Climate Risk Profile: Glendonald, VIC

Glendonald, Victoria
Medium Risk
Updated June 2026

Glendonald faces moderate risks from bushfires and heatwaves, with increasing flood risk due to climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events. Coastal risk is negligible.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.0
Bushfire
6.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Glendonald

increasing

Flood

40/100

Flooding may pose a risk to properties in Glendonald, particularly those located near waterways or in low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
increasing

Bushfire

60/100

Glendonald faces a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of nearby bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires. Climate change is projected to lengthen the fire season and increase fire intensity.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

50/100

Glendonald is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This can pose a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Glendonald is not located near the coast, therefore the risk of coastal hazards is very low.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — cold fronts and gusty winds

stable

Storm

32/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — heating and cooling needs

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Glendonald

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

50/100

Glendonald is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This can pose a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

40/100

Flooding may pose a risk to properties in Glendonald, particularly those located near waterways or in low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Glendonald is not located near the coast, therefore the risk of coastal hazards is very low.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

60/100

Glendonald faces a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of nearby bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires. Climate change is projected to lengthen the fire season and increase fire intensity.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate-related risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price fluctuations.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
  • 4.Consider the long-term climate risks when making a purchase decision.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Local creeks
Elevation Range
Varies across the suburb
Flood Zone
Potentially low-lying areas near creeks

Check with the local council for specific flood mapping and historical flood data.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland reserves
Planning Overlay
Bushfire Prone Area
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Check the local council's website for bushfire-prone area maps and regulations.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
30.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

BOM provides detailed temperature data for the region.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
100 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2009
bushfireMajor

The Black Saturday bushfires caused widespread devastation across Victoria, including areas near Glendonald. Many properties were damaged or destroyed.

Source
2011
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in low-lying areas of Glendonald. Some properties were inundated, and roads were closed.

Source
2014
heatwaveMajor

A prolonged heatwave affected Victoria, with temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius for several days. This put a strain on the electricity grid and caused health problems for many residents.

Source
2019
bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted areas surrounding Glendonald, leading to hazardous smoke conditions and community concern.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood404.2(+0.2)4.5(+0.5)
bushfire606.4(+0.4)7.0(+1.0)
heat505.3(+0.3)5.8(+0.8)
coastal101.01.0

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Glendonald is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk by 2030, with notable increases in bushfire and heatwave risks.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Develop a community bushfire plan

Immediate

Create a plan that outlines evacuation routes, emergency contacts, and property protection measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Improve home cooling and insulation

Near-term

Install air conditioning, insulation, and window coverings to reduce heat stress during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Upgrade drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Improve drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Plant trees and create green spaces

Long-term

Increase tree cover to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Glendonald's Climate Risk Profile

Glendonald is a suburb in Victoria that is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. Bushfire risk is a significant concern due to the proximity of bushland areas. Hot, dry summers increase the likelihood of bushfires, which can threaten lives and property.

Heatwaves are also becoming more frequent and intense in Glendonald. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Residents should take steps to stay cool during heatwaves, such as drinking plenty of water and spending time in air-conditioned environments.

Flooding is another potential hazard in Glendonald, particularly in low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, which could lead to more frequent and severe flooding events. Residents should be aware of their flood risk and take steps to protect their property.

While coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location, the suburb is not immune to the broader impacts of climate change. Preparing for bushfires, heatwaves, and potential flooding is essential for the community's resilience. Staying informed about local weather conditions and emergency alerts is crucial for all residents.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · EMV

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Glendonald?

Glendonald faces risks from bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events.

How can I prepare my home for a bushfire?

Clear vegetation around your home, install fire-resistant materials, and develop a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Glendonald?

Contact the local council or visit the State Emergency Service website for flood maps and information.

How is the local council addressing climate change?

The local council has developed a climate strategy that outlines actions to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Glendonald, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Glendonald's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections