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Climate Risk Profile: Templestowe, VIC

Templestowe, Victoria
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Templestowe faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. Bushfire risk is moderate and also projected to increase. Coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.2
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.5

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Templestowe

increasing

Flood

65/100

Templestowe faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Yarra River and associated creeks. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
increasing

Bushfire

42/100

Bushfire risk in Templestowe is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland reserves. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

70/100

Templestowe is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

15/100

Templestowe is located inland and has a low risk of coastal hazards.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — cold fronts and gusty winds

stable

Storm

32/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — heating and cooling needs

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Templestowe

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Templestowe is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Templestowe faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Yarra River and associated creeks. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Aging drainage infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

15/100

Templestowe is located inland and has a low risk of coastal hazards.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.5

2050

1.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

42/100

Bushfire risk in Templestowe is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland reserves. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.7

2050

5.2

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate-related risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price impacts.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and overlays.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk.
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency upgrades.
  • 4.Review insurance options.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Yarra River
Elevation Range
50-120m
Flood Zone
Areas near the Yarra River are designated as flood zones.

Historical flood events have impacted properties along the Yarra River.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Some properties border bushland reserves.
Planning Overlay
Bushfire Management Overlay (BMO) may apply to some properties.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents should maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
29.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Elderly residents are particularly vulnerable during heatwaves.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
50 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable.
Erosion Risk
Not applicable.

Historical Climate Events

1934
floodMajor

Major flooding of the Yarra River impacted Templestowe and surrounding areas.

Source
1972
floodModerate

Significant flooding along the Yarra River caused property damage in Templestowe.

Source
2009
heatwaveMajor

The 2009 heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions and strain on infrastructure.

Source
2023
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall led to localized flooding in parts of Templestowe.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire424.5(+0.3)4.9(+0.7)
heat707.7(+0.7)8.5(+1.5)
coastal151.51.5

By 2030, Templestowe is projected to experience a noticeable increase in heatwave frequency and intensity, along with a higher risk of flooding due to more intense rainfall events. Bushfire risk will also slightly increase.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Heatwave Action Plan

Immediate

Develop and implement a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable residents during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness Programs

Near-term

Promote bushfire preparedness programs and assist residents in reducing fuel loads on their properties.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce strain on water resources during drier periods.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Education on Climate Risks

Near-term

Increase community awareness of climate change risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Templestowe's Climate Risk Profile

Templestowe, a suburb of Melbourne, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns are rising temperatures, more frequent heatwaves, and increased rainfall intensity leading to potential flooding.

The suburb's proximity to the Yarra River and its tributaries makes it susceptible to flooding, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change is expected to exacerbate this risk, with more intense rainfall events becoming more common.

Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves pose a significant threat to the health and well-being of Templestowe residents, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect can further amplify these impacts.

While Templestowe is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased insurance costs, could still affect the suburb. Bushfire risk is moderate and increasing due to drier conditions.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · EMV

Local Government Resources

Manningham City Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Templestowe?

The main risks are increased heatwaves, more intense rainfall leading to flooding, and a moderate risk of bushfires.

How is the council addressing flood risks in Templestowe?

The council is working to improve drainage infrastructure and implement flood management strategies.

What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves?

Residents should stay hydrated, stay indoors during the hottest part of the day, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Are there any bushfire-prone areas in Templestowe?

Yes, some areas bordering bushland reserves are considered bushfire-prone.

How will climate change affect property values in Templestowe?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience some price impacts. Energy efficient homes may become more desirable.

Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Manningham?

You can find more information on the Manningham City Council website and the CSIRO website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Templestowe, use our analysis tool.

Analyse a Property in Templestowe →

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