region surrounding Dinner Plain, with smoke and air quality affecting the village.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood656.8(+0.3)7.0(+0.5)
bushfire808.4(+0.4)8.8(+0.8)
heat606.6(+0.6)7.0(+1.0)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Dinner Plain is projected to experience an increase in bushfire risk and more frequent heatwaves. Rainfall patterns may become more erratic, increasing the risk of flooding.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement comprehensive bushfire management plans, including fuel reduction, community education, and evacuation procedures.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Building Resilience

Near-term

Promote the construction of fire-resistant homes and buildings, and provide incentives for retrofitting existing properties.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Response Plan

Near-term

Establish a heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable populations, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Upgrade Flood Management Infrastructure

Long-term

Invest in drainage improvements and flood mitigation measures to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Immediate

Implement community education programs to raise awareness about climate risks and promote adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Dinner Plain's Climate Risk Profile

Dinner Plain, nestled in the Victorian Alps, is a unique alpine village known for its stunning natural beauty and recreational opportunities. However, the region is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change.

The primary concern for Dinner Plain is the escalating risk of bushfires. The surrounding forests and alpine vegetation create a high fuel load, and hot, dry summers increase the likelihood of severe bushfire events. Climate change is projected to further exacerbate these conditions, leading to more frequent and intense fires.

Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves also pose a significant threat to Dinner Plain. While the alpine environment offers some respite from the heat, vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions, are at risk. The increasing heat can also impact tourism and outdoor activities.

Flooding is another concern, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. The steep terrain and potential for rapid runoff can lead to flash flooding and damage to infrastructure. While coastal risks are negligible due to the inland location, the combined effects of bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding present a complex challenge for Dinner Plain.

Addressing these climate risks requires a comprehensive approach that includes mitigation efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adaptation measures to protect the community and environment. Investing in fire prevention strategies, improving building resilience to heat and fire, and enhancing flood management infrastructure are essential steps to ensure the long-term sustainability of Dinner Plain.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · EMV · Alpine Shire Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Dinner Plain?

Dinner Plain faces significant risks from bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding, all of which are expected to be exacerbated by climate change.

How is the Alpine Shire Council addressing climate change?

The Alpine Shire Council has implemented various strategies to address climate change, including reducing greenhouse gas emissions and promoting adaptation measures.

What can residents do to prepare for bushfires?

Residents can prepare for bushfires by developing a bushfire survival plan, maintaining their property, and staying informed about fire danger ratings.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Dinner Plain?

Information about flood risks in Dinner Plain can be found on the Alpine Shire Council website and through the Victorian State Emergency Service.

How can I make my home more resilient to heatwaves?

You can make your home more resilient to heatwaves by installing insulation, using energy-efficient appliances, and planting trees for shade.

Are there any community initiatives to address climate change in Dinner Plain?

Yes, there are several community initiatives focused on sustainability and climate action. Contact the Alpine Shire Council for more information.

Get your property's risk report

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections