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Climate Risk Assessment for Yea, VIC

Yea, Victoria· Murrindindi· 3717
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Yea is a town in Victoria, Australia, located northeast of Melbourne. The suburb faces increasing risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves due to climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
7.0
Heat
4.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Yea

increasing

Flood

60/100

Yea faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Goulburn River and other waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding
increasing

Bushfire

70/100

Yea is located in a bushfire-prone area. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires, posing a significant threat to properties and lives.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

40/100

Yea experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
stable

Coastal

10/100

Yea is not directly exposed to coastal risks due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Inland location
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — cold fronts and gusty winds

stable

Storm

32/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — heating and cooling needs

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Yea

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

40/100

Yea experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Yea faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Goulburn River and other waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Yea is not directly exposed to coastal risks due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Inland location

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

70/100

Yea is located in a bushfire-prone area. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires, posing a significant threat to properties and lives.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the increasing risk of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire overlays.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
  • 3.Obtain insurance quotes.
  • 4.Consider the long-term impacts of climate change on property value.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Goulburn River
Elevation Range
200-250m
Flood Zone
Areas near the Goulburn River are designated as flood zones.

Historical flood data indicates that properties near the river are most vulnerable.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to state forests
Planning Overlay
Bushfire Management Overlay
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The entire Murrindindi Shire is considered a bushfire-prone area.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
30.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in the region.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
120 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2009
bushfireCatastrophic

The Black Saturday bushfires caused widespread devastation in Victoria, including areas near Yea.

Source
2010
floodModerate

Significant flooding occurred in the Goulburn River, impacting properties in Yea.

Source
2019
bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted areas surrounding Yea, leading to evacuations and property damage.

Source
2023
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused the Goulburn River to flood, impacting properties and infrastructure in Yea.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire707.5(+0.5)8.0(+1.0)
heat404.5(+0.5)5.0(+1.0)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Yea is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in flood, bushfire, and heat risks. Adaptation measures will be crucial to mitigate these impacts.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as levees and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire mitigation strategies, such as fuel reduction and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Management Plan

Near-term

Develop and implement a heatwave management plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Conduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate change risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Yea's Climate Risk Profile

Yea is situated in a region that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns for Yea are flooding from the Goulburn River and its tributaries, bushfire risk due to surrounding forests, and increasing heatwave frequency and intensity.

Flooding events have historically impacted Yea, and climate projections suggest that rainfall intensity will increase, leading to more frequent and severe flooding. This poses a risk to properties, infrastructure, and agricultural land.

The bushfire risk in Yea is also significant, with the surrounding forests providing ample fuel for fires. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to exacerbate this risk, potentially leading to more destructive bushfires.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Victoria, and Yea is not immune to this trend. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Infrastructure may also be affected by extreme heat.

While Yea is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased migration, could indirectly affect the suburb.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · EMV

Local Government Resources

Murrindindi Shire Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Yea?

The main climate change risks for Yea are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare for flooding in Yea?

You can prepare for flooding by checking flood maps, assessing your property's vulnerability, and having an emergency plan in place.

What should I do during a bushfire in Yea?

During a bushfire, follow the instructions of emergency services, evacuate if necessary, and protect your property as much as possible.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave in Yea?

During a heatwave, stay hydrated, stay cool, and check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

What is the Murrindindi Shire Council doing to address climate change?

The Murrindindi Shire Council is developing and implementing climate change strategies to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

Get your property's risk report

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Analyse a Property in Yea →

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
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30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections