Ascot Climate Risk Profile

Ascot, located approximately 6 kilometres north of Melbourne's CBD, is a suburb characterised by its leafy streets, heritage homes, and proximity to key amenities. Historically, Ascot has been part of the broader Moonee Valley region, which has experienced a range of weather events.

The suburb's primary climate vulnerabilities lie in its susceptibility to extreme heat and moderate flood risks. The urban environment, with its concentration of buildings and paved surfaces, contributes to the urban heat island effect, making Ascot particularly vulnerable during heatwave events. Projections suggest these events will become more frequent and severe in the coming decades.

Flood risk in Ascot is primarily linked to the Moonee Ponds Creek catchment. While not directly on the coast, intense rainfall events can lead to localised flooding and inundation, especially in lower-lying areas or those with inadequate drainage. The increasing intensity of rainfall due to climate change exacerbates this risk.

Conversely, Ascot benefits from a low bushfire risk due to its highly urbanised nature and the absence of significant, contiguous bushland within or immediately adjacent to the suburb. Similarly, its inland position means coastal inundation and erosion are not significant concerns.

Future climate projections for Ascot indicate a notable increase in heat stress and a persistent, albeit manageable, flood risk. Adaptation strategies will need to focus on mitigating the impacts of extreme heat and improving stormwater management to cope with more intense rainfall events. The suburb's resilience will depend on both individual property-level actions and broader community and council initiatives.