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Climate Risk Profile: Glenthompson, VIC

Glenthompson, Victoria· Southern Grampians Shire· 3293
Medium Risk
Updated June 2026

Glenthompson faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. Bushfire risk is also a concern. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
6.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Glenthompson

increasing

Flood

65/100

Glenthompson faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and relatively flat terrain. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Poor drainage infrastructure
increasing

Bushfire

40/100

The area around Glenthompson has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding grasslands and bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Higher temperatures
increasing

Heat

60/100

Glenthompson is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Glenthompson is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — cold fronts and gusty winds

stable

Storm

32/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — heating and cooling needs

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Glenthompson

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

60/100

Glenthompson is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Glenthompson faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and relatively flat terrain. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Poor drainage infrastructure
  • ·Proximity to waterways

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Glenthompson is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

The area around Glenthompson has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding grasslands and bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Higher temperatures
  • ·Increased fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to increased flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and prepare a survival plan.
  • 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on property value.
  • 4.Review council's climate adaptation plans.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Wannon River
Elevation Range
180-200m
Flood Zone
Areas near the Wannon River are prone to flooding.

Local council has identified areas at risk and is working on mitigation strategies.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Surrounded by grasslands and scattered bushland.
Planning Overlay
Refer to CFA for bushfire prone areas.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents should maintain their properties and have a bushfire survival plan.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
28.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in the region.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable.
Erosion Risk
Not applicable.

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Major flooding along the Wannon River affected Glenthompson and surrounding areas.

Source
2013
bushfireModerate

Bushfires in the Grampians National Park threatened Glenthompson.

Source
2009
heatwaveMajor

The Black Saturday heatwave caused extreme temperatures in Glenthompson.

Source
2016
floodMinor

Minor flooding occurred in low-lying areas of Glenthompson after heavy rainfall.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday2030205020302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)7.2(+0.7)8.0(+1.5)
bushfire404.2(+0.2)4.4(+0.4)4.3(+0.3)4.6(+0.6)
heat606.4(+0.4)6.8(+0.8)6.6(+0.6)7.2(+1.2)
coastal101.01.01.01.0

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Glenthompson is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, primarily driven by increased flooding and heatwave intensity.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Early Warning System

Immediate

Implement a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on staying safe.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness Programs

Near-term

Conduct community workshops and provide resources on bushfire preparedness and survival.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Resilience Planning

Long-term

Engage the community in developing a climate adaptation plan that addresses local risks and vulnerabilities.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water-saving practices to mitigate the impact of potential droughts and water scarcity.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Glenthompson's Climate Risk Profile

Glenthompson, located in Victoria, is projected to experience a range of climate change impacts over the coming decades. The most significant risks include increased flooding due to more intense rainfall events, and more frequent and severe heatwaves. The surrounding grasslands and bushland also contribute to a moderate bushfire risk.

Flooding is a primary concern for Glenthompson. The town's location near waterways makes it vulnerable to inundation during heavy rainfall. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall events, leading to a higher risk of flooding.

Heatwaves are also expected to become more frequent and intense in Glenthompson. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. The increased heat can also strain infrastructure, such as power grids.

While Glenthompson is not directly on the coast, the broader region may experience indirect impacts from coastal hazards. Residents should stay informed about potential risks and take steps to prepare for extreme weather events. Adaptation measures, such as improving drainage infrastructure and implementing heatwave early warning systems, can help to reduce the impacts of climate change.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · EMV

Local Government Resources

Southern Grampians Shire Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Glenthompson?

The main risks are increased flooding due to more intense rainfall, more frequent and severe heatwaves, and a moderate bushfire risk.

How can I prepare for increased flooding in Glenthompson?

Check flood maps, ensure your property is adequately insured, and consider measures to protect your home from flood damage.

What should I do during a heatwave in Glenthompson?

Stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

How can I prepare for bushfires in Glenthompson?

Maintain your property, create a bushfire survival plan, and stay informed about fire danger ratings and warnings.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Glenthompson?

The Southern Grampians Shire Council is developing climate adaptation plans and implementing measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and improve community resilience.

Where can I find more information about climate change projections for Glenthompson?

You can find detailed climate projections on the CSIRO's Climate Change in Australia website.

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